ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account β†’
β–Ύ
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚑ My $100K Trading Account β†’ β˜… My Saved Watchlist β†’
🟒 My $100K Account β†’ Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record πŸ’° $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions πŸ›οΈ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CPA / insiders
ALK (42) AAL (53) SKYW (56) LTM (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$137.34 +6.53% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $138.69

Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.30B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CPA Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Copa Holdings S.A. (NYSE: CPA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $137.34 (+6.53% 1D, market cap $5.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPA ranks #460 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPA compare to ALK and AAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), CPA carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $3.99B) and AAL (American Airlines Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 76.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPA?
β–Ό

For Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #460 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $138.70 (+0.99%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510054
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$168 Bull$135 Base$105 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CPA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CPA SCORES 54/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.9% FCF Margin ($117.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43.7) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$131.07+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$136.14-4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$129.90+5.7% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$137.34-0.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (46) β†’ D+ (54)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CPA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CPA currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($131.66) and Max Pain ($144.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $168.49.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCPA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CPA Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CPA)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CPA. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPA)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CPA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
CPA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.74%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $131.3H $137.3L $128.9C $137.3VOL 335.8K
RES: $136.5SUP: $127.5SMA50: $131.7SMA200: $133.0
$163.9$149.6$135.2$120.9$106.5RES $136.5SUP $127.5$137.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CPA Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CPA β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #460 of 1009 βš”οΈ ALK vs CPA Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPA vs. ALK, AAL, SKYW, LTM)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) ranks #460 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #257 by equity capitalization ($5.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while AAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CPA at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPA ACTIVE
Copa Holdings S.A.
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +6.53% $5.30B Benchmark Subject
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc.
D- 42/100 40.3x β€” 2.9% +7.23% $3.99B /alk-vs-cpa β†’
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
D+ 53/100 76.3x β€” 85.0% +3.81% $8.35B /aal-vs-cpa β†’
SKYW
SkyWest Inc.
D+ 56/100 8.8x β€” 10.9% -0.79% $3.20B /skyw-vs-cpa β†’
LTM
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American
D 49/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +5.45% $12.17B /ltm-vs-cpa β†’

2. CPA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $5.30B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. CPA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Copa Holdings S.A. (NYSE: CPA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $137.34 (+6.53% 1D, market cap $5.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPA ranks #460 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPA compare to ALK and AAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), CPA carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $3.99B) and AAL (American Airlines Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 76.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPA?

For Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #460 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPA last traded at $137.34 (+6.53% on volume of 651,361 shares), positioning the stock +4.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($131.66) and +3.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($133.03). Across its 52-week range of $107.44 to $160.47, CPA sits at the 56.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.6% ($129.65 to $145.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: CPA RQD Cockpit CPA 12M Forecast CPA Earnings & Move CPA Dividends & DRIP CPA Insiders & 13F CPA Whale Options CPA Profit Sankey CPA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 54/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CPA β€” Copa Holdings S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $137.34 (+6.53% 1D, market capitalization $5.30B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Copa Holdings S.A. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry,. β€” for products sold, customer base, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 54/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $107.44 – $160.47 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary), CPA carries a macro regime beta of 0.96 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can CPA sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $160.47 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPA's 27.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

CPA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CPA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $137.34?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $170.17 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39.

Long CPA at $128.92 targeting $170.17. Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $107.44 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” CPA's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $100.56 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $128.92

RQD verdict is a Sell with macro regime fit at 7/20 and whale flow at 9/20, while P/E is 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CPA: RQD verdict is a Sell with macro regime fit at 7/20 and whale flow at 9/20, while P/E is 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Air Freight/Delivery Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE