What is BOX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BOX's 12-month base price target is $46.74 (range $35.46 to $55.15), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / BOX

OCTV (61) DUOL (75) KVYO (61) YOU (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Box Inc. (BOX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell BOX stock right now?

Box Inc. (BOX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (79.2% gross margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$43.24 -0.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.31

Box Inc. (BOX) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (79.2% gross margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $5.96B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BOX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BOX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Box Inc. (NYSE: BOX) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $43.24 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $5.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, BOX ranks #35 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BOX compare to OCTV and DUOL in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BOX carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.5x, gross margin of 79.2%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, OCTV (Octave Intelligence plc (Class B)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.83B) and DUOL (Duolingo Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 15.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $6.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DUOL leads on earnings multiple (15.4x) while YOU leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOX?

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Per BOX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001372612), Box Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+8.0% YoY), $115.4M in net income, and $350.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $451.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.30 (+0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 29.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BOX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BOX SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.8% FCF Margin ($350.4M FCF) & 79.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$38.07+10.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$41.97+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$42.80+1% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$43.24+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BOX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, BOX faces multiple-compression risk if 51.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.89) or 200D SMA ($28.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.74) toward Bear Floor ($35.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BOX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BOX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)

80.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.89>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE97% OF RANGE

L: $21$43.24H: $44

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (79.2% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on BOX

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (80)

13.8% ROIC with 79.2% gross margin and 5.89% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.89 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (77)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BOX

✓Strong cash generator (79.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BOX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BOX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +71.45%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $43.34H $43.45L $43.24C $43.24VOL 2.44M

RES: $44.28SUP: $32.97SMA50: $36.89SMA200: $28.99

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BOX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BOX Butterfly Map → + Track BOX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

37.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BOX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BOX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BOX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BOX)

Technology Rank #35 of 715 ⚔️ OCTV vs BOX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BOX vs. OCTV, DUOL, KVYO, YOU)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Box Inc. (BOX) ranks #35 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #192 by equity capitalization ($5.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DUOL leads on earnings valuation at 15.4x trailing P/E, while YOU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BOX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BOX ACTIVE Box Inc.	B+	76/100	51.5x	79.2%	13.8%	-0.48%	$5.96B	Benchmark Subject
OCTV Octave Intelligence plc (Class B)	C-	61/100	—	—	—	-2.53%	$5.83B	/octv-vs-box →
DUOL Duolingo Inc.	B	75/100	15.4x	72.2%	18.4%	+2.80%	$6.16B	/duol-vs-box →
KVYO Klaviyo Inc. (Series A)	C-	61/100	—	74.7%	-11.5%	+8.24%	$5.73B	/kvyo-vs-box →
YOU Clear Secure Inc.	C+	68/100	37.2x	—	26.6%	+4.26%	$6.22B	/you-vs-box →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001372612 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Box Inc. (BOX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (+8.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.09B , and +13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $115.4M, operating cash flow of $356.4M, and free cash flow of $350.4M (+6.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BOX closed FY2025 with $1.55B in total assets against $451.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.89, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$1.18B	$115.4M	$356.4M	$350.4M	$1.55B	$451.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$1.09B	$244.6M	$332.3M	$329.7M	$1.67B	$448.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$1.04B	$129.0M	$318.7M	$272.0M	$3.27B	$765.3M

3. BOX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BOX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BOX compare to OCTV and DUOL in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOX?

Where is BOX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BOX last traded at $43.24 (-0.48% on volume of 3,204,160 shares), positioning the stock +17.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.89) and +49.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.99). Across its 52-week range of $21.34 to $43.85, BOX sits at the 97.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 80.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($40.95 to $45.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: BOX RQD Cockpit BOX 12M Forecast BOX Earnings & Move BOX Dividends & DRIP BOX Insiders & 13F BOX Whale Options BOX Profit Sankey BOX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BOX — Box Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Box Inc. (BOX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 76/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $43.24 (-0.48% 1D, market capitalization $5.96B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.8%, gross margin of 79.2%, operating margin of 7.1%, and free cash flow yield of 5.89%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.29x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.89, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Box Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry..9B. Per the market data, gross margin is 79.2%, operating margin is 7.1%, and net margin is 9.8%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), Box Inc. (BOX) reported $1.18B in annual revenue (up from $1.09B in FY2024, +8.0% YoY) and $115.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.04B revenue, $129.0M net income) through FY2025, BOX scaled operating cash flow to $356.4M and free cash flow to $350.4M, backed by $1.55B in total assets against $451.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 76/100): Strong cash generator (79.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.34 – $43.85 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 51.5x trailing P/E and 68.2x EV/EBITDA against 7.1% operating margins and a 1.29x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty.

Key Question #1: Can BOX sustain or expand its 7.1% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.18B and free cash flow of $350.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $451.0M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is BOX's 47.9x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.29x)?

BOX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Box Inc. (BOX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BOX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Box (BOX) Stock Could Trade At A Discount As Shares Ran 69%

Yahoo Finance report covering Box Inc. (BOX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investor's Business Daily • 1d ago

Why Box Stock Is An 'Underappreciated AI Winner' And BofA's Top Pick

Investor's Business Daily report covering Box Inc. (BOX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Box stock hits all-time high at 40.1 USD

Investing.com report covering Box Inc. (BOX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Trefis • 1d ago

What Does Box’s Lower Multiple Really Say?

Trefis report covering Box Inc. (BOX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE CNBC • 1d ago

Paul Tudor Jones says 2027 could be a really challenging year for the stock market

CNBC report covering Box Inc. (BOX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

Box stock is gaining momentum: is a reversal possible as it gets overbought?

TradingView report covering Box Inc. (BOX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Barron's • 1d ago

Penalty Box? Buy Boeing Stock Now, Says Citi.

Barron's report covering Box Inc. (BOX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

How Unusual Is Box's Latest Profit Margin?

Yahoo Finance report covering Box Inc. (BOX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BOX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.24?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BOX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.35 (+32.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 17/20 whale 13F flow pillar and 13.8% ROIC support a high-scoring cash-and-institutional profile.

Long BOX at $43.45 targeting $57.35. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 17/20 whale 13F flow pillar and 13.8% ROIC support a high-scoring cash-and-institutional profile.. Institutional whale score is 17/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $21.34 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 17/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $43.45 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.02 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $43.45

Per the market data, a 51.5 TTM P/E and 68.2 EV/EBITDA leave little valuation cushion if cash generation slows.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on BOX: Per the market data, a 51.5 TTM P/E and 68.2 EV/EBITDA leave little valuation cushion if cash generation slows.. At 51.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.