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Douglas Emmett Inc. (DEI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.85 -2.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.78

Douglas Emmett Inc. (DEI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.70B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DEI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DEI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Douglas Emmett Inc. (NYSE: DEI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $9.85 (-2.76% 1D, market cap $1.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, DEI ranks #780 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DEI compare to GNL and CBL in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), DEI carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 105.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, GNL (Global Net Lease Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.9%, cap $1.61B) and CBL (CBL & Associates Properties Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 36.3%, cap $1.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while CBL leads on capital efficiency (36.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEI?
▼

Per DEI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001364250), Douglas Emmett Inc. generated $1.00B in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $16.3M in net income, and $386.9M in free cash flow against $9.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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🎯 DEI TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY • HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) • TARGET (RES) • WHY

Where to Enter $DEI, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

🏆 RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP • $DEI R/R 2.2 : 1 • RQD 45/100 (D)
$DEI
Spot $9.85
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$9.79–$9.90
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$9.34 (-5.2%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$10.49 / $10.98
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $9.34): Hard stop sits 5.2% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $DEI closes a daily candle below $9.34, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $10.49 / $10.98): Scale out 50% at T1 (+6.5%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+11.5%).
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#1 • $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
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IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.78 (-0.69%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 38.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$14 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE DEI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DEI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DEI SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 38.5% FCF Margin ($386.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.3) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$9.29+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$9.53+4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$10.00-1.5% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$9.85-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DEI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DEI currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.27) and Max Pain ($10.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DEI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DEI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your DEI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.85: 1015.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.23
$7,340
$-2,660 (-26.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.27
$9,411
$-589 (-5.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $13.64
$13,848
+$3,848 (+38.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DEI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DEI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DEI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.06%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $10.13H $10.13L $9.85C $9.85VOL 1.82M
RES: $10.87SUP: $8.94🎯 Entry / Stop & Top 3 Trades ↑SMA50: $10.27SMA200: $10.87
$13.23$12.15$11.06$9.98$8.89RES $10.87SUP $8.94$9.852026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DEI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DEI Butterfly Map → + Track DEI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DEI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DEI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DEI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DEI)

Financials Rank #780 of 1097 ⚔️ GNL vs DEI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (DEI vs. GNL, CBL, ARR, DHC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Douglas Emmett Inc. (DEI) ranks #780 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #458 by equity capitalization ($1.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while CBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 36.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CBL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DEI at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DEI ACTIVE
Douglas Emmett Inc.
D 45/100 105.1x — 0.9% -2.76% $1.70B Benchmark Subject
GNL
Global Net Lease Inc.
D 44/100 — — 5.9% -0.57% $1.61B /gnl-vs-dei →
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties Inc.
B- 71/100 11.6x — 36.3% -2.36% $1.56B /cbl-vs-dei →
ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.
D 49/100 5.9x — 14.3% -2.26% $1.84B /arr-vs-dei →
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust of
E 25/100 — — -17.2% -2.45% $1.87B /dhc-vs-dei →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001364250 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Douglas Emmett Inc. (DEI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.00B (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $986.5M , and -1.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.3M, operating cash flow of $386.9M, and free cash flow of $386.9M (-5.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, DEI closed FY2025 with $9.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.00B $16.3M $386.9M $386.9M $9.29B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $986.5M $23.5M $408.7M $408.7M $9.40B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.02B -$42.7M $427.0M $427.0M — —

3. DEI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DEI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Douglas Emmett Inc. (NYSE: DEI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $9.85 (-2.76% 1D, market cap $1.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, DEI ranks #780 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DEI compare to GNL and CBL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), DEI carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 105.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, GNL (Global Net Lease Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.9%, cap $1.61B) and CBL (CBL & Associates Properties Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 36.3%, cap $1.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while CBL leads on capital efficiency (36.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEI?

Per DEI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001364250), Douglas Emmett Inc. generated $1.00B in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $16.3M in net income, and $386.9M in free cash flow against $9.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DEI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DEI last traded at $9.85 (-2.76% on volume of 2,084,415 shares), positioning the stock -4.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.27) and -9.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.87). Across its 52-week range of $9.04 to $12.99, DEI sits at the 20.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($9.27 to $10.43).

Direct Sub-Reports: DEI RQD Cockpit DEI 12M Forecast DEI Earnings & Move DEI Dividends & DRIP DEI Insiders & 13F DEI Whale Options DEI Profit Sankey DEI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DEI — Douglas Emmett Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Douglas Emmett Inc. (DEI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.85 (-2.76% 1D, market capitalization $1.70B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 22.62%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Douglas Emmett Inc. (DEI) is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry,..7B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Douglas Emmett Inc. (DEI) reported $1.00B in annual revenue (up from $986.5M in FY2024, +1.8% YoY) and $16.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.02B revenue, -$42.7M net income) through FY2025, DEI scaled operating cash flow to $386.9M and free cash flow to $386.9M, backed by $9.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 22.62% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.04 – $12.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 105.1x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlation data, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector-level context available is that DEI is classified as a Real Estate Investment Trust and carries a beta of 1.0 per the market data.

  • Key Question #1: Can DEI sustain or expand its — operating margin and 0.9% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.00B and free cash flow of $386.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DEI's 97.7x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DEI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Douglas Emmett Inc. (DEI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DEI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DEI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DEI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DEI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.26 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 22.62% per the RQD rating and a 7.44% dividend yield suggest strong cash generation relative to market value.

Free cash flow yield of 22.62% per the RQD rating and a 7.44% dividend yield suggest strong cash generation relative to market value.. When you look under the hood at DEI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $12.99. My 12M target is $12.26.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 105.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.90 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $10.13

ROIC of 0.9% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 5/20 per the RQD rating indicate weak capital efficiency and little protection from broad

Careful chasing DEI at $10.13. ROIC of 0.9% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 5/20 per the RQD rating indicate weak capital efficiency and little protection from broad market and sector moves.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $7.90 on multiple compression.

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