Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$283.08 -5.24% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $279.87

Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Carpenter Technology Corporation (NYSE: CRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $283.08 (-5.24% 1D, market cap $14.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CRS ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRS compare to PKX and TX in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), CRS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.4x, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of 16.9%. By comparison, PKX (POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $16.48B) and TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while ATI leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRS?
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Per CRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000017843), Carpenter Technology Corporation generated $2.88B in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $376.0M in net income, and $310.9M in free cash flow against $3.50B in total assets and $690.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $279.88 (-1.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 10.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (17)Whales (6)SEC (18)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$657 Bull$288 Base$225 Bear
📬 FREE CRS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CRS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.8% FCF Margin ($310.9M FCF) & 26.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$380.42-2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$372.53-22.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$288.49-1.9% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$283.08+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, CRS faces multiple-compression risk if 39.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($393.50) or 200D SMA ($443.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($288.18) toward Bear Floor ($224.78).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CRS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
3130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
8.38>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE
L: $273$283.08H: $626
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (27% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on CRS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

16.9% ROIC with 26.7% gross margin and 2.10% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 8.38 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (45)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CRS
  • ✓Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CRS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CRS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.80%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $280.0H $298.7L $280.0C $283.1VOL 1.89M
SUP: $257.4SMA50: $393.5SMA200: $443.2
$650.7$548.4$446.2$344.0$241.7SUP $257.4$283.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRS)

Materials Rank #27 of 270 ⚔️ PKX vs CRS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CRS vs. PKX, TX, GGB, ATI)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #35 by equity capitalization ($14.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GGB leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while ATI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and 22.0% gross margin. ATI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CRS at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRS ACTIVE
Carpenter Technology Corporation
C 62/100 39.4x 26.7% 16.9% -5.24% $14.80B Benchmark Subject
PKX
POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )
D 44/100 — — — -2.44% $16.48B /pkx-vs-crs →
TX
Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)
D+ 54/100 — — — -2.39% $10.61B /tx-vs-crs →
GGB
Gerdau S.A.
C- 60/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.69% $9.38B /ggb-vs-crs →
ATI
ATI Inc.
B- 71/100 58.9x 22.0% 18.6% -5.38% $23.83B /ati-vs-crs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000017843

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.88B (+4.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.76B , and +12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $376.0M, operating cash flow of $440.4M, and free cash flow of $310.9M (+106.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRS closed FY2025 with $3.50B in total assets against $690.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $2.88B $376.0M $440.4M $310.9M $3.50B $690.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $2.76B $187.0M $274.9M $150.7M $3.33B $694.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $2.55B $56.0M $14.7M -$100.1M $8.14B $1.90B

3. CRS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Carpenter Technology Corporation (NYSE: CRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $283.08 (-5.24% 1D, market cap $14.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CRS ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRS compare to PKX and TX in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), CRS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.4x, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of 16.9%. By comparison, PKX (POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $16.48B) and TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while ATI leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRS?

Per CRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000017843), Carpenter Technology Corporation generated $2.88B in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $376.0M in net income, and $310.9M in free cash flow against $3.50B in total assets and $690.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRS last traded at $283.08 (-5.24% on volume of 1,263,164 shares), positioning the stock -28.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($393.50) and -36.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($443.19). Across its 52-week range of $273.45 to $625.99, CRS sits at the 2.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($250.53 to $315.63).

CRS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CRS stock right now?

Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 27% profit margin (17% return on capital), mixed timing at 39x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CRS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CRS's 12-month base price target is $288.18 (range $224.78 to $657.29), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CRS — Carpenter Technology Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CRS scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20 (ROIC 16.9%; FCF yield 2.1%); Whale 13F Flow 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 9/20 (Beta 1.08; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 18/20 (Altman Z 8.38; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.35).

Read together, the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars are the strongest components, while institutional flow and macro fit score lowest. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the reported return on invested capital and the strength of the balance sheet, which the rating treats as high-quality. The valuation tradeoff is material: per the market data, trailing P/E is 39.4 and EV/EBITDA is 24.1, while FCF yield is only 2.1%, meaning the price embeds substantial expectations relative to current free cash flow. The weaker whale-flow and macro-fit scores suggest limited institutional conviction and sensitivity to sector cycles. The Hold verdict reflects this balance rather than a clear directional signal.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$298.72$14.8B39.436.624.17.590.27%1.08$273.45 - $625.9916.9%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2877.1M$521.8M$376.0MN/A$310.9M$231.9M$690.1M
FY 2024$2759.7M$323.1M$187.0MN/A$150.7M$162.1M$694.8M
FY 2023$2550.3M$133.1M$56.0MN/A$-100.1MN/A$1904.6M

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $56.0M in FY 2023 to $376.0M in FY 2025, and FCF moved from $-100.1M to $310.9M over the same span. Reported debt fell from $1904.6M to $690.1M. Per the market data, gross margin is 26.7%, operating margin 18.1%, net margin 13.1%, and ROIC 16.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z-Score is 8.38 and Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9, with Debt/Equity at 0.35, indicating a strong balance sheet posture on these measures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines include "Why Carpenter Technology Stock Crashed After Earnings" (two separate reports, flagged YELLOW), a Seeking Alpha piece titled as a call that moved from sell to buy (YELLOW), a TradingView estimates item (YELLOW), and a Yahoo Finance item on record fiscal 2026 earnings and capacity expansion at the annual meeting (GREEN, flagged CATALYST). The Investing.com item referencing a 49% drop from fair value is flagged RED as RISK WATCH. The news feed reports the stock as down in recent sessions while also showing a 6.69% change in the market data; the source does not reconcile these. Proprietary signals in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Not available in source data (the graph lists no links and no proprietary signals).

Open Questions

  • What is the business mix, customer concentration, and end-market exposure behind the reported revenue?
  • Why did the stock decline after earnings, and does the 52-week range reflect a durable de-rating or a temporary dislocation?
  • What drives the reported FY 2025 operating income increase, and is it repeatable?
  • How will the planned capacity expansion referenced in the news feed affect future FCF and debt?
  • Which supply-chain inputs and sector signals matter most, given the butterfly graph is empty?

CRS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CRS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $283.08?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $322.62 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CRS (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $298.72?

Welcome to the CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Steel/Iron Ore. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (39.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $244.95 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $298.72

Pump the brakes on CRS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CRS, but look at what you are paying: 39.4x trailing P/E with 26.7% gross margins. Unless Carpenter Technology Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $361.45 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $298.72

CRS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CRS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Steel/Iron Ore and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $298.72 (52-wk range $273.45 - $625.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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