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Why BOW Stock slipped -0.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$33.95 -0.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.87

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BOW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $33.95 (-0.23% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BOW ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BOW compare to ASIC and HRTG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), BOW carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, ASIC (Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $1.14B) and HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTG leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while HRTG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOW?
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Per BOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002002473), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. generated $551.6M in revenue (+29.6% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $326.0M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.87 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 59.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$41 Bull$35 Base$27 Bear
📬 FREE BOW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BOW SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 59.1% FCF Margin ($326.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$34.00+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$34.03+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$34.29-1% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$33.95+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BOW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, BOW faces multiple-compression risk if 20.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($33.86) or 200D SMA ($28.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.71) toward Bear Floor ($27.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BOW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BOW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why BOW Stock slipped -0.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) slipped -0.23% to $33.95, trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($21.21 – $35.07). Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 21x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($21.21 – $35.07) with RSI-14 at 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $33.95 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $326.0M annual free cash flow.
Live BOW Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 7d ago
3 Insurance Stocks Linked To Rising AI Catastrophe Risk

Anthropic’s IPO filing did more than throw another AI ticker, ANT, onto investors’ radar. It put catastrophic AI risk front and center, with pages of disclosures about weaponisation, hacking and insurance gaps that few h

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BOW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +45.83%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $34.13H $34.13L $33.95C $33.95VOL 123.5K
RES: $34.67SUP: $36.40SMA50: $33.86SMA200: $28.63
$35.90$32.47$29.03$25.60$22.16RES $34.67SUP $36.40$33.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
14.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BOW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BOW)

Financials Rank #309 of 1097 ⚔️ ASIC vs BOW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BOW vs. ASIC, HRTG, IGIC, HIPO)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) ranks #309 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #528 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HRTG leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while HRTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. HRTG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with BOW at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BOW ACTIVE
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
C 63/100 20.9x — 12.0% -0.23% $1.12B Benchmark Subject
ASIC
Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings
C+ 66/100 15.8x — 12.0% +2.02% $1.14B /asic-vs-bow →
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.
B+ 77/100 5.5x — 85.0% +0.84% $1.06B /hrtg-vs-bow →
IGIC
International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Share
D+ 53/100 8.3x — 17.9% +1.97% $1.04B /igic-vs-bow →
HIPO
Hippo Holdings Inc.
C- 60/100 15.7x — 14.4% -2.54% $975.2M /hipo-vs-bow →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002002473 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) reported GAAP revenue of $551.6M (+29.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $425.7M , and +94.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $53.8M, operating cash flow of $331.6M, and free cash flow of $326.0M (+12.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BOW closed FY2025 with $2.37B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $551.6M $53.8M $331.6M $326.0M $2.37B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $425.7M $38.2M $294.3M $291.2M $1.65B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $283.4M $25.0M $236.2M $236.2M — —

3. BOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BOW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $33.95 (-0.23% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BOW ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BOW compare to ASIC and HRTG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), BOW carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, ASIC (Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $1.14B) and HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTG leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while HRTG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOW?

Per BOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002002473), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. generated $551.6M in revenue (+29.6% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $326.0M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BOW last traded at $33.95 (-0.23% on volume of 218,277 shares), positioning the stock +0.27% above its 50-day simple moving average ($33.86) and +18.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.63). Across its 52-week range of $21.21 to $35.07, BOW sits at the 91.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($33.34 to $34.56).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BOW — Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $33.95 (-0.23% 1D, market capitalization $1.12B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Property-Casualty Insurers industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $1.12B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Property-Casualty Insurers peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) reported $551.6M in annual revenue (up from $425.7M in FY2024, +29.6% YoY) and $53.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($283.4M revenue, $25.0M net income) through FY2025, BOW scaled operating cash flow to $331.6M and free cash flow to $326.0M, backed by $2.37B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.21 – $35.07 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 20.9x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Property-Casualty Insurers (Financials), BOW carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can BOW sustain or expand its — operating margin and 12.0% ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $551.6M and free cash flow of $326.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BOW's 17.6x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BOW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BOW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BOW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $33.95?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BOW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BOW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $44.58 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $283.4M to $551.6M across FY 2023–FY 2025 while net income rose from $25.0M to $53.8M, and the forward P/E of 17.6 si

Don't sleep on BOW's setup in Financials. Revenue grew from $283.4M to $551.6M across FY 2023–FY 2025 while net income rose from $25.0M to $53.8M, and the forward P/E of 17.6 sits below the TTM P/E of 20.9.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (63/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BOW's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $28.93 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $34.03

The RQD rating's insider conviction pillar scored 12 of 20, and the 0% FCF yield and 0% dividend yield provide no current cash return t

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BOW above $34.03. The RQD rating's insider conviction pillar scored 12 of 20, and the 0% FCF yield and 0% dividend yield provide no current cash return to shareholders.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $35.07.

LIVE TAPE