Yahoo Finance report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CHMG Stock advanced +1.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is CHMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Chemung Financial Corp (NASDAQ: CHMG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $87.42 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $421.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CHMG ranks #176 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CHMG compare to PCB and FNLC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CHMG carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, PCB (PCB Bancorp) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $420.5M) and FNLC (First Bancorp Inc (ME)) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 12.1%, cap $415.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PCB leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while FNLC leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHMG?
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Per CHMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000763563), Chemung Financial Corp generated $1.14B in revenue (-2.4% YoY), $15.1M in net income, and $43.8M in free cash flow against $2.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.6% realized swing band)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHMG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CHMG faces multiple-compression risk if 28.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.79) or 200D SMA ($70.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($90.96) toward Bear Floor ($70.95).
Why CHMG Stock advanced +1.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) advanced +1.33% to $87.42, trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($50.21 – $87.99). Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 28x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($50.21 – $87.99) with RSI-14 at 64.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.6% around $87.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $43.8M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Chemung Financial (CHMG) shares have started gaining and might continue moving higher in the near term, as indicated by solid earnings estimate revisions.
The headline numbers for Chemung Financial (CHMG) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended September 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHMG Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
CHMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHMG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHMG)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CHMG vs. PCB, FNLC, CZFS, CBAN)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) ranks #176 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #738 by equity capitalization ($421.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PCB leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while FNLC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.1% ROIC and — gross margin. FNLC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with CHMG at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHMG
ACTIVE
Chemung Financial Corp | C+ | 67/100 | 28.0x | — | 5.9% | +1.33% | $421.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| PCB PCB Bancorp | C | 65/100 | 10.9x | — | 9.6% | +2.36% | $420.5M | /pcb-vs-chmg → |
| FNLC First Bancorp Inc (ME) | B | 73/100 | 12.0x | — | 12.1% | +1.29% | $415.4M | /fnlc-vs-chmg → |
| CZFS Citizens Financial Services Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 11.2x | — | 10.8% | +0.77% | $413.7M | /czfs-vs-chmg → |
| CBAN Colony Bankcorp Inc. | E | 29/100 | 65.5x | — | 1.8% | +1.38% | $437.6M | /cban-vs-chmg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000763563 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (-2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and +870.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $15.1M, operating cash flow of $45.5M, and free cash flow of $43.8M (+67.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHMG closed FY2025 with $2.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.14B | $15.1M | $45.5M | $43.8M | $2.71B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.17B | $23.7M | $29.8M | $26.2M | $2.78B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $117.3M | $25.0M | $30.9M | $30.9M | — | — |
3. CHMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CHMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Chemung Financial Corp (NASDAQ: CHMG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $87.42 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $421.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CHMG ranks #176 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CHMG compare to PCB and FNLC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CHMG carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, PCB (PCB Bancorp) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $420.5M) and FNLC (First Bancorp Inc (ME)) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 12.1%, cap $415.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PCB leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while FNLC leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHMG?
Per CHMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000763563), Chemung Financial Corp generated $1.14B in revenue (-2.4% YoY), $15.1M in net income, and $43.8M in free cash flow against $2.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CHMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CHMG last traded at $87.42 (+1.33% on volume of 103,273 shares), positioning the stock +5.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.79) and +23.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($70.94). Across its 52-week range of $50.21 to $87.99, CHMG sits at the 98.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($83.40 to $91.44).
CHMG — Chemung Financial Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $87.42 (+1.33% 1D, market capitalization $421.5M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 10.37%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. Its market capitalization is $0.4B. —: the specific products sold, customer base, and revenue model.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) reported $1.14B in annual revenue (up from $1.17B in FY2024, -2.4% YoY) and $15.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($117.3M revenue, $25.0M net income) through FY2025, CHMG scaled operating cash flow to $45.5M and free cash flow to $43.8M, backed by $2.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $50.21 – $87.99 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 28.0x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Sector and industry are classified as Financials and Major Banks. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the source data cannot identify any specific ripple pathways.
- Key Question #1: Can CHMG sustain or expand its — operating margin and 5.9% ROIC against Major Banks peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.14B and free cash flow of $43.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is CHMG's 26.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
CHMG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
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Yahoo Finance report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CHMG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $87.42?
Free cash flow rose to $43.8M in FY 2025 from $26.2M in FY 2024, supporting a 10.37% FCF yield.
Long CHMG at $86.27 targeting $113.88. Free cash flow rose to $43.8M in FY 2025 from $26.2M in FY 2024, supporting a 10.37% FCF yield.. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $50.05 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
Both sides have a point here — CHMG's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Net income fell from $25.0M in FY 2023 to $15.1M in FY 2025 while the trailing P/E sits at 28 on a 5.9% ROIC.
I respect the product at Chemung Financial Corp, but the stock at $86.27 is a different story. Net income fell from $25.0M in FY 2023 to $15.1M in FY 2025 while the trailing P/E sits at 28 on a 5.9% ROIC.. FCF yield is 10.37% and RQD sits at 67/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?