MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Copa Holdings (CPA) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should KnowIn the latest trading session, Copa Holdings (CPA) closed at $131.26, marking a +1.05% move from the previous day.
Why CPA Stock surged +6.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$137.34 +6.53% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $138.69
Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $5.30B
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Is CPA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Copa Holdings S.A. (NYSE: CPA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $137.34 (+6.53% 1D, market cap $5.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPA ranks #460 in composite RQD confidence.
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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CPA compare to ALK and AAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), CPA carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $3.99B) and AAL (American Airlines Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 76.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPA?
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For Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #460 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $138.70 (+0.99%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPA SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.9% FCF Margin ($117.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43.7) create a -13 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$131.07+3.9% Next Q
46
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$136.14-4.6% Next Q
49
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$129.90+5.7% Next Q
51
CurrentGrade D+$137.34-0.7% Hist 90D α
54
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CPA Turnaround Squeeze
While CPA currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($131.66) and Max Pain ($144.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $168.49.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CPA Stock surged +6.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) surged +6.53% to $137.34, trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($107.44 – $160.47). Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($107.44 – $160.47) with RSI-14 at 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $137.34 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $117.2M annual free cash flow.
Live CPA Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
Copa Holdings (CPA) Stock May Be 26% Undervalued On EarningsCopa Holdings has rewarded long term shareholders with strong gains, which naturally puts a spotlight on whether the current share price still lines up with what its earnings can support. With the stock now around US$132
RISK WATCHYahoo • 8d ago
JetBlue Airways (JBLU) Reports Q3 Loss, Misses Revenue EstimatesJetBlue (JBLU) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -9.09% and -0.57%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Copa Holdings (CPA) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for InvestorsIn the latest trading session, Copa Holdings (CPA) closed at $131.38, marking a -2.58% move from the previous day.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 11d ago
Shares of airline companies are trading lower amid overall market weakness following weak US data.CATALYSTYahoo • 14d ago
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Copa, LATAM Airlines, Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion and RyanairCopa Holdings, LATAM Airlines, Volaris and Ryanair report September traffic growth as strong travel demand supports passenger volumes despite rising fuel and labor costs.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 19d ago
Copa Holdings (CPA) Rises Higher Than Market: Key FactsCopa Holdings (CPA) concluded the recent trading session at $133.91, signifying a +2.17% move from its prior day's close.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 19d ago
Copa Holdings Announces Third Quarter Financial Results Release SchedulePANAMA CITY, Oct. 15, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Copa Holdings, S.A. (NYSE: CPA) announces the following events: Earnings Release – Third Quarter 2026Date:November 18, 2026Time:After US market closeThis release will be ava
CATALYSTYahoo • 22d ago
LATAM Airlines September 2026 Traffic Improves Year Over YearLTM reported 6.2% traffic growth and 7.7% capacity expansion in September 2026, but its load factor fell as capacity growth outpaced demand.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 23h ago
3 Airline Stocks Retail Investors Are Watching As Lower Oil Reshapes MarginsOil is suddenly cheaper, conflict risk feels lower and fuel dependent businesses are breathing a little easier. That mix can quickly change how investors think about transportation and logistics stocks that live and die
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPA)
- ✓Walkthrough of CPA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CPA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.74%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $131.3H $137.3L $128.9C $137.3VOL 335.8K
RES: $136.5SUP: $127.5SMA50: $131.7SMA200: $133.0
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CPA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPA)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #460 of 1009
⚔️ ALK vs CPA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPA vs. ALK, AAL, SKYW, LTM)
Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) ranks #460 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #257 by equity capitalization ($5.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while AAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CPA at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPA
ACTIVE
Copa Holdings S.A. | D+ | 54/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +6.53% | $5.30B | Benchmark Subject |
| ALK Alaska Air Group Inc. | D- | 42/100 | 40.3x | — | 2.9% | +7.23% | $3.99B | /alk-vs-cpa → |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 76.3x | — | 85.0% | +3.81% | $8.35B | /aal-vs-cpa → |
| SKYW SkyWest Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 8.8x | — | 10.9% | -0.79% | $3.20B | /skyw-vs-cpa → |
| LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American | D | 49/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +5.45% | $12.17B | /ltm-vs-cpa → |
2. CPA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTCopa Holdings S.A. (CPA) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $5.30B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.
3. CPA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CPA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Copa Holdings S.A. (NYSE: CPA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $137.34 (+6.53% 1D, market cap $5.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPA ranks #460 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CPA compare to ALK and AAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), CPA carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $3.99B) and AAL (American Airlines Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 76.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPA?
For Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #460 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CPA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CPA last traded at $137.34 (+6.53% on volume of 651,361 shares), positioning the stock +4.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($131.66) and +3.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($133.03). Across its 52-week range of $107.44 to $160.47, CPA sits at the 56.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($129.65 to $145.03).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
CPA — Copa Holdings S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $137.34 (+6.53% 1D, market capitalization $5.30B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Copa Holdings S.A. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry,. — for products sold, customer base, or revenue model.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $107.44 – $160.47 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary), CPA carries a macro regime beta of 0.96 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can CPA sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $160.47 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPA's 27.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?
CPA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Copa Holdings S.A. (CPA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago
Copa Holdings (CPA) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know In the latest trading session, Copa Holdings (CPA) closed at $131.26, marking a +1.05% move from the previous day.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 6d ago
Copa Holdings (CPA) Stock May Be 26% Undervalued On Earnings Copa Holdings has rewarded long term shareholders with strong gains, which naturally puts a spotlight on whether the current share price still lines up with what its earnings can support. With the stock now around US$132
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 8d ago
JetBlue Airways (JBLU) Reports Q3 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates JetBlue (JBLU) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -9.09% and -0.57%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 11d ago
Copa Holdings (CPA) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors In the latest trading session, Copa Holdings (CPA) closed at $131.38, marking a -2.58% move from the previous day.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 11d ago
Shares of airline companies are trading lower amid overall market weakness following weak US data. 🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 14d ago
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Copa, LATAM Airlines, Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion and Ryanair Copa Holdings, LATAM Airlines, Volaris and Ryanair report September traffic growth as strong travel demand supports passenger volumes despite rising fuel and labor costs.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 19d ago
Copa Holdings (CPA) Rises Higher Than Market: Key Facts Copa Holdings (CPA) concluded the recent trading session at $133.91, signifying a +2.17% move from its prior day's close.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 19d ago
Copa Holdings Announces Third Quarter Financial Results Release Schedule PANAMA CITY, Oct. 15, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Copa Holdings, S.A. (NYSE: CPA) announces the following events: Earnings Release – Third Quarter 2026Date:November 18, 2026Time:After US market closeThis release will be ava
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
CPA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $137.34?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $170.17 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39.
Long CPA at $128.92 targeting $170.17. Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $107.44 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — CPA's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $100.56 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $128.92 RQD verdict is a Sell with macro regime fit at 7/20 and whale flow at 9/20, while P/E is 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CPA: RQD verdict is a Sell with macro regime fit at 7/20 and whale flow at 9/20, while P/E is 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Air Freight/Delivery Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.