CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$70.10 +0.83% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.07

CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $21.80B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CMS Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, CMS Energy Corporation (NYSE: CMS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $70.10 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $21.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CMS ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMS compare to NI and EVRG in the Utilities sector?
β–Ό

Within the Utilities sector (Power Generation), CMS carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.2%. By comparison, NI (NiSource Inc) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $21.47B) and EVRG (Evergy Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $19.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEE leads on earnings multiple (19.3x) while NI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMS?
β–Ό

Per CMS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000811156), CMS Energy Corporation generated $8.30B in revenue (+13.5% YoY), $1.07B in net income, and $1.86B in free cash flow against $39.94B in total assets and $17.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $70.07 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 22.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$84 Bull$70 Base$55 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CMS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CMS SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±3.8% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.9) create a -12 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$66.30+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$68.42+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$69.00+1.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$70.10+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CMS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CMS faces multiple-compression risk if 20.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($66.82) or 200D SMA ($72.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($70.10) toward Bear Floor ($54.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCMS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CMS Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CMS)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CMS. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CMS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CMS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.39%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $68.21H $70.10L $68.21C $70.10VOL 5.65M
RES: $70.56SUP: $60.24SMA50: $66.82SMA200: $72.55
$80.03$75.22$70.41$65.61$60.80RES $70.56SUP $60.24$70.102026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMS)

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CMS vs. NI, EVRG, LNT, AEE)

Industry: Power Generation (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #30 by equity capitalization ($21.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEE leads on earnings valuation at 19.3x trailing P/E, while NI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. LNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with CMS at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMS ACTIVE
CMS Energy Corporation
D+ 58/100 20.4x β€” 5.2% +0.83% $21.80B Benchmark Subject
NI
NiSource Inc
D 50/100 23.1x β€” 8.8% -0.40% $21.47B /ni-vs-cms β†’
EVRG
Evergy Inc.
D 48/100 23.0x β€” 5.2% +0.61% $19.69B /evrg-vs-cms β†’
LNT
Alliant Energy Corporation
C 62/100 22.6x 85.7% 4.6% +2.15% $18.33B /lnt-vs-cms β†’
AEE
Ameren Corporation
D 47/100 19.3x β€” 5.1% +0.30% $30.51B /aee-vs-cms β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000811156

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) reported GAAP revenue of $8.30B (+13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.32B , and +14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.07B, operating cash flow of $2.23B, and free cash flow of $1.86B (-8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMS closed FY2025 with $39.94B in total assets against $17.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.30B $1.07B $2.23B $1.86B $39.94B $17.81B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.32B $1.00B $2.37B $2.04B $35.92B $15.19B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.26B $887.0M $2.31B $1.98B $11.99B $2.81B

3. CMS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, CMS Energy Corporation (NYSE: CMS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $70.10 (+0.83% 1D, market cap $21.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CMS ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMS compare to NI and EVRG in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Power Generation), CMS carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.4x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.2%. By comparison, NI (NiSource Inc) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $21.47B) and EVRG (Evergy Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $19.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEE leads on earnings multiple (19.3x) while NI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMS?

Per CMS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000811156), CMS Energy Corporation generated $8.30B in revenue (+13.5% YoY), $1.07B in net income, and $1.86B in free cash flow against $39.94B in total assets and $17.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMS last traded at $70.10 (+0.83% on volume of 4,809,385 shares), positioning the stock +4.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($66.82) and -3.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($72.55). Across its 52-week range of $62.29 to $80.36, CMS sits at the 43.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.8% ($67.44 to $72.76).

CMS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are CMS insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CMS leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CMS β€” CMS Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:26Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CMS scores 58 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): The rating cites ROIC of 5.2% and an FCF yield of 8.54%. This is the weakest pillar relative to the investment case; a low ROIC means the business earns a modest return on the capital it deploys, which limits how much value growth can be created per dollar invested.
  • Whale 13F Flow (12 / 20): Institutional accumulation and options positioning are rated mid-range. No holder-level detail is provided in the source data, so the direction and size of institutional flow cannot be verified beyond the rating itself.
  • Insider Conviction (16 / 20): The strongest pillar, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The source data does not itemize individual transactions, so this score cannot be traced to specific trades.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Beta of 0.73 and sector sensitivity are cited. A beta below 1.0 indicates lower price sensitivity than the broad market, which can offer relative stability in a risk-off environment but limits upside in a risk-on environment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (12 / 20): Altman Z of 1.12, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.95. The Altman Z-score sits in a range the source does not interpret for this company, while the Piotroski score is relatively strong and the leverage ratio is elevated.

For a prospective investor, the combined score points to a stock whose valuation (forward P/E 17.1, dividend yield 3.4%) and cash yield (FCF yield 8.54%) may appeal to income-oriented analysis, but whose low ROIC, elevated leverage, and weak macro-regime score argue against treating it as a high-conviction candidate on current data. The verdict is the rating provider's conclusion and should be weighed against the underlying facts below.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
69.52$21.8B20.417.119.13.413.4%0.73$62.29 - $80.365.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$8305.0M$1727.0M$1071.0MN/A$1861.3M$509.0M$17807.0M
FY 2024$7320.0M$1487.0M$1003.0MN/A$2040.6M$103.0M$15194.0M
FY 2023$7261.0M$1235.0M$887.0MN/A$1982.3MN/A$2806.1M

Per the market data, operating margin is 20.8%, net margin is 12.9%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 5.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.12 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 1.95 per the RQD rating. Reported debt rose from $2806.1M in FY 2023 to $17807.0M in FY 2025 while cash moved from N/A to $509.0M, indicating a substantial increase in leverage over the period shown.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance item titled around CMS's next earnings report, published 1h before the data timestamp.
  • Price target cut (RED, RISK WATCH): A TradingView item reports a 12-month price target cut to $75.25, which the headline frames as implying 10% upside from the current level.
  • Institutional buying (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): An InsuranceNewsNet item reports a purchase of 436,250 CMS shares by Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
  • Q3 results (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Seeking Alpha item references a 2026 Q3 earnings call presentation dated 2026-10-27.
  • Dividend (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A MarketScreener item reports a quarterly dividend declaration on common stock.
  • Q3 earnings beat (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance item reports Q3 earnings topped estimates and revenues increased year over year.

Butterfly supply-chain graph: sector Utilities, industry Power Generation, supply chain NONE, with no butterfly links or proprietary signals recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customer segments, and revenue mix behind the Power Generation classification?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A across all three periods, and how does it reconcile with the EPS (TTM) of 3.41?
  • What is the source and methodology for the 1.12 Altman Z-score, and how should it be interpreted for a utility of this scale?
  • What drove the increase in debt from $2806.1M (FY 2023) to $17807.0M (FY 2025), and how is that financed?
  • Who is the author of the $75.25 price target, and what is the basis for the implied 10% upside?

CMS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CMS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CMS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $70.10?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CMS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CMS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $75.08 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CMS (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100) a Buy at $69.52?

Welcome to the CMS (CMS Energy Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Power Generation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $58.40 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $69.52

Pump the brakes on CMS β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CMS, but look at what you are paying: 20.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless CMS Energy Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $86.20 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $69.52

CMS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CMS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Power Generation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $69.52 (52-wk range $62.29 - $80.36), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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