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COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$33.03 -0.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.94

COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.77B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CDP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CDP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, COPT Defense Properties of (NYSE: CDP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $33.03 (-0.51% 1D, market cap $3.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CDP ranks #590 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CDP compare to LXP and SLG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CDP carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LXP (LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT)) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $3.61B) and SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 14.7%, cap $3.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXP leads on earnings multiple (31.9x) while HIW leads on capital efficiency (18.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDP?
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Per CDP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000860546), COPT Defense Properties of generated $42.1M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $309.9M in free cash flow against $4.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.94 (-0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 736.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$41 Bull$32 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE CDP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDP SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 736.6% FCF Margin ($309.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (44.6) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$33.22-0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$33.09+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$33.47-1.3% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$33.03-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CDP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CDP currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.25) and Max Pain ($34.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $40.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CDP Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $33.03: 302.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $25.07
$7,590
$-2,410 (-24.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $32.14
$9,731
$-269 (-2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $40.84
$12,365
+$2,365 (+23.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CDP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CDP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.65%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $33.35H $33.35L $33.03C $33.03VOL 1.29M
RES: $36.09SUP: $32.50SMA50: $34.25SMA200: $33.64
$39.53$36.92$34.30$31.69$29.08RES $36.09SUP $32.50$33.032026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CDP Butterfly Map → + Track CDP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -44.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDP)

Financials Rank #590 of 1097 ⚔️ LXP vs CDP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CDP vs. LXP, SLG, IRT, HIW)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) ranks #590 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #322 by equity capitalization ($3.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LXP leads on earnings valuation at 31.9x trailing P/E, while HIW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LXP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CDP at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CDP ACTIVE
COPT Defense Properties of
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.51% $3.77B Benchmark Subject
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT)
B- 70/100 31.9x — 4.4% +0.05% $3.61B /lxp-vs-cdp →
SLG
SL Green Realty Corp
C- 59/100 — — 14.7% -2.16% $3.58B /slg-vs-cdp →
IRT
Independence Realty Trust Inc.
D 46/100 61.7x — 1.6% -0.87% $3.52B /irt-vs-cdp →
HIW
Highwoods Properties Inc.
C 65/100 — — 18.3% -1.60% $3.45B /hiw-vs-cdp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000860546 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) reported GAAP revenue of $42.1M (-44.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $75.5M , and -30.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $309.9M, and free cash flow of $309.9M (-6.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDP closed FY2025 with $4.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $42.1M $0 $309.9M $309.9M $4.70B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $75.5M $0 $331.0M $331.0M $4.25B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $60.2M $0 $276.3M $276.3M — —

3. CDP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, COPT Defense Properties of (NYSE: CDP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $33.03 (-0.51% 1D, market cap $3.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CDP ranks #590 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CDP compare to LXP and SLG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CDP carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LXP (LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT)) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $3.61B) and SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 14.7%, cap $3.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXP leads on earnings multiple (31.9x) while HIW leads on capital efficiency (18.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDP?

Per CDP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000860546), COPT Defense Properties of generated $42.1M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $309.9M in free cash flow against $4.70B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CDP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDP last traded at $33.03 (-0.51% on volume of 1,493,138 shares), positioning the stock -3.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.25) and -1.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($33.64). Across its 52-week range of $27.06 to $38.90, CDP sits at the 50.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($31.54 to $34.52).

Direct Sub-Reports: CDP RQD Cockpit CDP 12M Forecast CDP Earnings & Move CDP Dividends & DRIP CDP Insiders & 13F CDP Whale Options CDP Profit Sankey CDP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CDP — COPT Defense Properties of: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $33.03 (-0.51% 1D, market capitalization $3.77B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 7.98%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. The company reports revenue, though the source does not break it down by segment or customer. Per the market data, the company carries a market capitalization of $3.9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) reported $42.1M in annual revenue (up from $75.5M in FY2024, -44.3% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($60.2M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, CDP scaled operating cash flow to $309.9M and free cash flow to $309.9M, backed by $4.70B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 7.98% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.06 – $38.90 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data, and no sector correlations or bottlenecks are identified.

  • Key Question #1: Can CDP sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $42.1M and free cash flow of $309.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CDP's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CDP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for COPT Defense Properties of (CDP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CDP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CDP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $33.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CDP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CDP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $43.69 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported FY 2025 free cash flow of $309.9M and a 7.98% FCF yield indicate substantial cash generation relative to the stock's $3.88B ma

Don't sleep on CDP's setup in Financials. Reported FY 2025 free cash flow of $309.9M and a 7.98% FCF yield indicate substantial cash generation relative to the stock's $3.88B market cap.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (52/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $28.68 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $33.35

A 0% ROIC, zero reported net income, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 point to weak profitability and limited fundamental strength.

Fading this rally in CDP at $33.35. A 0% ROIC, zero reported net income, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 point to weak profitability and limited fundamental strength.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $33.35 (52-wk range $27.06–$38.90), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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