MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 15h ago
CAE And 2 Canadian Defense Stocks To OwnYahoo Finance report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CAE Stock slipped -1.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$25.80 -1.79% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.67
CAE Inc. (CAE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $8.45B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CAE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is CAE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, CAE Inc. (NASDAQ: CAE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $25.80 (-1.79% 1D, market cap $8.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CAE ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CAE compare to SPXC and RAL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CAE carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPXC (SPX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $8.38B) and RAL (Ralliant Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while SPXC leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAE?
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For CAE Inc. (CAE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #166 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.67 (-0.51%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CAE SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 26% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$23.74+1.7% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$24.15+3.5% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$25.00+3.2% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D+$25.80-0.2% Hist 90D α
57
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CAE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CAE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($24.36) or 200D SMA ($26.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.68) toward Bear Floor ($20.03).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CAE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CAE Stock slipped -1.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
CAE Inc. (CAE) slipped -1.79% to $25.80, trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($22.76 – $34.24). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($22.76 – $34.24) with RSI-14 at 61.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.5% around $25.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $236.5M annual free cash flow.
Live CAE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 18h ago
CAE Inc.: Strong Buy With Significant Catalyst Potential (NASDAQ:CAE)Seeking Alpha report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTGuruFocus • 21h ago
CAE Inc (CAE) Shares Surge 4.4% -- What GF Score of 79 Tells InvGuruFocus report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRECantech Letter • 1d ago
National Bank trims price target on CAECantech Letter report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTTradingView • 1d ago
RBC Capital maintains Outperform rating on CAE, $47 price targetTradingView report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
CAE Inc. (TSE:CAE) Stock Has Average Target Price of C$47.23MarketBeat report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Stocks in play: CAE Inc.Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
CAE agreed to sell its airline software business. It plans to invest proceeds in training and return money to shareholders.Stock Titan report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
New Horizons Ahead: Applications Open November 1 for the Eighth Annual Air Canada and CAE Captain Judy Cameron Scholarship(NASDAQ: CAE) (TSX: CAE) – Air Canada and CAE are once again joining forces to support more women building careers in aviation through the Captain Judy Cameron Scholarship. The two Montréal-based global aviation companie
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Advisory: CAE's FY2027 Q2 financial results conference call(Nasdaq: CAE) (TSX: CAE) – Analysts and institutional investors are invited to virtually attend CAE's FY2027 Q2 financial results conference call on Thursday, November 12, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (ET). CAE will r
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAE)
- ✓Walkthrough of CAE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CAE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.19%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $26.25H $26.30L $25.66C $25.80VOL 476.1K
RES: $30.19SUP: $22.79SMA50: $24.36SMA200: $26.54
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CAE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAE)
Industrials Rank #166 of 485
⚔️ SPXC vs CAE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CAE vs. SPXC, RAL, AGCO, OC)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CAE Inc. (CAE) ranks #166 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #109 by equity capitalization ($8.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCO leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while SPXC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and 40.5% gross margin. AGCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with CAE at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAE
ACTIVE
CAE Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -1.79% | $8.45B | Benchmark Subject |
| SPXC SPX Technologies Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 34.3x | 40.5% | 10.6% | -4.37% | $8.38B | /spxc-vs-cae → |
| RAL Ralliant Corporation | D+ | 53/100 | — | 50.3% | -35.0% | -4.71% | $7.80B | /ral-vs-cae → |
| AGCO AGCO Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 10.4x | 25.5% | 8.2% | +2.85% | $7.55B | /agco-vs-cae → |
| OC Owens Corning Inc | D+ | 52/100 | — | 28.1% | 3.5% | -0.37% | $9.61B | /oc-vs-cae → |
2. CAE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTCAE Inc. (CAE) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $8.45B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. CAE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CAE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, CAE Inc. (NASDAQ: CAE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $25.80 (-1.79% 1D, market cap $8.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CAE ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CAE compare to SPXC and RAL in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CAE carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPXC (SPX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $8.38B) and RAL (Ralliant Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while SPXC leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAE?
For CAE Inc. (CAE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #166 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CAE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CAE last traded at $25.80 (-1.79% on volume of 476,142 shares), positioning the stock +5.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($24.36) and -2.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.54). Across its 52-week range of $22.76 to $34.24, CAE sits at the 26.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($24.38 to $27.22).
CAE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CAE stock moving today?
Why CAE Stock slipped -1.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
CAE — CAE Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:36Z
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CAE scores 57 out of 100 (letter grade D+), labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 10 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction. The cash-engine score reflects a reported 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, which means the rating does not credit the company with current cash return on capital. The insider pillar is the lowest of the five at 9 of 20. The balance sheet and macro-fit pillars are mid-range and do not offset the weak cash and insider signals. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash generation or stronger insider and institutional conviction, neither of which the rating currently shows. The valuation tradeoff is that the share price sits within a wide 52-week band, so the stock's position relative to that range is a context point rather than a fundamental signal.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Analyst action (CATALYST): Per the news wire, RBC Capital maintained an Outperform rating on CAE with a $47 price target.
- Analyst action (WATCH): Per the news wire, National Bank trimmed its price target on CAE.
- Price target context (MARKET WIRE): Per the news wire, a MarketBeat report cites an average target price of C$47.23.
- Positive momentum (CATALYST): Per the news wire, a GuruFocus report headlines a 4.4% share surge and cites a GF Score of 79.
- Thematic coverage (MARKET WIRE): Multiple reports position CAE among Canadian defense-related names and cite "strong buy" and "significant catalyst potential" language from a Seeking Alpha item.
- Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.
Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership
Analyst data is listed as NONE in the source. Per the news wire, RBC Capital maintains Outperform with a $47 price target and National Bank has trimmed its price target, while a MarketBeat report cites an average target price of C$47.23. A consensus rating count is not available in source data. Holder data is listed as NONE, so 13F whale positions, SEC Form 4 insider trades, and Congressional trades are not available in source data. The RQD pillars nevertheless reference institutional accumulation and insider cluster flow, which the holder section itself does not substantiate.
Open Questions
- What are the underlying revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
- Why does the RQD rating report 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and are these figures accurate or placeholders?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and the full distribution of price targets, given only a few individual targets appear?
- Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the whale and insider pillar scores, since the holders section is empty?
- What are the company's products, customers, and supply-chain dependencies, since the Butterfly graph shows none?
CAE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CAE Inc. (CAE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 15h ago
CAE And 2 Canadian Defense Stocks To Own Yahoo Finance report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 18h ago
CAE Inc.: Strong Buy With Significant Catalyst Potential (NASDAQ:CAE) Seeking Alpha report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 21h ago
CAE Inc (CAE) Shares Surge 4.4% -- What GF Score of 79 Tells Inv GuruFocus report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Cantech Letter • 1d ago
National Bank trims price target on CAE Cantech Letter report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago
RBC Capital maintains Outperform rating on CAE, $47 price target TradingView report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
CAE Inc. (TSE:CAE) Stock Has Average Target Price of C$47.23 MarketBeat report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Stocks in play: CAE Inc. Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
CAE agreed to sell its airline software business. It plans to invest proceeds in training and return money to shareholders. Stock Titan report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
CAE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.80?
🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST
🎯 Target: $27.86 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CAE (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $25.80?
Welcome to the CAE (CAE Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $19.35 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $25.80 Pump the brakes on CAE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CAE, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless CAE Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $31.73 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $25.80 CAE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CAE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $25.80 (52-wk range $22.76 - $34.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.