CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.2% Move

$32.18 -0.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.20

CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (93% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.87B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CARG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CARG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CARG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $32.18 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $2.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CARG ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CARG compare to NTCT and KD in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CARG carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of 92.8%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $2.79B) and KD (Kyndryl Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CARG?
▼

Per CARG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001494259), CarGurus Inc. (Class A) generated $907.0M in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $155.9M in net income, and $288.9M in free cash flow against $661.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (93% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.20 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 31.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510077
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B-
Cash (20)Whales (10)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.5% Base Target
$43 Bull$35 Base$26 Bear
📬 FREE CARG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CARG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CARG SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.9% FCF Margin ($288.9M FCF) & 92.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.7) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$29.32+8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$31.66-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
74
Grade B+$30.96+3.9% Next Q
Current
77
Grade B+$32.18+7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → B+ (77)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CARG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, CARG faces multiple-compression risk if 18.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 90.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.16) or 200D SMA ($32.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.93) toward Bear Floor ($26.39).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CARG• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CARG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.2% Swing Band

±$2.64 Expected Swing
$29.54 (-8.2%)Spot $32.18$34.82 (+8.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CARG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 77/100

Trailing EPS: $1.75 • YoY Revenue Growth: 13.7%

Model Bullish Setup (77/100)Model Risk Weight (23/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$907.0M$155.9M$288.9M92.8%
FY 20242024-12-31$798.0M$21.0M$180.3M91.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$698.4M$22.1M$124.5M92%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CARG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CARG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CARG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.98%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $32.50H $32.50L $32.18C $32.18VOL 1.38M
RES: $44.10SUP: $26.33SMA50: $32.16SMA200: $32.84
$42.23$38.04$33.86$29.67$25.48RES $44.10SUP $26.33$32.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CARG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CARG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CARG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CARG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CARG)

Technology Rank #24 of 714 ⚔️ NTCT vs CARG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CARG vs. NTCT, KD, FIVN, AGYS)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) ranks #24 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #256 by equity capitalization ($2.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CARG ACTIVE
CarGurus Inc. (Class A)
B+ 77/100 18.6x 92.8% 85.0% -0.98% $2.87B Benchmark Subject
NTCT
NetScout Systems Inc.
C+ 66/100 30.0x 79.4% 7.9% -2.49% $2.79B /ntct-vs-carg →
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 — 21.8% — -0.79% $3.01B /kd-vs-carg →
FIVN
Five9 Inc.
C- 60/100 70.9x 55.1% 4.1% -2.86% $2.72B /fivn-vs-carg →
AGYS
Agilysys Inc.
B- 71/100 84.3x 62.6% 14.7% -0.05% $3.27B /agys-vs-carg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001494259

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) reported GAAP revenue of $907.0M (+13.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $798.0M , and +29.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $155.9M, operating cash flow of $295.3M, and free cash flow of $288.9M (+60.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CARG closed FY2025 with $661.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.72, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $907.0M $155.9M $295.3M $288.9M $661.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $798.0M $21.0M $255.5M $180.3M $824.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $698.4M $22.1M $124.5M $124.5M — —

3. CARG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CARG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CARG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $32.18 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $2.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CARG ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CARG compare to NTCT and KD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CARG carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of 92.8%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $2.79B) and KD (Kyndryl Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CARG?

Per CARG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001494259), CarGurus Inc. (Class A) generated $907.0M in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $155.9M in net income, and $288.9M in free cash flow against $661.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (93% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CARG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CARG last traded at $32.18 (-0.98% on volume of 1,375,744 shares), positioning the stock +0.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.16) and -2.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.84). Across its 52-week range of $26.39 to $41.22, CARG sits at the 39.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($29.54 to $34.82).

CARG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CARG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CARG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.2% event move for CARG, spanning a range between $29.54 and $34.82.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 77/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CARG — CarGurus Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:41Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CARG scores 78 out of 100 (letter grade B+), labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 20 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 85% and FCF yield of 9.98%. This is the maximum pillar score and is the strongest part of the thesis: the company generates high returns on invested capital and substantial free cash flow relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is mid-range, indicating some institutional activity without a decisive signal in either direction.
  • Insider Conviction: 19 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A near-maximum score here suggests a favorable insider and disclosed-trade pattern in the source data, though the underlying transactions are not itemized in the provided material.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The mid-range score signals that the stock's macro exposure is roughly market-equivalent, offering neither a defensive cushion nor a clear macro tailwind.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 9.72, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is a strong reading and supports the view that balance-sheet risk is low.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a business with exceptional cash-generation efficiency and a clean balance sheet, offset by only moderate macro-regime alignment and institutional flow signals. Valuation is the key tradeoff: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 18.6 and forward P/E is 15.6, which are not extreme for a business with these return metrics, but the stock sits in the upper portion of its 52-week range. The rating does not itself constitute a recommendation, and the factors above should be weighed against the open questions listed below.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
32.5$2.89B18.615.610.81.750%1.0$26.39 - $41.2285%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are listed for CARG:

  • A ChartMill report characterizes CARG as a Lynch-style growth-at-a-reasonable-price stock (flagged GREEN, CATALYST).
  • A Benzinga transcript of the Q2 2026 earnings conference call is listed (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Simply Wall St piece addresses misleading price labels and the stock's investment narrative (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A MarketBeat item reports that Congress Asset Management Co. increased its CARG holdings (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Stock Titan item reports that Officer Samuel Zales proposed selling 10,000 Class A shares (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A MarketBeat item reports that Assenagon Asset Management S.A. purchased CARG stock (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).

Risk watch items: the insider share-sale proposal is the only item in the feed that describes a potential outflow. Proprietary signals: per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, none are listed.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition and timing of the institutional and insider transactions referenced in the news feed, and do they align with the 13F and Form 4 pillar scores?
  • What drove the decline in reported cash from $304.2M in FY 2024 to $190.5M in FY 2025, and how does it relate to free cash flow of $288.9M?
  • What are the company's EPS and debt figures for the reported periods, which are currently unavailable in the financial data?
  • What is the source and content of the Q2 2026 earnings call, and what guidance or results were disclosed?
  • Which upstream and downstream dependencies and sector correlations would the butterfly analysis reveal if mapped, given the current NONE status?

CARG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CARG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CARG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $32.18?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CARG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CARG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $38.35 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CARG (B+ • RQD 78/100) a Buy at $32.50?

Welcome to the CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 78/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in EDP Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.65 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $32.50

Pump the brakes on CARG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CARG, but look at what you are paying: 18.6x trailing P/E with 92.8% gross margins. Unless CarGurus Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $40.95 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $32.50

CARG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CARG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $32.50 (52-wk range $26.39 - $41.22), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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