How profitable is Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CPS converted $2.7B of revenue into a 11.9% gross margin, 3.2% operating margin, and $64.4M in free cash flow (2.4% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CPS / financials

HLLY (52) STRT (54) AEVA (21) MPAA (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$20.88 +4.04% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.99

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $356.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CPS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $20.88 (+4.04% 1D, market cap $356.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPS ranks #702 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPS compare to HLLY and STRT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CPS carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.9%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HLLY (Holley Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $318.8M) and STRT (STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $250.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPS?

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Per CPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320461), Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. generated $2.74B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$4.2M in net income, and $64.4M in free cash flow against $1.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.99 (+0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CPS SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.4% FCF Margin ($64.4M FCF) & 11.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$21.37-4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$20.45+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$20.99-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$20.88-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CPS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CPS currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.66) and Max Pain ($21.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $50.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CPS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CPS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$64.4M (2.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $128.9M

FY24

Rev $2.73B

FY25

Rev $2.74B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$2.74B	11.9%	3.2%	-$4.2M	$64.4M	95%
FY 2024	$2.73B	11.1%	2.6%	-$78.7M	$76.4M	95%
FY 2023	$128.9M	11.9%	35.7%	-$202.0M	$117.3M	85%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPS)

✓Walkthrough of CPS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CPS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.93%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $20.81H $20.88L $20.07C $20.88VOL 374.9K

RES: $21.17SUP: $18.77SMA50: $22.66SMA200: $28.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CPS Butterfly Map → + Track CPS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #702 of 1009 ⚔️ HLLY vs CPS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPS vs. HLLY, STRT, AEVA, MPAA)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) ranks #702 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #628 by equity capitalization ($356.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. MPAA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CPS at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CPS ACTIVE Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.	D-	42/100	—	11.9%	85.0%	+4.04%	$356.6M	Benchmark Subject
HLLY Holley Inc.	D+	52/100	16.8x	43.4%	7.0%	+4.56%	$318.8M	/hlly-vs-cps →
STRT STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION	D+	54/100	12.5x	16.5%	15.2%	+1.31%	$250.0M	/strt-vs-cps →
AEVA Aeva Technologies Inc.	E	21/100	—	-3.7%	-35.0%	-7.23%	$646.2M	/aeva-vs-cps →
MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc.	D+	56/100	16.3x	20.2%	21.6%	+0.87%	$195.2M	/mpaa-vs-cps →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001320461 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.74B (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.73B , and +2026.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.2M, operating cash flow of $64.4M, and free cash flow of $64.4M (-15.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPS closed FY2025 with $1.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.54, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.74B	-$4.2M	$64.4M	$64.4M	$1.83B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.73B	-$78.7M	$76.4M	$76.4M	$1.73B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$128.9M	-$202.0M	$117.3M	$117.3M	—	—

3. CPS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CPS compare to HLLY and STRT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPS?

Where is CPS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPS last traded at $20.88 (+4.04% on volume of 315,556 shares), positioning the stock -7.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.66) and -26.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($28.54). Across its 52-week range of $19.22 to $47.98, CPS sits at the 5.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($18.81 to $22.95).

Direct Sub-Reports: CPS RQD Cockpit CPS 12M Forecast CPS Earnings & Move CPS Dividends & DRIP CPS Insiders & 13F CPS Whale Options CPS Profit Sankey CPS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CPS — Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $20.88 (+4.04% 1D, market capitalization $356.6M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 11.9%, operating margin of 3.2%, and free cash flow yield of 17.43%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.54, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry. Per the news wire, the company has announced a lightweight car-door component claiming weight reduction of up to 40%..4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) reported $2.74B in annual revenue (up from $2.73B in FY2024, +0.4% YoY) and -$4.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($128.9M revenue, -$202.0M net income) through FY2025, CPS scaled operating cash flow to $64.4M and free cash flow to $64.4M, backed by $1.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 17.43% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.22 – $47.98 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against 3.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Auto Parts:O.E.M. (Consumer Discretionary), CPS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 11.9%.

Key Question #1: Can CPS sustain or expand its 3.2% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.74B and free cash flow of $64.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPS's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CPS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Investors can question Cooper Standard's CEO and CFO on Nov. 5

Stock Titan report covering Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Stifel Nicolaus Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Cooper-Standard (NYSE:CPS) Stock Price

MarketBeat report covering Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Titan • 1d ago

A new car-door component cuts weight by up to 40%

Stock Titan report covering Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Cooper-Standard (CPS) Expected to Announce Earnings on Thursday

MarketBeat report covering Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Cooper-Standard Holdings (CPS) Falls 3.14% to $20.70 as Shares Retreat Toward Key Support - Regression Channel

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Why Cooper Standard Bears Were Right Before The Drop

Yahoo Finance report covering Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 19h ago

Allison Transmission (ALSN) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Allison Transmission (ALSN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +17.41% and +4.52%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.88?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.89 (+29.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, an 85% ROIC and 17.43% FCF yield indicate strong cash generation relative to the current share price.

The street is overcomplicating Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS). Per the RQD rating, an 85% ROIC and 17.43% FCF yield indicate strong cash generation relative to the current share price.. With an RQD score of 42/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $21.68.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $20.07 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.06 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $20.07

Per the RQD rating, an Altman Z of 1.54 and a net margin of -0.2% signal balance-sheet stress with no offsetting institutional accumula

Careful chasing CPS at $20.07. Per the RQD rating, an Altman Z of 1.54 and a net margin of -0.2% signal balance-sheet stress with no offsetting institutional accumulation.. Gross margin is 11.9%, but operating margin is 3.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $16.06 on multiple compression.