BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.97 +3.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.98

BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $68.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BXBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BOXABL Inc. (NASDAQ: BXBL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (+3.68% 1D, market cap $68.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BXBL ranks #678 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BXBL compare to SPHL and ONEG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), BXBL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 46.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -23.4%. By comparison, SPHL (Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.0%, cap $28.3M) and ONEG (OneConstruction Group Limited) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $26.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BXBL leads on earnings multiple (46.1x) while BXBL leads on capital efficiency (-23.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BXBL?
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Per BXBL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001906364), BOXABL Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $1.4M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $82.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.98 (+0.47%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.1% Base Target
$16 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE BXBL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BXBL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BXBL SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($1.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$3.24-13.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$2.81-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$2.72-27.6% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$1.97-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BXBL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BXBL currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.49) and Max Pain ($2.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BXBL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BXBL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BXBL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BXBL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BXBL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BXBL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BXBL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -80.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.90H $1.97L $1.90C $1.97VOL 176.4K
RES: $12.58SUP: $1.79SMA50: $3.49SMA200: $7.80
$16.07$12.22$8.38$4.53$0.69RES $12.58SUP $1.79$1.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BXBL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
34.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BXBL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BXBL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BXBL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BXBL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #678 of 1011 ⚔️ SPHL vs BXBL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BXBL vs. SPHL, ONEG, LGPS, LRE)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) ranks #678 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #786 by equity capitalization ($68.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BXBL leads on earnings valuation at 46.1x trailing P/E, while BXBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.4% ROIC and — gross margin. LGPS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with BXBL at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BXBL ACTIVE
BOXABL Inc.
D 44/100 46.1x — -23.4% +3.68% $68.2M Benchmark Subject
SPHL
Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)
D- 35/100 — 13.7% -27.0% -4.94% $28.3M /sphl-vs-bxbl →
ONEG
OneConstruction Group Limited
D+ 53/100 — -14.4% — +108.15% $26.1M /oneg-vs-bxbl →
LGPS
LogProstyle Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — — +9.15% $15.2M /lgps-vs-bxbl →
LRE
Lead Real Estate Co. Ltd
D 46/100 — — — -5.35% $14.5M /lre-vs-bxbl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001906364

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $1.4M, operating cash flow of $1.5M, and free cash flow of $1.5M (+14998.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BXBL closed FY2025 with $82.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $1.4M $1.5M $1.5M $82.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$25.9K -$10.0K -$10.0K $169.0K —

3. BXBL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BXBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BOXABL Inc. (NASDAQ: BXBL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.97 (+3.68% 1D, market cap $68.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BXBL ranks #678 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BXBL compare to SPHL and ONEG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), BXBL carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 46.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -23.4%. By comparison, SPHL (Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.0%, cap $28.3M) and ONEG (OneConstruction Group Limited) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $26.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BXBL leads on earnings multiple (46.1x) while BXBL leads on capital efficiency (-23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BXBL?

Per BXBL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001906364), BOXABL Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $1.4M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $82.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BXBL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BXBL last traded at $1.97 (+3.68% on volume of 176,401 shares), positioning the stock -43.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.49) and -74.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.80). Across its 52-week range of $1.88 to $15.14, BXBL sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.72 to $2.22).

BXBL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BXBL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BXBL.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BXBL — BOXABL Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BXBL scores 44 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20 (ROIC -23.4%; FCF yield 2.26%). This is the weakest economic signal: the company is not earning a return on invested capital, and the cash yield is thin relative to a $1.9 share price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the lowest pillar score. For a prospective investor, it indicates little supportive institutional sponsorship in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 8 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). The score signals weak insider-conviction support.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move roughly in line with the market, so it offers no defensive cushion, and sector sensitivity adds exposure to homebuilding cycles.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the strongest pillar, though still only moderate. It suggests the balance sheet is less fragile than the cash-generation and flow pillars, which is a relative positive rather than an endorsement.

Taken together, the upside case rests mainly on balance-sheet resilience and the valuation gap implied by a share price down 26.64% on the day against a 52-week range of $1.88 to $15.14. The valuation tradeoff is that a P/E (TTM) of 46.1 on EPS (TTM) of 0.04 is sensitive to small changes in earnings, and the trailing EPS is not supported by operating margin, which is 0%. A prospective investor should treat the rating as a signal that the risk-reward is currently skewed toward further distribution unless cash generation and institutional support improve.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$-1.0M$1.4MN/A$1.5MN/AN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$0.0M$-0.0M$-0.0MN/A$-0.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 shows an operating loss of $-1.0M alongside positive net income of $1.4M and FCF of $1.5M, a divergence that the source data does not explain. Gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%. ROIC is -23.4%, and the FCF yield is 2.26%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash and debt balances are N/A in the financial table, so a full balance-sheet read is limited.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Key catalysts from the news wire:

  • A Benzinga report announces a workforce housing project at Sage Memorial Hospital in Arizona, and a Nasdaq report describes the groundbreaking featuring BOXABL Studio Casitas. This is the most concrete operational catalyst in the source data.
  • A Yahoo Finance report headlines strengthened finance leadership as the factory-built housing platform expands across the US.
  • A Stock Titan report flags an ownership amendment linked to BXBL that names a different company in RiverNorth's statement, which is a documentation inconsistency to verify.
  • Moomoo and MarketBeat items are market-data and competitor-listing pages with no fundamental content.

Risk watch items: the share price decline of 26.64%, average-to-high volume of 624,425, and the wide 52-week range. All news items carry a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the cash, debt, and EPS values behind the N/A entries in the FY 2025 and FY 2024 financial table?
  • What explains the divergence between FY 2025 operating loss of $-1.0M and positive net income of $1.4M?
  • What is BOXABL's revenue model and customer concentration, given reported revenue of $0.0M?
  • What is the ownership amendment referenced by Stock Titan, and which company does it name?
  • What is the EV/EBITDA and what analyst consensus or price targets exist, given both are unavailable?

BXBL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BOXABL Inc. (BXBL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BXBL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BXBL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.97?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BXBL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BXBL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.67 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BXBL (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $1.90?

Welcome to the BXBL (BOXABL Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Homebuilding. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (46.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.50 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $1.90

Pump the brakes on BXBL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BXBL, but look at what you are paying: 46.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless BOXABL Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.36 (+24.2%)
Spot @ $1.90

BXBL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BXBL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Homebuilding and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.90 (52-wk range $1.88 - $15.14), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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