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BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.97 +3.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.98

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $68.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BXBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BOXABL Inc. (NASDAQ: BXBL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (+3.68% 1D, market cap $68.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BXBL ranks #676 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BXBL compare to SPHL and ONEG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), BXBL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 46.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -23.4%. By comparison, SPHL (Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.0%, cap $28.3M) and ONEG (OneConstruction Group Limited) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $26.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BXBL leads on earnings multiple (46.1x) while BXBL leads on capital efficiency (-23.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BXBL?
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Per BXBL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001906364), BOXABL Inc. generated $2.7M in revenue (+3660.8% YoY), $1.4M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $82.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.98 (+0.47%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 54.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.1% Base Target
$16 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE BXBL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BXBL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BXBL SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 54.5% FCF Margin ($1.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$3.24-13.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$2.81-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$2.72-27.6% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$1.97-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BXBL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BXBL currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.49) and Max Pain ($2.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BXBL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BXBL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BXBL Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BXBL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BXBL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BXBL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BXBL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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BXBL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -80.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.90H $1.97L $1.90C $1.97VOL 176.4K
RES: $12.58SUP: $1.79SMA50: $3.49SMA200: $7.80
$16.07$12.22$8.38$4.53$0.69RES $12.58SUP $1.79$1.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BXBL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BXBL Butterfly Map → + Track BXBL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
34.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3660.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BXBL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BXBL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BXBL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BXBL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #676 of 1009 ⚔️ SPHL vs BXBL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BXBL vs. SPHL, ONEG, LGPS, LRE)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) ranks #676 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #784 by equity capitalization ($68.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BXBL leads on earnings valuation at 46.1x trailing P/E, while BXBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.4% ROIC and — gross margin. LGPS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with BXBL at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BXBL ACTIVE
BOXABL Inc.
D 44/100 46.1x — -23.4% +3.68% $68.2M Benchmark Subject
SPHL
Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)
D- 35/100 — 13.7% -27.0% -4.94% $28.3M /sphl-vs-bxbl →
ONEG
OneConstruction Group Limited
D+ 53/100 — -14.4% — +108.15% $26.1M /oneg-vs-bxbl →
LGPS
LogProstyle Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — — +9.15% $15.2M /lgps-vs-bxbl →
LRE
Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd
D 46/100 — — — -5.35% $14.5M /lre-vs-bxbl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001906364 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.7M (+3660.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $72.4K ) , GAAP net income of $1.4M, operating cash flow of $1.5M, and free cash flow of $1.5M (+14998.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BXBL closed FY2025 with $82.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.7M $1.4M $1.5M $1.5M $82.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $72.4K -$25.9K -$10.0K -$10.0K $169.0K —

3. BXBL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BXBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BOXABL Inc. (NASDAQ: BXBL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (+3.68% 1D, market cap $68.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BXBL ranks #676 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BXBL compare to SPHL and ONEG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), BXBL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 46.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -23.4%. By comparison, SPHL (Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.0%, cap $28.3M) and ONEG (OneConstruction Group Limited) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $26.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BXBL leads on earnings multiple (46.1x) while BXBL leads on capital efficiency (-23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BXBL?

Per BXBL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001906364), BOXABL Inc. generated $2.7M in revenue (+3660.8% YoY), $1.4M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $82.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BXBL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BXBL last traded at $1.97 (+3.68% on volume of 176,401 shares), positioning the stock -43.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.49) and -74.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.80). Across its 52-week range of $1.88 to $15.14, BXBL sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.72 to $2.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: BXBL RQD Cockpit BXBL 12M Forecast BXBL Earnings & Move BXBL Dividends & DRIP BXBL Insiders & 13F BXBL Whale Options BXBL Profit Sankey BXBL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BXBL — BOXABL Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.97 (+3.68% 1D, market capitalization $68.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -23.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 2.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (BXBL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Homebuilding industry. Its headlines reference factory-built housing, including a workforce housing project at Sage Memorial Hospital in Arizona that features BOXABL Studio Casitas.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) reported $2.7M in annual revenue (up from $72.4K in FY2024, +3660.8% YoY) and $1.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($72.4K revenue, -$25.9K net income) through FY2025, BXBL scaled operating cash flow to $1.5M and free cash flow to $1.5M, backed by $82.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.26% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.88 – $15.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 46.1x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are mapped (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). Accordingly, specific 2nd-order ripples cannot be traced from the source data. The general sector context is Consumer Discretionary / Homebuilding. Investors should watch whether factory-built housing orders (such as the Arizona project) translate into revenue, since the FY 2025 revenue of — indicates that operational wins are not yet visible in reported financials.

  • Key Question #1: Can BXBL sustain or expand its — operating margin and -23.4% ROIC against Homebuilding peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.7M and free cash flow of $1.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BXBL's 42.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BXBL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BXBL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BXBL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BXBL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BXBL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.42 (+22.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar (13 / 20, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) is the strongest component of the rating, s

The street is overcomplicating BOXABL Inc. (BXBL). The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar (13 / 20, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) is the strongest component of the rating, suggesting balance-sheet resilience beneath weak cash generation.. With an RQD score of 44/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $2.13.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 46.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Homebuilding. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.60 (-18.8%)
Spot @ $1.97

ROIC of -23.4% and a Whale 13F Flow score of 3 / 20 show value destruction and minimal institutional sponsorship, while trailing P/E of

Careful chasing BXBL at $1.97. ROIC of -23.4% and a Whale 13F Flow score of 3 / 20 show value destruction and minimal institutional sponsorship, while trailing P/E of 46.1 on EPS of 0.04 leaves little valuation cushion.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.60 on multiple compression.

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