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CAE Inc. (CAE) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$26.37 +2.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.42

CAE Inc. (CAE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.29B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CAE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, CAE Inc. (NASDAQ: CAE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $26.37 (+2.21% 1D, market cap $8.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CAE ranks #221 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAE compare to SPXC and AGCO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CAE carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPXC (SPX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $8.01B) and AGCO (AGCO Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $7.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while ZWS leads on capital efficiency (12.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAE?
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For CAE Inc. (CAE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #221 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.43 (+0.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$36 Bull$25 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE CAE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CAE SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 5.8% FCF Margin ($232.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.8) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$23.72+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$24.50+6.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$26.09+1.1% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$26.37-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CAE currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.38) and Max Pain ($27.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CAE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CAE Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CAE)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CAE. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CAE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CAE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.09%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $26.27H $26.37L $25.80C $26.37VOL 476.1K
RES: $30.21SUP: $22.78SMA50: $24.38SMA200: $26.50
$29.32$27.54$25.76$23.99$22.21RES $30.21SUP $22.78$26.372026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CAE Butterfly Map → + Track CAE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAE)

Industrials Rank #221 of 486 ⚔️ SPXC vs CAE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CAE vs. SPXC, AGCO, RAL, ZWS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CAE Inc. (CAE) ranks #221 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #109 by equity capitalization ($8.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCO leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while ZWS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.3% ROIC and 45.1% gross margin. ZWS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with CAE at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CAE ACTIVE
CAE Inc.
D 50/100 — — — +2.21% $8.29B Benchmark Subject
SPXC
SPX Technologies Inc.
D+ 55/100 34.3x 40.5% 10.6% +1.11% $8.01B /spxc-vs-cae →
AGCO
AGCO Corporation
C- 60/100 10.4x 25.5% 8.2% +2.26% $7.65B /agco-vs-cae →
RAL
Ralliant Corporation
D 49/100 — 50.3% -35.0% -1.34% $7.44B /ral-vs-cae →
ZWS
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
C- 61/100 37.3x 45.1% 12.3% -0.29% $7.40B /zws-vs-cae →

2. CAE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

CAE Inc. (CAE) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $8.29B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. CAE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, CAE Inc. (NASDAQ: CAE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $26.37 (+2.21% 1D, market cap $8.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CAE ranks #221 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAE compare to SPXC and AGCO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CAE carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPXC (SPX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $8.01B) and AGCO (AGCO Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $7.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while ZWS leads on capital efficiency (12.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAE?

For CAE Inc. (CAE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #221 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAE last traded at $26.37 (+2.21% on volume of 678,301 shares), positioning the stock +8.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($24.38) and -0.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.50). Across its 52-week range of $22.76 to $34.24, CAE sits at the 31.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($24.92 to $27.82).

Direct Sub-Reports: CAE RQD Cockpit CAE 12M Forecast CAE Earnings & Move CAE Dividends & DRIP CAE Insiders & 13F CAE Whale Options CAE Profit Sankey CAE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CAE — CAE Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

CAE Inc. (CAE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $26.37 (+2.21% 1D, market capitalization $8.29B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, with a market capitalization of $8.4B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $22.76 – $34.24 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector co-movement pathways for CAE. An investor should treat the sector label (Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components) as the only structural context available. The second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can CAE sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $34.24 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CAE's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CAE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CAE Inc. (CAE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CAE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Stocks in play: CAE Inc.

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $26.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CAE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.70 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

RBC Capital maintains an Outperform rating on CAE with a $47 price target, well above the $25.8 share price.

Don't sleep on CAE's setup in Industrials. RBC Capital maintains an Outperform rating on CAE with a $47 price target, well above the $25.8 share price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (50/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.12 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $25.80

The RQD rating shows 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield with an insider conviction pillar of only 9 of 20.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CAE: The RQD rating shows 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield with an insider conviction pillar of only 9 of 20.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Industrial Machinery/Components triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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