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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BIYA / earnings
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Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (BIYA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.22 -1.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21

Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (BIYA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $9.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BIYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: BIYA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-1.61% 1D, market cap $9.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BIYA ranks #1001 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BIYA compare to PMEC and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), BIYA carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.5%, and ROIC of -34.0%. By comparison, PMEC (Primech Holdings Ltd.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.0M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BIYA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIYA?
▼

Per BIYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001944712), Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) generated $16.5M in revenue (+28.6% YoY), -$9.5M in net income, and -$7.4M in free cash flow against $27.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21 (-0.48%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (3)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18% Base Target
$176 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE BIYA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BIYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BIYA SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (44% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 11.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$1.47-16.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$1.23+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$1.23-0.8% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$1.22-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BIYA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BIYA currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.81) and Max Pain ($1.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $176.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BIYA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BIYA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.15 Expected Swing
$1.07 (-12.5%)Spot $1.22$1.37 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BIYA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 18/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 28.6%

Model Bullish Setup (18/100)Model Risk Weight (82/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$16.5M-$9.5M-$7.4M11.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$12.8M-$8.8K$1.6M11%
FY 20232023-12-31$11.6M-$1.0M-$1.8M11.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BIYA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BIYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BIYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -89.75%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.23H $1.24L $1.22C $1.22VOL 36.7K
RES: $1.74SUP: $0.97SMA50: $1.81SMA200: $10.23
$84.59$61.98$39.38$16.77$-5.84RES $1.74SUP $0.97$1.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BIYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BIYA Butterfly Map → + Track BIYA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +28.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BIYA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BIYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BIYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BIYA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #1001 of 1009 ⚔️ PMEC vs BIYA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BIYA vs. PMEC, CLIK, SPPL, SUGP)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (BIYA) ranks #1001 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #926 by equity capitalization ($9.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BIYA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BIYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. PMEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 38/100 (D-) compared with BIYA at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BIYA ACTIVE
Baiya International Group Inc (Class A)
E 18/100 — 11.5% -34.0% -1.61% $9.4M Benchmark Subject
PMEC
Primech Holdings Ltd.
D- 38/100 — 17.1% — -3.17% $13.0M /pmec-vs-biya →
CLIK
Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share
E 29/100 — 15.3% — +6.08% $5.5M /clik-vs-biya →
SPPL
SIMPPLE LTD.
E 26/100 — 49.6% -35.0% -0.79% $22.7M /sppl-vs-biya →
SUGP
SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 34/100 — 16.0% — 0.00% $2.6M /sugp-vs-biya →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001944712 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (BIYA) reported GAAP revenue of $16.5M (+28.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.8M , and +42.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.5M, operating cash flow of -$7.4M, and free cash flow of -$7.4M (-569.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BIYA closed FY2025 with $27.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.01, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.5M -$9.5M -$7.4M -$7.4M $27.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.8M -$8.8K $1.6M $1.6M $5.0M $117.3K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.6M -$1.0M -$1.8M -$1.8M — —

3. BIYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BIYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: BIYA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-1.61% 1D, market cap $9.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BIYA ranks #1001 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BIYA compare to PMEC and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), BIYA carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.5%, and ROIC of -34.0%. By comparison, PMEC (Primech Holdings Ltd.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.0M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BIYA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIYA?

Per BIYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001944712), Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) generated $16.5M in revenue (+28.6% YoY), -$9.5M in net income, and -$7.4M in free cash flow against $27.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BIYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BIYA last traded at $1.22 (-1.61% on volume of 33,693 shares), positioning the stock -32.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.81) and -88.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.23). Across its 52-week range of $1.18 to $168.00, BIYA sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.07 to $1.37).

Direct Sub-Reports: BIYA RQD Cockpit BIYA 12M Forecast BIYA Earnings & Move BIYA Dividends & DRIP BIYA Insiders & 13F BIYA Whale Options BIYA Profit Sankey BIYA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BIYA — Baiya International Group Inc (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (BIYA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 18/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.22 (-1.61% 1D, market capitalization $9.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -34.0%, gross margin of 11.5%, operating margin of -58.1%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.01, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Diversified Commercial Services industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 11.5%, indicating that the product or service mix carries thin gross economics.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (BIYA) reported $16.5M in annual revenue (up from $12.8M in FY2024, +28.6% YoY) and -$9.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($11.6M revenue, -$1.0M net income) through FY2025, BIYA scaled operating cash flow to -$7.4M and free cash flow to -$7.4M, backed by $27.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 18/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.18 – $168.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -58.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependencies. The sector and industry labels (Consumer Discretionary; Diversified Commercial Services) are the only sector context provided. For a prospective investor, the absence of mapped dependencies means second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the sources; the practical watch items are the company's own cash burn and liquidity, which the financials flag directly.

  • Key Question #1: Can BIYA sustain or expand its -58.1% operating margin and -34.0% ROIC against Diversified Commercial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.5M and free cash flow of -$7.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BIYA's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BIYA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Baiya International Group Inc (Class A) (BIYA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BIYA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BIYA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BIYA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BIYA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.56 (+25.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $11.6M in FY 2023 to $16.5M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.

Long BIYA at $1.24 targeting $1.56. Revenue grew from $11.6M in FY 2023 to $16.5M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.18 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.24 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.04 (-16.1%)
Spot @ $1.24

FY 2025 operating margin of -58.1% and FCF of -$7.4M against $0.7M cash signal severe cash-burn and liquidity risk.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BIYA above $1.24. FY 2025 operating margin of -58.1% and FCF of -$7.4M against $0.7M cash signal severe cash-burn and liquidity risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (2/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $168.00.

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