What is BGS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BGS.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / BGS / options

OTLY (45) MED (48) BYND (29) AFRI (24) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.41 +3.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.42

B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $188.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, B&G Foods Inc. (NYSE: BGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $2.41 (+3.88% 1D, market cap $188.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BGS ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGS compare to OTLY and MED in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BGS carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 3.3%. By comparison, OTLY (Oatly Group AB) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $247.3M) and MED (MEDIFAST INC) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.2%, cap $135.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BGS leads on capital efficiency (3.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGS?

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Per BGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001278027), B&G Foods Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-5.4% YoY), -$43.3M in net income, and $70.7M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $1.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.42 (+0.51%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BGS SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.9% FCF Margin ($70.7M FCF) & 21.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+7/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 35% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.43-9.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.19-5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.08+15.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.41-9.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BGS currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.79) and Max Pain ($2.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±11.8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BGS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BGS.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGS)

✓Walkthrough of BGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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BGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $2.26H $2.41L $2.26C $2.41VOL 2.62M

RES: $2.95SUP: $1.82SMA50: $2.79SMA200: $4.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGS Butterfly Map → + Track BGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGS)

Consumer Staples Rank #130 of 147 ⚔️ OTLY vs BGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BGS vs. OTLY, MED, BYND, AFRI)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) ranks #130 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #99 by equity capitalization ($188.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BGS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BGS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.3% ROIC and 21.8% gross margin. MED currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with BGS at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BGS ACTIVE B&G Foods Inc.	E	29/100	—	21.8%	3.3%	+3.88%	$188.6M	Benchmark Subject
OTLY Oatly Group AB	D	45/100	—	—	—	-0.52%	$247.3M	/otly-vs-bgs →
MED MEDIFAST INC	D	48/100	—	71.3%	-10.2%	+3.13%	$135.9M	/med-vs-bgs →
BYND Beyond Meat Inc.	E	29/100	—	—	-35.0%	+2.03%	$118.8M	/bynd-vs-bgs →
AFRI Forafric Global PLC	E	24/100	—	10.4%	-16.5%	-1.04%	$337.3M	/afri-vs-bgs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001278027 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (-5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.93B , and -11.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$43.3M, operating cash flow of $101.4M, and free cash flow of $70.7M (-31.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGS closed FY2025 with $2.83B in total assets against $1.95B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.24, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$1.83B	-$43.3M	$101.4M	$70.7M	$2.83B	$1.95B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-12-28	$1.93B	-$251.3M	$130.9M	$103.7M	$2.99B	$2.01B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-12-30	$2.06B	-$66.2M	$247.8M	$247.8M	—	—

3. BGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BGS compare to OTLY and MED in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGS?

Where is BGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGS last traded at $2.41 (+3.88% on volume of 1,814,088 shares), positioning the stock -13.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.79) and -40.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.08). Across its 52-week range of $1.99 to $6.38, BGS sits at the 9.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($2.13 to $2.69).

Direct Sub-Reports: BGS RQD Cockpit BGS 12M Forecast BGS Earnings & Move BGS Dividends & DRIP BGS Insiders & 13F BGS Whale Options BGS Profit Sankey BGS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 29/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BGS — B&G Foods Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-01-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 29/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.41 (+3.88% 1D, market capitalization $188.6M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.3%, gross margin of 21.8%, operating margin of 5.3%, and free cash flow yield of —.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.24, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 4.30x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

B&G Foods Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Packaged Foods industry,. The company's product lines, customer base, and revenue model are — The profile identifies the market capitalization as $0.2B. Reported revenue was $1.83B for FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-03), B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) reported $1.83B in annual revenue (up from $1.93B in FY2024, -5.4% YoY) and -$43.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.06B revenue, -$66.2M net income) through FY2025, BGS scaled operating cash flow to $101.4M and free cash flow to $70.7M, backed by $2.83B in total assets against $1.95B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 29/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.99 – $6.38 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 16.8x EV/EBITDA against 5.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Consumer Staples and Packaged Foods classification are — The second-order risk visible in the data is financial rather than supply-chain: the debt load relative to cash and the negative net income across periods mean that any operating or refinancing disruption would transmit directly to the equity, a dependency the source data documents through the balance sheet metrics rather than through named counterparties.

Key Question #1: Can BGS sustain or expand its 5.3% operating margin and 3.3% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.83B and free cash flow of $70.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.95B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is BGS's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BGS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Why B&G Foods (BGS) Shares Are Trading Lower Today

Yahoo Finance report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

B&g Foods Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy BGS?

StockInvest.us report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

B&G Foods, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:BGS

TradingView report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

B&G Foods (BGS) Stock Fair Value Moves Lower After Analyst Target Cuts

Yahoo Finance report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago

B&G Foods(BGS) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News

Moomoo report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

B&G Foods sells more assets as looks to simplify the portfolio (BGS:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

B&G Foods (NYSE:BGS) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Green Giant Canada stays with B&G Foods after sale deal ends

Stock Titan report covering B&G Foods Inc. (BGS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.90 (+25.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The stock rose 9.71% on the day and its 52-week low of $1.99 sits well below the $2.26 price, indicating momentum off recent lows.

Don't sleep on BGS's setup in Consumer Staples. The stock rose 9.71% on the day and its 52-week low of $1.99 sits well below the $2.26 price, indicating momentum off recent lows.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (29/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BGS's 6/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.97 (-15.1%)

Spot @ $2.32

A Z-Score of 1.24 with debt of $1.95B against cash of $56.3M and a 0% FCF yield signals forensic balance-sheet stress.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on BGS: A Z-Score of 1.24 with debt of $1.95B against cash of $56.3M and a 0% FCF yield signals forensic balance-sheet stress.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.