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CoStar Group Inc. (CSGP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$31.82 +5.47% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.07

CoStar Group Inc. (CSGP) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $12.14B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CSGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, CoStar Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CSGP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $31.82 (+5.47% 1D, market cap $12.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CSGP ranks #716 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CSGP compare to INVH and JLL in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CSGP carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, INVH (Invitation Homes Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 26.8x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $15.30B) and JLL (Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $16.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRNO leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while TRNO leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSGP?
β–Ό

Per CSGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001057352), CoStar Group Inc. generated $3.25B in revenue (+18.7% YoY), $6.5M in net income, and $123.0M in free cash flow against $10.54B in total assets and $993.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.07 (+0.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510047
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$74 Bull$30 Base$24 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CSGP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CSGP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CSGP SCORES 47/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.8% FCF Margin ($123.0M FCF) & 78.9% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.7) create a -14 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$30.11+9.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$32.90-16.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$27.54+15.5% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$31.82-5.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (39) β†’ D (47)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CSGP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CSGP currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($30.10) and Max Pain ($33.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $74.16.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CSGPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCSGP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CSGP)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CSGP.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CSGP)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CSGP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CSGP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.06%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $28.14H $31.82L $28.14C $31.82VOL 9.59M
RES: $35.99SUP: $26.94SMA50: $30.10SMA200: $36.14
$68.96$57.29$45.61$33.94$22.27RES $35.99SUP $26.94$31.822026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CSGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CSGP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CSGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CSGP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CSGP)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CSGP vs. INVH, JLL, BEKE, TRNO)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CoStar Group Inc. (CSGP) ranks #716 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #165 by equity capitalization ($12.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRNO leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while TRNO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.4% ROIC and β€” gross margin. JLL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with CSGP at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CSGP ACTIVE
CoStar Group Inc.
D 47/100 β€” β€” -0.7% +5.47% $12.14B Benchmark Subject
INVH
Invitation Homes Inc.
C- 61/100 26.8x β€” 4.3% +1.13% $15.30B /invh-vs-csgp β†’
JLL
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
C 64/100 20.4x β€” 7.8% +5.42% $16.43B /jll-vs-csgp β†’
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc American
D 44/100 46.0x β€” 2.1% +1.13% $20.01B /beke-vs-csgp β†’
TRNO
Terreno Realty Corporation
D+ 58/100 17.8x β€” 8.4% +1.83% $7.14B /trno-vs-csgp β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001057352 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CoStar Group Inc. (CSGP) reported GAAP revenue of $3.25B (+18.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.74B , and +32.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $6.5M, operating cash flow of $430.0M, and free cash flow of $123.0M (+166.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CSGP closed FY2025 with $10.54B in total assets against $993.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.25B $6.5M $430.0M $123.0M $10.54B $993.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.74B $138.7M $393.0M -$186.0M $9.26B $992.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.46B $374.7M $490.0M $379.5M $6.23B $1.46B

3. CSGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CSGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, CoStar Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CSGP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $31.82 (+5.47% 1D, market cap $12.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CSGP ranks #716 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CSGP compare to INVH and JLL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CSGP carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, INVH (Invitation Homes Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 26.8x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $15.30B) and JLL (Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $16.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRNO leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while TRNO leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSGP?

Per CSGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001057352), CoStar Group Inc. generated $3.25B in revenue (+18.7% YoY), $6.5M in net income, and $123.0M in free cash flow against $10.54B in total assets and $993.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CSGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CSGP last traded at $31.82 (+5.47% on volume of 5,622,108 shares), positioning the stock +5.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.10) and -11.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.14). Across its 52-week range of $25.89 to $70.63, CSGP sits at the 13.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.2% ($28.57 to $35.07).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 47/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CSGP β€” CoStar Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

CoStar Group Inc. (CSGP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $31.82 (+5.47% 1D, market capitalization $12.14B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.7%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -2.2%, and free cash flow yield of 1.09%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.07x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

CoStar Group Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and Real Estate industry,. The source profile describes the company as operating in Real Estate with a market capitalization of $11.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), CoStar Group Inc. (CSGP) reported $3.25B in annual revenue (up from $2.74B in FY2024, +18.7% YoY) and $6.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.46B revenue, $374.7M net income) through FY2025, CSGP scaled operating cash flow to $430.0M and free cash flow to $123.0M, backed by $10.54B in total assets against $993.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.09% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $25.89 – $70.63 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -2.2% operating margins and a 1.07x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are recorded (supply chain: NONE). Upstream/downstream dependency detail is β€” The only cross-check available is the sector and industry classification (Financials / Real Estate), which is not further decomposed in the source.

  • Key Question #1: Can CSGP sustain or expand its -2.2% operating margin and -0.7% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.25B and free cash flow of $123.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $993.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CSGP's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.07x)?

CSGP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CoStar Group Inc. (CSGP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CSGP Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CSGP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $31.82?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CSGP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CSGP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $39.82 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet strength with Piotroski F-Score 8/9, Altman Z 2.5, and Debt/Equity 0.5 supports financial resilience.

Long CSGP at $30.17 targeting $39.82. Balance-sheet strength with Piotroski F-Score 8/9, Altman Z 2.5, and Debt/Equity 0.5 supports financial resilience.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $25.89 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 47/100 quality, though with 1.07 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $30.17 and keeping dry powder in case we test $28.06.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.14 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $30.17

ROIC of -0.7% and operating income of -$72.0M in FY 2025 signal weak operating returns despite revenue growth.

Fading this rally in CSGP at $30.17. ROIC of -0.7% and operating income of -$72.0M in FY 2025 signal weak operating returns despite revenue growth.. With a beta of 1.07 and the stock sitting at $30.17 (52-wk range $25.89–$70.63), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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