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Stock Ratings / Energy / CRGY
PTEN (63) CRC (67) HESM (56) CRK (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$13.47 -5.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.32

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.45B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRGY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRGY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Crescent Energy Company (NYSE: CRGY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $13.47 (-5.14% 1D, market cap $4.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRGY ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRGY compare to PTEN and CRC in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRGY carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.50B) and CRC (California Resources Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $4.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRGY?
▼

Per CRGY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001866175), Crescent Energy Company generated $3.58B in revenue (+22.1% YoY), $132.9M in net income, and $1.52B in free cash flow against $12.44B in total assets and $5.52B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.32 (-1.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 42.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C-
Cash (10)Whales (16)SEC (9)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$16 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE CRGY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRGY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CRGY SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$12.51+6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$13.33+3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$13.75-2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$13.47+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRGY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CRGY faces multiple-compression risk if 34.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.64) or 200D SMA ($12.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.77) toward Bear Floor ($10.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRGY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CRGY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
48.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.78>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE74% OF RANGE
L: $8$13.47H: $15
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on CRGY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

1.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 22.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 0.78 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (73)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CRGY
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CRGY Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CRGY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.23%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $14.20H $14.20L $13.47C $13.47VOL 8.61M
RES: $16.18SUP: $13.08SMA50: $13.64SMA200: $12.12
$15.91$14.08$12.24$10.41$8.57RES $16.18SUP $13.08$13.472026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRGY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRGY Butterfly Map → + Track CRGY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRGY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRGY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRGY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRGY)

Energy Rank #76 of 211 ⚔️ PTEN vs CRGY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CRGY vs. PTEN, CRC, HESM, CRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) ranks #76 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #88 by equity capitalization ($4.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRK leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while HESM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CRGY at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRGY ACTIVE
Crescent Energy Company
C 63/100 34.2x — 1.7% -5.14% $4.45B Benchmark Subject
PTEN
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.
C 63/100 — — -0.8% -11.41% $4.50B /pten-vs-crgy →
CRC
California Resources Corporation
C+ 67/100 13.4x — 9.8% -5.26% $4.67B /crc-vs-crgy →
HESM
Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests
D+ 56/100 11.7x — 19.1% -0.82% $4.16B /hesm-vs-crgy →
CRK
Comstock Resources Inc.
D 46/100 10.8x — 9.4% -4.48% $4.13B /crk-vs-crgy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001866175 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) reported GAAP revenue of $3.58B (+22.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.93B , and +50.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $132.9M, operating cash flow of $1.68B, and free cash flow of $1.52B (+39.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRGY closed FY2025 with $12.44B in total assets against $5.52B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.78, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.58B $132.9M $1.68B $1.52B $12.44B $5.52B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.93B -$114.6M $1.22B $1.09B $9.16B $3.05B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.38B $67.6M $935.8M $828.6M $2.86B $669.0M

3. CRGY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRGY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Crescent Energy Company (NYSE: CRGY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $13.47 (-5.14% 1D, market cap $4.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRGY ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRGY compare to PTEN and CRC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRGY carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.50B) and CRC (California Resources Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $4.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRGY?

Per CRGY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001866175), Crescent Energy Company generated $3.58B in revenue (+22.1% YoY), $132.9M in net income, and $1.52B in free cash flow against $12.44B in total assets and $5.52B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRGY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRGY last traded at $13.47 (-5.14% on volume of 8,611,794 shares), positioning the stock -1.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.64) and +11.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.12). Across its 52-week range of $7.68 to $15.47, CRGY sits at the 74.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($12.50 to $14.44).

Direct Sub-Reports: CRGY RQD Cockpit CRGY 12M Forecast CRGY Earnings & Move CRGY Dividends & DRIP CRGY Insiders & 13F CRGY Whale Options CRGY Profit Sankey CRGY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CRGY — Crescent Energy Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $13.47 (-5.14% 1D, market capitalization $4.45B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 6.4%, and free cash flow yield of 22.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.11x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.78, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.07x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Crescent Energy Company is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, specifically Oil & Gas Production. It operates with a market capitalization of $4.5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) reported $3.58B in annual revenue (up from $2.93B in FY2024, +22.1% YoY) and $132.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.38B revenue, $67.6M net income) through FY2025, CRGY scaled operating cash flow to $1.68B and free cash flow to $1.52B, backed by $12.44B in total assets against $5.52B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 22.00% and institutional whale pillar of 16/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.68 – $15.47 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 34.2x trailing P/E and 27.5x EV/EBITDA against 6.4% operating margins and a 1.11x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), CRGY carries a macro regime beta of 1.11 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CRGY sustain or expand its 6.4% operating margin and 1.7% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.58B and free cash flow of $1.52B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.52B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CRGY's 28.7x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.11x)?

CRGY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CRGY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRGY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.47?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRGY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRGY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.46 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 22% FCF yield and a 9/9 Piotroski F-Score signal strong cash generation and operating-trend quality.

Here is why I am bullish on CRGY here at $14.20: Per the RQD rating, a 22% FCF yield and a 9/9 Piotroski F-Score signal strong cash generation and operating-trend quality.. Compare CRGY's 6.4% operating margin and 1.7% ROIC against the rest of Oil & Gas Production. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $13.49 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 63/100 quality, though with 1.11 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $14.20 and keeping dry powder in case we test $13.21.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.79 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $14.20

Per the RQD rating, a 1.7% ROIC, a 0.78 Altman Z-Score, and a 1.07 Debt/Equity ratio signal weak returns and elevated balance-sheet ris

Per the RQD rating, a 1.7% ROIC, a 0.78 Altman Z-Score, and a 1.07 Debt/Equity ratio signal weak returns and elevated balance-sheet risk.. Look at the math on CRGY: paying 34.2x trailing P/E for 1.7% ROIC and 6.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil & Gas Production demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $12.50 before getting long.

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