Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$14.25 -0.07% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.22

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $8.14B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE: CLF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $14.25 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $8.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CLF ranks #198 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CLF compare to MP and BVN in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), CLF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -4.6%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, MP (MP Materials Corp.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $7.42B) and BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $7.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUGO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AUGO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLF?
β–Ό

Per CLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000764065), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. generated $18.61B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), -$1.48B in net income, and -$1.02B in free cash flow against $20.01B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.22 (-0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (18)SEC (5)Macro (7)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$16 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CLF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CLF SCORES 39/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (46% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.2% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (18% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 86% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$12.86+6.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$13.65+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$13.90+2.5% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$14.25-7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (31) β†’ D- (39)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CLF currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.51) and Max Pain ($14.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.12.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCLF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How CLF Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$18.61BGross Profit $0 (0%)Cost of Sales $18.61BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $0Net Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $22.00B
FY24
Rev $19.18B
FY25
Rev $18.61B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$18.61B-4.6%-8.5%-$1.48B-$1.02B-9.4%
FY 2024$19.18B0.3%-4%-$760.0M-$590.0M-4.4%
FY 2023$22.00B8%3%$385.0M$1.28B3.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLF)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CLF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.02%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $13.94H $14.26L $13.94C $14.25VOL 18.35M
RES: $15.21SUP: $11.16SMA50: $12.51SMA200: $11.37
$15.50$13.69$11.89$10.08$8.28RES $15.21SUP $11.16$14.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLF)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CLF vs. MP, BVN, AUGO, HBM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) ranks #198 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #52 by equity capitalization ($8.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUGO leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while AUGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. AUGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with CLF at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLF ACTIVE
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” -4.6% -9.4% -0.07% $8.14B Benchmark Subject
MP
MP Materials Corp.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -6.8% -4.97% $7.42B /mp-vs-clf β†’
BVN
Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -4.24% $7.01B /bvn-vs-clf β†’
AUGO
Aura Minerals Inc.
C- 59/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -15.43% $6.56B /augo-vs-clf β†’
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada)
D+ 53/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -7.11% $10.38B /hbm-vs-clf β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000764065

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) reported GAAP revenue of $18.61B (-3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.18B , and -15.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.48B, operating cash flow of -$462.0M, and free cash flow of -$1.02B (-73.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLF closed FY2025 with $20.01B in total assets against $7.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.18, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.61B -$1.48B -$462.0M -$1.02B $20.01B $7.25B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $19.18B -$760.0M $105.0M -$590.0M $20.95B $7.07B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.00B $385.0M $2.27B $1.28B $26.40B $6.18B

3. CLF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE: CLF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $14.25 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $8.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CLF ranks #198 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLF compare to MP and BVN in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), CLF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -4.6%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, MP (MP Materials Corp.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $7.42B) and BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $7.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUGO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AUGO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLF?

Per CLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000764065), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. generated $18.61B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), -$1.48B in net income, and -$1.02B in free cash flow against $20.01B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLF last traded at $14.25 (-0.07% on volume of 14,698,481 shares), positioning the stock +13.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.51) and +25.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.37). Across its 52-week range of $7.73 to $15.35, CLF sits at the 85.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.2% ($12.51 to $15.99).

CLF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CLF converted $18.6B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 39/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CLF β€” Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CLF scores 39 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -9.4%; FCF yield -12.57%), Whale 13F Flow at 18/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 4/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 0.97; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z 1.18; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 1.19).

The pattern is uneven. Institutional flow is the single strong pillar, while the cash-generation, insider, and balance-sheet pillars are weak. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the 13F accumulation signal and on the recent catalyst flow described below. The valuation tradeoff is that the source data shows negative ROIC and negative free cash flow yield alongside a forward P/E of 23, meaning the market-implied earnings recovery is not yet visible in trailing cash results. The Altman Z of 1.18 and Piotroski F of 2/9 indicate elevated financial fragility per the Roarable forensic metrics. Insider conviction is weak per the RQD rating, so the 13F strength is not corroborated by insider buying in the sources.

Business

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Metal Mining industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, the company reports revenue in the SEC financials, though the source data does not itemize its product lines or customer base. Not available in source data for detailed revenue mix, customer segments, or specific revenue-generation mechanics. The source data establishes sector and industry classification only.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$18610.0M$-1579.0M$-1478.0MN/A$-1023.0M$57.0M$7253.0M
FY 2024$19185.0M$-763.0M$-760.0MN/A$-590.0M$54.0M$7065.0M
FY 2023$21996.0M$659.0M$385.0MN/A$1277.2MN/A$6176.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $21996.0M (FY 2023) to $18610.0M (FY 2025), and operating income moved from $659.0M to $-1579.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is -4.6%, operating margin -8.5%, and net margin -7.9%, with ROIC at -9.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.18 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, both consistent with a weak forensic balance sheet. Debt/Equity is 1.19 per the RQD forensic pillar, and reported debt rose from $6176.5M to $7253.0M across the three periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Fair value / analyst split (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A headline notes a fair value bump as analyst views split. Analyst view detail is not available in source data.
  • Buy-signal headline (Investor's Business Daily, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Headline references a "massive $4 Bil outlook" and a buy signal. Underlying figures are not available in source data.
  • Rosy outlook (Investopedia, GREEN, CATALYST): Headline reports the stock jumped on a rosy outlook. Specifics are not available in source data.
  • Market-wide quote page (Yahoo! Finance Canada, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Generic quote and history page with no discrete catalyst.
  • Stelco fallout and October 19 earnings (Yahoo Finance, GREEN, CATALYST): Headline reports a 10% jump as Stelco fallout fades ahead of October 19 earnings, with Nucor and Steel Dynamics up 5%. The earnings date is referenced in the headline; results are not available in source data.
  • Falling steel prices risk (Yahoo Finance, RED, RISK WATCH): Headline raises the question of how damaging falling steel prices would be for CLF. This is the only RED-flagged item and represents the principal risk-watch signal in the news set.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals or butterfly links; the supply-chain field reads NONE.

Open Questions

  • What drives the "$4 Bil outlook" referenced in the Investor's Business Daily headline, and is it reflected in any reported financials?
  • What are the October 19 earnings expectations, and how do they reconcile with negative trailing operating income of $-1579.0M?
  • How much of CLF's revenue and margin profile is exposed to steel price declines, as the RED-flagged risk headline raises?
  • Why is FY 2025 EPS reported as N/A while net income is $-1478.0M, and what is the share count basis?
  • Does institutional 13F accumulation (RQD 18/20) reflect a view on balance-sheet repair given Altman Z 1.18 and Piotroski F 2/9?

CLF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CLF Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CLF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $14.25?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CLF 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CLF:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.55 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CLF (D- β€’ RQD 39/100) a Buy at $14.26?

Welcome to the CLF (Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.41 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $14.26

Pump the brakes on CLF β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CLF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -4.6% gross margins. Unless Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.54 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $14.26

CLF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CLF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $14.26 (52-wk range $7.73 - $15.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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