Does CSTM pay a dividend and is it safe?

Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / CSTM / dividends

CXT (72) MWA (61) SMR (26) HLIO (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$22.98 -0.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.91

Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.11B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CSTM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CSTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, Constellium SE (France) (NYSE: CSTM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $22.98 (-0.56% 1D, market cap $3.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CSTM ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CSTM compare to CXT and MWA in the Industrials sector?

▼

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), CSTM carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.7%. By comparison, CXT (Crane NXT Co.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $3.37B) and MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSTM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CSTM leads on capital efficiency (28.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSTM?

▼

Per CSTM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001563411), Constellium SE (France) generated $8.45B in revenue (+15.2% YoY), $273.0M in net income, and $159.0M in free cash flow against $5.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.91 (-0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 1.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CSTM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CSTM SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.9% FCF Margin ($159.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (38) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$25.77+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$25.76-4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$24.56-6.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$22.98-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CSTM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CSTM faces multiple-compression risk if 11.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.43) or 200D SMA ($27.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.67) toward Bear Floor ($17.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CSTM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CSTM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $26,413

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $475/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.0K

Yr 1

$12.1K

Yr 2

$13.4K

Yr 3

$14.7K

Yr 4

$16.3K

Yr 5

$17.9K

Yr 6

$19.7K

Yr 7

$21.7K

Yr 8

$24.0K

Yr 9

$26.4K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CSTM)

✓Walkthrough of CSTM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CSTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.49%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $24.02H $24.02L $22.98C $22.98VOL 1.73M

RES: $25.50SUP: $22.19SMA50: $25.43SMA200: $27.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CSTM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CSTM Butterfly Map → + Track CSTM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CSTM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CSTM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CSTM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CSTM)

Industrials Rank #174 of 486 ⚔️ CXT vs CSTM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CSTM vs. CXT, MWA, SMR, HLIO)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) ranks #174 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #181 by equity capitalization ($3.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CSTM leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while CSTM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CXT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with CSTM at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CSTM ACTIVE Constellium SE (France)	D+	55/100	11.8x	—	28.7%	-0.56%	$3.11B	Benchmark Subject
CXT Crane NXT Co.	B	72/100	23.9x	42.5%	19.1%	+3.45%	$3.37B	/cxt-vs-cstm →
MWA MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS	C-	61/100	18.6x	36.1%	14.0%	+5.40%	$3.56B	/mwa-vs-cstm →
SMR NuScale Power Corporation	E	26/100	—	36.3%	-35.0%	-4.80%	$2.42B	/smr-vs-cstm →
HLIO Helios Technologies Inc.	D+	52/100	46.5x	32.3%	4.7%	+2.01%	$2.18B	/hlio-vs-cstm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001563411 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.45B (+15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.33B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $273.0M, operating cash flow of $489.0M, and free cash flow of $159.0M (+242.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CSTM closed FY2025 with $5.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.45B	$273.0M	$489.0M	$159.0M	$5.35B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.33B	$56.0M	$301.0M	-$112.0M	$4.73B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.83B	$152.0M	$432.0M	$432.0M	—	—

3. CSTM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CSTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CSTM compare to CXT and MWA in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSTM?

Where is CSTM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CSTM last traded at $22.98 (-0.56% on volume of 1,761,126 shares), positioning the stock -9.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.43) and -17.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.95). Across its 52-week range of $14.62 to $36.99, CSTM sits at the 37.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($21.28 to $24.68).

Direct Sub-Reports: CSTM RQD Cockpit CSTM 12M Forecast CSTM Earnings & Move CSTM Dividends & DRIP CSTM Insiders & 13F CSTM Whale Options CSTM Profit Sankey CSTM News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CSTM — Constellium SE (France): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $22.98 (-0.56% 1D, market capitalization $3.11B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 28.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 4.92%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Metal Fabrications industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.11B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 28.7% (free cash flow yield of 4.92%). Within the Metal Fabrications peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) reported $8.45B in annual revenue (up from $7.33B in FY2024, +15.2% YoY) and $273.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.83B revenue, $152.0M net income) through FY2025, CSTM scaled operating cash flow to $489.0M and free cash flow to $159.0M, backed by $5.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.62 – $36.99 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 11.8x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links recorded and no proprietary signals. The only sector-level information provided is the Industrials/Metal Fabrications classification and a beta of 1.0 from the market data.

Key Question #1: Can CSTM sustain or expand its — operating margin and 28.7% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.45B and free cash flow of $159.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is CSTM's 9.9x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CSTM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CSTM Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

The Technical Signals Behind (CSTM) That Institutions Follow

Stock Traders Daily report covering Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 4d ago

Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Constellium, Raises Price Target to $30

Barclays analyst Richard Garchitorena maintains Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) with a Equal-Weight and raises the price target from $28 to $30.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

Constellium (CSTM) Stock Faces Q3 Earnings Reality After Record EBITDA

Constellium came into this Q3 2026 earnings print with a stock that had cooled in recent months, down about 13% over the last quarter, and it slipped another 1.7% to about US$24 after the release. The reaction looks caut

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 4d ago

JP Morgan Upgrades Constellium to Overweight, Raises Price Target to $35

JP Morgan analyst Bill Peterson upgrades Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) from Neutral to Overweight and raises the price target from $34 to $35.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 5d ago

Wall Street Analysts Think Constellium (CSTM) Could Surge 35.08%: Read This Before Placing a Bet

The consensus price target hints at a 35.1% upside potential for Constellium (CSTM). While empirical research shows that this sought-after metric is hardly effective, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions could

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 5d ago

Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Constellium, Lowers Price Target to $33

Wells Fargo analyst Timna Tanners maintains Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $38 to $33.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 5d ago

Constellium SE 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation

2026-10-29. The following slide deck was published by Constellium SE in conjunction with their 2026 Q3 earnings call.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 5d ago

Constellium: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

BALTIMORE (AP) — BALTIMORE (AP) — Constellium NV (CSTM) on Wednesday reported profit of $119 million in its third quarter.On a per-share basis, the Baltimore-based company said it had net income of 84 cents.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CSTM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.98?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CSTM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.35 (+27.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 18/20 and the cash engine shows ROIC of 28.7% with a 4.92% FCF yield, while forward P/E sits at 9.9.

Insider conviction scores 18/20 and the cash engine shows ROIC of 28.7% with a 4.92% FCF yield, while forward P/E sits at 9.9.. When you look under the hood at CSTM, Fundamental Cash Engine is 15/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 28.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $36.99. My 12M target is $29.35.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 11.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Metal Fabrications. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.87 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $23.11

The macro regime fit pillar scores only 3/20 and whale 13F flow scores 6/20, leaving the overall RQD rating at a Roarable Sell.

Fading this rally in CSTM at $23.11. The macro regime fit pillar scores only 3/20 and whale 13F flow scores 6/20, leaving the overall RQD rating at a Roarable Sell.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $23.11 (52-wk range $14.62–$36.99), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.