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Stock Ratings / Technology / BOX / earnings
OCTV (61) DUOL (75) KVYO (61) YOU (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Box Inc. (BOX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.3% Move

$43.24 -0.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.31

Box Inc. (BOX) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (79.2% gross margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $5.96B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BOX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BOX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Box Inc. (NYSE: BOX) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $43.24 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $5.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, BOX ranks #35 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BOX compare to OCTV and DUOL in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BOX carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.5x, gross margin of 79.2%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, OCTV (Octave Intelligence plc (Class B)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.83B) and DUOL (Duolingo Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 15.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $6.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DUOL leads on earnings multiple (15.4x) while YOU leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOX?
▼

Per BOX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001372612), Box Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+8.0% YoY), $115.4M in net income, and $350.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $451.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.30 (+0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 29.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510076
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B+ · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (17)SEC (14)Macro (16)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$55 Bull$47 Base$35 Bear
📬 FREE BOX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BOX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BOX SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.8% FCF Margin ($350.4M FCF) & 79.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$38.07+10.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$41.97+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$42.80+1% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$43.24+7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BOX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, BOX faces multiple-compression risk if 51.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.89) or 200D SMA ($28.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.74) toward Bear Floor ($35.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BOX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BOX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~87 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.3% Swing Band

±$2.29 Expected Swing
$40.95 (-5.3%)Spot $43.24$45.53 (+5.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BOX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 76/100

Trailing EPS: $0.84 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8%

Model Bullish Setup (76/100)Model Risk Weight (24/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-01-31$1.18B$115.4M$350.4M79.2%
FY 20242025-01-31$1.09B$244.6M$329.7M79.1%
FY 20232024-01-31$1.04B$129.0M$272.0M79.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BOX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BOX
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BOX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +71.45%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $43.34H $43.45L $43.24C $43.24VOL 2.44M
RES: $44.28SUP: $32.97SMA50: $36.89SMA200: $28.99
$45.29$39.34$33.39$27.44$21.49RES $44.28SUP $32.97$43.242026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BOX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BOX Butterfly Map → + Track BOX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
37.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BOX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BOX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BOX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BOX)

Technology Rank #35 of 715 ⚔️ OCTV vs BOX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BOX vs. OCTV, DUOL, KVYO, YOU)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Box Inc. (BOX) ranks #35 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #192 by equity capitalization ($5.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DUOL leads on earnings valuation at 15.4x trailing P/E, while YOU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BOX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BOX ACTIVE
Box Inc.
B+ 76/100 51.5x 79.2% 13.8% -0.48% $5.96B Benchmark Subject
OCTV
Octave Intelligence plc (Class B)
C- 61/100 — — — -2.53% $5.83B /octv-vs-box →
DUOL
Duolingo Inc.
B 75/100 15.4x 72.2% 18.4% +2.80% $6.16B /duol-vs-box →
KVYO
Klaviyo Inc. (Series A)
C- 61/100 — 74.7% -11.5% +8.24% $5.73B /kvyo-vs-box →
YOU
Clear Secure Inc.
C+ 68/100 37.2x — 26.6% +4.26% $6.22B /you-vs-box →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001372612 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Box Inc. (BOX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (+8.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.09B , and +13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $115.4M, operating cash flow of $356.4M, and free cash flow of $350.4M (+6.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BOX closed FY2025 with $1.55B in total assets against $451.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.89, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $1.18B $115.4M $356.4M $350.4M $1.55B $451.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $1.09B $244.6M $332.3M $329.7M $1.67B $448.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $1.04B $129.0M $318.7M $272.0M $3.27B $765.3M

3. BOX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BOX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Box Inc. (NYSE: BOX) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $43.24 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $5.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, BOX ranks #35 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BOX compare to OCTV and DUOL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BOX carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.5x, gross margin of 79.2%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, OCTV (Octave Intelligence plc (Class B)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.83B) and DUOL (Duolingo Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 15.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $6.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DUOL leads on earnings multiple (15.4x) while YOU leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOX?

Per BOX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001372612), Box Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+8.0% YoY), $115.4M in net income, and $350.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $451.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BOX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BOX last traded at $43.24 (-0.48% on volume of 3,204,160 shares), positioning the stock +17.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.89) and +49.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.99). Across its 52-week range of $21.34 to $43.85, BOX sits at the 97.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 80.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($40.95 to $45.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: BOX RQD Cockpit BOX 12M Forecast BOX Earnings & Move BOX Dividends & DRIP BOX Insiders & 13F BOX Whale Options BOX Profit Sankey BOX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BOX — Box Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Box Inc. (BOX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 76/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $43.24 (-0.48% 1D, market capitalization $5.96B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.8%, gross margin of 79.2%, operating margin of 7.1%, and free cash flow yield of 5.89%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.29x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.89, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Box Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry..9B. Per the market data, gross margin is 79.2%, operating margin is 7.1%, and net margin is 9.8%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), Box Inc. (BOX) reported $1.18B in annual revenue (up from $1.09B in FY2024, +8.0% YoY) and $115.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.04B revenue, $129.0M net income) through FY2025, BOX scaled operating cash flow to $356.4M and free cash flow to $350.4M, backed by $1.55B in total assets against $451.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 76/100): Strong cash generator (79.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.34 – $43.85 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 51.5x trailing P/E and 68.2x EV/EBITDA against 7.1% operating margins and a 1.29x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty.

  • Key Question #1: Can BOX sustain or expand its 7.1% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.18B and free cash flow of $350.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $451.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BOX's 47.9x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.29x)?

BOX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Box Inc. (BOX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BOX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BOX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.24?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BOX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BOX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.35 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 17/20 whale 13F flow pillar and 13.8% ROIC support a high-scoring cash-and-institutional profile.

Long BOX at $43.45 targeting $57.35. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 17/20 whale 13F flow pillar and 13.8% ROIC support a high-scoring cash-and-institutional profile.. Institutional whale score is 17/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $21.34 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 17/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $43.45 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.02 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $43.45

Per the market data, a 51.5 TTM P/E and 68.2 EV/EBITDA leave little valuation cushion if cash generation slows.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on BOX: Per the market data, a 51.5 TTM P/E and 68.2 EV/EBITDA leave little valuation cushion if cash generation slows.. At 51.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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