Stock Ratings / Materials / CRS / earnings

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Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.5% Move

Q: When is CRS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

Q: How much is CRS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.5% event move for CRS, spanning a range between $250.53 and $315.63.

$283.08 -5.24% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $279.87

Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Carpenter Technology Corporation (NYSE: CRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $283.08 (-5.24% 1D, market cap $14.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CRS ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRS compare to PKX and TX in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), CRS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.4x, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of 16.9%. By comparison, PKX (POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $16.48B) and TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while ATI leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRS?

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Per CRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000017843), Carpenter Technology Corporation generated $2.88B in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $376.0M in net income, and $310.9M in free cash flow against $3.50B in total assets and $690.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (27% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $279.88 (-1.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 10.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CRS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.8% FCF Margin ($310.9M FCF) & 26.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$380.42-2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$372.53-22.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$288.49-1.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C$283.08+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, CRS faces multiple-compression risk if 39.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($393.50) or 200D SMA ($443.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($288.18) toward Bear Floor ($224.78).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CRS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.5% Swing Band

±$32.55 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CRS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $7.59 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.3%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$2.88B	$376.0M	$310.9M	26.7%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$2.76B	$187.0M	$150.7M	21.2%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$2.55B	$56.0M	-$100.1M	26.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CRS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CRS
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CRS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.80%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $280.0H $298.7L $280.0C $283.1VOL 1.89M

SUP: $257.4SMA50: $393.5SMA200: $443.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRS Butterfly Map → + Track CRS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

30.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRS)

Materials Rank #27 of 270 ⚔️ PKX vs CRS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CRS vs. PKX, TX, GGB, ATI)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #35 by equity capitalization ($14.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GGB leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while ATI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and 22.0% gross margin. ATI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CRS at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CRS ACTIVE Carpenter Technology Corporation	C	62/100	39.4x	26.7%	16.9%	-5.24%	$14.80B	Benchmark Subject
PKX POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )	D	44/100	—	—	—	-2.44%	$16.48B	/pkx-vs-crs →
TX Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)	D+	54/100	—	—	—	-2.39%	$10.61B	/tx-vs-crs →
GGB Gerdau S.A.	C-	60/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.69%	$9.38B	/ggb-vs-crs →
ATI ATI Inc.	B-	71/100	58.9x	22.0%	18.6%	-5.38%	$23.83B	/ati-vs-crs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000017843

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.88B (+4.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.76B , and +12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $376.0M, operating cash flow of $440.4M, and free cash flow of $310.9M (+106.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRS closed FY2025 with $3.50B in total assets against $690.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$2.88B	$376.0M	$440.4M	$310.9M	$3.50B	$690.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$2.76B	$187.0M	$274.9M	$150.7M	$3.33B	$694.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$2.55B	$56.0M	$14.7M	-$100.1M	$8.14B	$1.90B

3. CRS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CRS compare to PKX and TX in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRS?

Where is CRS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRS last traded at $283.08 (-5.24% on volume of 1,263,164 shares), positioning the stock -28.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($393.50) and -36.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($443.19). Across its 52-week range of $273.45 to $625.99, CRS sits at the 2.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($250.53 to $315.63).

CRS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CRS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is CRS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.5% event move for CRS, spanning a range between $250.53 and $315.63.

Direct Sub-Reports: CRS RQD Cockpit CRS 12M Forecast CRS Earnings & Move CRS Dividends & DRIP CRS Insiders & 13F CRS Whale Options CRS Profit Sankey CRS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CRS — Carpenter Technology Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CRS scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20 (ROIC 16.9%; FCF yield 2.1%); Whale 13F Flow 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 9/20 (Beta 1.08; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 18/20 (Altman Z 8.38; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.35).

Read together, the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars are the strongest components, while institutional flow and macro fit score lowest. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the reported return on invested capital and the strength of the balance sheet, which the rating treats as high-quality. The valuation tradeoff is material: per the market data, trailing P/E is 39.4 and EV/EBITDA is 24.1, while FCF yield is only 2.1%, meaning the price embeds substantial expectations relative to current free cash flow. The weaker whale-flow and macro-fit scores suggest limited institutional conviction and sensitivity to sector cycles. The Hold verdict reflects this balance rather than a clear directional signal.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$298.72	$14.8B	39.4	36.6	24.1	7.59	0.27%	1.08	$273.45 - $625.99	16.9%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$2877.1M	$521.8M	$376.0M	N/A	$310.9M	$231.9M	$690.1M
FY 2024	$2759.7M	$323.1M	$187.0M	N/A	$150.7M	$162.1M	$694.8M
FY 2023	$2550.3M	$133.1M	$56.0M	N/A	$-100.1M	N/A	$1904.6M

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $56.0M in FY 2023 to $376.0M in FY 2025, and FCF moved from $-100.1M to $310.9M over the same span. Reported debt fell from $1904.6M to $690.1M. Per the market data, gross margin is 26.7%, operating margin 18.1%, net margin 13.1%, and ROIC 16.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z-Score is 8.38 and Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9, with Debt/Equity at 0.35, indicating a strong balance sheet posture on these measures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines include "Why Carpenter Technology Stock Crashed After Earnings" (two separate reports, flagged YELLOW), a Seeking Alpha piece titled as a call that moved from sell to buy (YELLOW), a TradingView estimates item (YELLOW), and a Yahoo Finance item on record fiscal 2026 earnings and capacity expansion at the annual meeting (GREEN, flagged CATALYST). The Investing.com item referencing a 49% drop from fair value is flagged RED as RISK WATCH. The news feed reports the stock as down in recent sessions while also showing a 6.69% change in the market data; the source does not reconcile these. Proprietary signals in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Not available in source data (the graph lists no links and no proprietary signals).

Open Questions

What is the business mix, customer concentration, and end-market exposure behind the reported revenue?
Why did the stock decline after earnings, and does the 52-week range reflect a durable de-rating or a temporary dislocation?
What drives the reported FY 2025 operating income increase, and is it repeatable?
How will the planned capacity expansion referenced in the news feed affect future FCF and debt?
Which supply-chain inputs and sector signals matter most, given the butterfly graph is empty?

CRS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CRS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 9h ago

Why Carpenter Technology Stock Crashed After Earnings

Yahoo Finance report covering Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 12h ago

Carpenter Technology: I Called The Sell, Now It's A Buy (NYSE:CRS)

Seeking Alpha report covering Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 18h ago

Carpenter Technology Corporation Estimates – NYSE:CRS

TradingView report covering Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Carpenter Technology Touts Record Fiscal 2026 Earnings, Capacity Expansion at Annual Meeting

Yahoo Finance report covering Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Investing.com • 1d ago

InvestingPro’s fair value spotted Carpenter Technology’s 49% drop By Investing.com

Investing.com report covering Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH FinancialContent • 1d ago

Lost Money on Carpenter Technology Corporation Stock? Glancy Prongay Wolke & Rotter LLP Investigates Possible Securities Fraud After 20.62% Share Price Drop

FinancialContent report covering Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Carpenter Technology Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the First Quarter Ended September 30, 2026

www.marketscreener.com report covering Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 5h ago

Carpenter Technology Consensus Price Target Decreased by 14.27% to $468.56

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $283.08?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $322.62 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CRS (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $298.72?

Welcome to the CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Steel/Iron Ore. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (39.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $244.95 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $298.72

Pump the brakes on CRS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CRS, but look at what you are paying: 39.4x trailing P/E with 26.7% gross margins. Unless Carpenter Technology Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $361.45 (+21.0%)

Spot @ $298.72

CRS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CRS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Steel/Iron Ore and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $298.72 (52-wk range $273.45 - $625.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.