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Stock Ratings / Energy / CRGY / dividends
PTEN (63) CRC (67) HESM (56) CRK (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$13.01 -3.41% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.91

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.45B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRGY Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRGY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Crescent Energy Company (NYSE: CRGY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $13.01 (-3.41% 1D, market cap $4.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRGY ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRGY compare to PTEN and CRC in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRGY carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.50B) and CRC (California Resources Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $4.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRGY?
β–Ό

Per CRGY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001866175), Crescent Energy Company generated $3.58B in revenue (+22.1% YoY), $132.9M in net income, and $1.52B in free cash flow against $12.44B in total assets and $5.52B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.91 (-0.80%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 42.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C Β· Rk C-
Cash (10)Whales (16)SEC (9)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$16 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CRGY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRGY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CRGY SCORES 63/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.2% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 68% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$12.51+6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$13.33+3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$13.75-5.4% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$13.01+0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (55) β†’ C (63)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRGY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CRGY faces multiple-compression risk if 34.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.64) or 200D SMA ($12.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.30) toward Bear Floor ($10.37).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRGYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCRGY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
4.33% Total Yield
2.53% Cash ($0.33/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $46,053

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,994/yr
$11.7K
Yr 1
$13.6K
Yr 2
$15.8K
Yr 3
$18.4K
Yr 4
$21.5K
Yr 5
$25.0K
Yr 6
$29.1K
Yr 7
$33.9K
Yr 8
$39.5K
Yr 9
$46.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in CRGY & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on CRGY and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
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CRGY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.54%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-04O $14.20H $14.20L $13.01C $13.01VOL 8.61M
RES: $16.18SUP: $13.08SMA50: $13.64SMA200: $12.12
$15.91$14.08$12.24$10.41$8.57RES $16.18SUP $13.08$13.012026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRGY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CRGY Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CRGY β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRGY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRGY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRGY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRGY)

Energy Rank #76 of 211 βš”οΈ PTEN vs CRGY Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CRGY vs. PTEN, CRC, HESM, CRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) ranks #76 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #88 by equity capitalization ($4.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRK leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while HESM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CRGY at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRGY ACTIVE
Crescent Energy Company
C 63/100 34.2x β€” 1.7% -3.41% $4.45B Benchmark Subject
PTEN
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.
C 63/100 β€” β€” -0.8% -0.42% $4.50B /pten-vs-crgy β†’
CRC
California Resources Corporation
C+ 67/100 13.4x β€” 9.8% -2.21% $4.67B /crc-vs-crgy β†’
HESM
Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests
D+ 56/100 11.7x β€” 19.1% +0.80% $4.16B /hesm-vs-crgy β†’
CRK
Comstock Resources Inc.
D 46/100 10.8x β€” 9.4% -1.56% $4.13B /crk-vs-crgy β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001866175 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) reported GAAP revenue of $3.58B (+22.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.93B , and +50.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $132.9M, operating cash flow of $1.68B, and free cash flow of $1.52B (+39.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRGY closed FY2025 with $12.44B in total assets against $5.52B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.78, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.58B $132.9M $1.68B $1.52B $12.44B $5.52B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.93B -$114.6M $1.22B $1.09B $9.16B $3.05B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.38B $67.6M $935.8M $828.6M $2.86B $669.0M

3. CRGY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRGY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Crescent Energy Company (NYSE: CRGY) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $13.01 (-3.41% 1D, market cap $4.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRGY ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRGY compare to PTEN and CRC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRGY carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.50B) and CRC (California Resources Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $4.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRGY?

Per CRGY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001866175), Crescent Energy Company generated $3.58B in revenue (+22.1% YoY), $132.9M in net income, and $1.52B in free cash flow against $12.44B in total assets and $5.52B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRGY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRGY last traded at $13.01 (-3.41% on volume of 8,381,495 shares), positioning the stock -4.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.64) and +7.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.12). Across its 52-week range of $7.68 to $15.47, CRGY sits at the 68.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.2% ($12.07 to $13.95).

Direct Sub-Reports: CRGY RQD Cockpit CRGY 12M Forecast CRGY Earnings & Move CRGY Dividends & DRIP CRGY Insiders & 13F CRGY Whale Options CRGY Profit Sankey CRGY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 63/100 (C) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CRGY β€” Crescent Energy Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $13.01 (-3.41% 1D, market capitalization $4.45B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.7%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 6.4%, and free cash flow yield of 22.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.11x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.78, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.07x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Crescent Energy Company is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, specifically Oil & Gas Production. It operates with a market capitalization of $4.5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) reported $3.58B in annual revenue (up from $2.93B in FY2024, +22.1% YoY) and $132.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.38B revenue, $67.6M net income) through FY2025, CRGY scaled operating cash flow to $1.68B and free cash flow to $1.52B, backed by $12.44B in total assets against $5.52B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C β€’ RQD 63/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 22.00% and institutional whale pillar of 16/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.68 – $15.47 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 34.2x trailing P/E and 27.5x EV/EBITDA against 6.4% operating margins and a 1.11x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), CRGY carries a macro regime beta of 1.11 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can CRGY sustain or expand its 6.4% operating margin and 1.7% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.58B and free cash flow of $1.52B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.52B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CRGY's 28.7x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.11x)?

CRGY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CRGY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRGY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $13.01?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRGY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRGY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.46 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 22% FCF yield and a 9/9 Piotroski F-Score signal strong cash generation and operating-trend quality.

Here is why I am bullish on CRGY here at $14.20: Per the RQD rating, a 22% FCF yield and a 9/9 Piotroski F-Score signal strong cash generation and operating-trend quality.. Compare CRGY's 6.4% operating margin and 1.7% ROIC against the rest of Oil & Gas Production. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $13.49 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 63/100 quality, though with 1.11 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $14.20 and keeping dry powder in case we test $13.21.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.79 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $14.20

Per the RQD rating, a 1.7% ROIC, a 0.78 Altman Z-Score, and a 1.07 Debt/Equity ratio signal weak returns and elevated balance-sheet ris

Per the RQD rating, a 1.7% ROIC, a 0.78 Altman Z-Score, and a 1.07 Debt/Equity ratio signal weak returns and elevated balance-sheet risk.. Look at the math on CRGY: paying 34.2x trailing P/E for 1.7% ROIC and 6.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil & Gas Production demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $12.50 before getting long.

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