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Why CRK Stock dropped -4.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$14.06 -4.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.92

Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.13B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Comstock Resources Inc. (NYSE: CRK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $14.06 (-4.48% 1D, market cap $4.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRK ranks #151 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRK compare to HESM and HP in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRK carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, HESM (Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 11.7x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $4.16B) and HP (Helmerich & Payne Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $3.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRK?
▼

Per CRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000023194), Comstock Resources Inc. generated $2.22B in revenue (+77.0% YoY), $395.6M in net income, and -$449.7M in free cash flow against $7.01B in total assets and $2.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.92 (-1.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (6)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$30 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE CRK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CRK SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.42 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 29.1% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$14.19-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$14.12+5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$14.90-5.6% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$14.06-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CRK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CRK currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.00) and Max Pain ($14.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CRK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CRK Stock dropped -4.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) dropped -4.48% to $14.06, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($12.12 – $28.1). Stretched risk/reward at 11x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($12.12 – $28.1) with RSI-14 at 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.2% around $14.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CRK Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
1 momentum stock with exciting potential and 2 we brush off

The stocks featured in this article are seeing some big returns. Over the past month, they’ve outpaced the market due to some combination of positive news, upbeat results, or supportive macro developments. As such, inves

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CRK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CRK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.87%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $14.72H $14.72L $14.06C $14.06VOL 2.26M
RES: $14.92SUP: $12.26SMA50: $14.00SMA200: $16.09
$20.61$18.31$16.01$13.71$11.41RES $14.92SUP $12.26$14.062026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-182026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +77.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRK)

Energy Rank #151 of 211 ⚔️ HESM vs CRK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CRK vs. HESM, HP, CRGY, PTEN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) ranks #151 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #93 by equity capitalization ($4.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRK leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while HESM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CRGY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with CRK at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRK ACTIVE
Comstock Resources Inc.
D 46/100 10.8x — 9.4% -4.48% $4.13B Benchmark Subject
HESM
Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests
D+ 56/100 11.7x — 19.1% -0.82% $4.16B /hesm-vs-crk →
HP
Helmerich & Payne Inc.
C 62/100 — — 0.1% -9.65% $3.88B /hp-vs-crk →
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company
C 63/100 34.2x — 1.7% -5.14% $4.45B /crgy-vs-crk →
PTEN
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.
C 63/100 — — -0.8% -11.41% $4.50B /pten-vs-crk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000023194 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) reported GAAP revenue of $2.22B (+77.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.25B , and +41.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $395.6M, operating cash flow of $899.6M, and free cash flow of -$449.7M (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRK closed FY2025 with $7.01B in total assets against $2.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.42, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.22B $395.6M $899.6M -$449.7M $7.01B $2.81B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.25B -$229.7M $620.3M -$477.1M $6.38B $2.95B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.57B $211.1M $1.02B $1.02B — —

3. CRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Comstock Resources Inc. (NYSE: CRK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $14.06 (-4.48% 1D, market cap $4.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRK ranks #151 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRK compare to HESM and HP in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRK carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, HESM (Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 11.7x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $4.16B) and HP (Helmerich & Payne Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $3.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRK?

Per CRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000023194), Comstock Resources Inc. generated $2.22B in revenue (+77.0% YoY), $395.6M in net income, and -$449.7M in free cash flow against $7.01B in total assets and $2.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRK last traded at $14.06 (-4.48% on volume of 2,260,149 shares), positioning the stock +0.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.00) and -12.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.09). Across its 52-week range of $12.12 to $28.10, CRK sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($12.91 to $15.21).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CRK — Comstock Resources Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.06 (-4.48% 1D, market capitalization $4.13B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 29.1%, and free cash flow yield of -10.50%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.42, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.06x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) reported $2.22B in annual revenue (up from $1.25B in FY2024, +77.0% YoY) and $395.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.57B revenue, $211.1M net income) through FY2025, CRK scaled operating cash flow to $899.6M and free cash flow to -$449.7M, backed by $7.01B in total assets against $2.81B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -10.50% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.12 – $28.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 10.8x trailing P/E and 3.9x EV/EBITDA against 29.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), CRK carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CRK sustain or expand its 29.1% operating margin and 9.4% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.22B and free cash flow of -$449.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.81B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CRK's 9.1x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CRK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CRK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.06?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.14 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Earnings multiples are low (P/E TTM 10.8, forward P/E 9.1, EV/EBITDA 3.9) and FY 2025 operating income rose to $645.9M.

Here is why I am bullish on CRK here at $14.72: Earnings multiples are low (P/E TTM 10.8, forward P/E 9.1, EV/EBITDA 3.9) and FY 2025 operating income rose to $645.9M.. Compare CRK's 29.1% operating margin and 9.4% ROIC against the rest of Oil & Gas Production. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $13.98 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $14.72 and keeping dry powder in case we test $13.69.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.04 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $14.72

FCF yield is -10.5% with FY 2025 FCF of -$449.7M against Debt of $2.81B and an Altman Z of 1.42.

Careful chasing CRK at $14.72. FCF yield is -10.5% with FY 2025 FCF of -$449.7M against Debt of $2.81B and an Altman Z of 1.42.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 29.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $11.04 on multiple compression.

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