Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / DNUT / dividends

VLGEA (73) NGVC (63) ARKO (48) GO (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.28 +2.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.29

Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $568.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DNUT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DNUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, Krispy Kreme Inc. (NASDAQ: DNUT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $3.28 (+2.34% 1D, market cap $568.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, DNUT ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DNUT compare to VLGEA and NGVC in the Consumer Staples sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), DNUT carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.4%. By comparison, VLGEA (Village Super Market Inc. (Class A)) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $633.3M) and NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $661.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VLGEA leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNUT?

▼

Per DNUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001857154), Krispy Kreme Inc. generated $1.52B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), -$523.8M in net income, and -$64.0M in free cash flow against $2.59B in total assets and $911.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.29 (+0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DNUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DNUT SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (38% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.07-3.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.97-2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.91+12.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$3.28-10.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (18) → E (26)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DNUT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DNUT currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.10) and Max Pain ($3.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DNUT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DNUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

2.75% Total Yield

2.15% Cash ($0.07/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $18,422

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $507/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.3K

Yr 2

$12.0K

Yr 3

$12.8K

Yr 4

$13.6K

Yr 5

$14.4K

Yr 6

$15.3K

Yr 7

$16.3K

Yr 8

$17.3K

Yr 9

$18.4K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DNUT)

✓Walkthrough of DNUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DNUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $3.20H $3.28L $3.20C $3.28VOL 3.76M

RES: $3.28SUP: $2.79SMA50: $3.10SMA200: $3.34

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DNUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DNUT Butterfly Map → + Track DNUT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DNUT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DNUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DNUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DNUT)

Consumer Staples Rank #134 of 146 ⚔️ VLGEA vs DNUT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (DNUT vs. VLGEA, NGVC, ARKO, GO)

Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #83 by equity capitalization ($568.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VLGEA leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while NGVC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. VLGEA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with DNUT at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DNUT ACTIVE Krispy Kreme Inc.	E	26/100	—	—	-24.4%	+2.34%	$568.2M	Benchmark Subject
VLGEA Village Super Market Inc. (Class A)	B	73/100	11.2x	28.6%	14.0%	+0.40%	$633.3M	/vlgea-vs-dnut →
NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.	C	63/100	14.1x	29.9%	24.9%	+0.74%	$661.2M	/ngvc-vs-dnut →
ARKO ARKO Corp.	D	48/100	18.6x	—	9.6%	+0.27%	$425.2M	/arko-vs-dnut →
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.	D+	57/100	—	30.3%	-12.6%	+0.39%	$1.28B	/go-vs-dnut →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001857154

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.52B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.67B , and -9.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$523.8M, operating cash flow of $33.9M, and free cash flow of -$64.0M (+14.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DNUT closed FY2025 with $2.59B in total assets against $911.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$1.52B	-$523.8M	$33.9M	-$64.0M	$2.59B	$911.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$1.67B	$3.8M	$45.8M	-$75.0M	$3.07B	$844.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.69B	-$36.6M	$45.5M	$45.5M	—	—

3. DNUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DNUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DNUT compare to VLGEA and NGVC in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNUT?

Where is DNUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DNUT last traded at $3.28 (+2.34% on volume of 3,756,881 shares), positioning the stock +5.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.10) and -1.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.34). Across its 52-week range of $2.81 to $4.75, DNUT sits at the 24.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($3.00 to $3.56).

DNUT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does DNUT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) offers a 2.15% cash dividend yield ($0.07 annualized) and 2.75% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: DNUT RQD Cockpit DNUT 12M Forecast DNUT Earnings & Move DNUT Dividends & DRIP DNUT Insiders & 13F DNUT Whale Options DNUT Profit Sankey DNUT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DNUT — Krispy Kreme Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:35:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD Score is 25, with a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Per the Roarable RQD rating, each of the five pillars scores 3 to 9 out of 20:

Fundamental cash engine (5/20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -24.4% and FCF yield is -11.53%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is currently destroying capital relative to the capital employed and is not generating free cash for shareholders on the measured basis.
Whale / 13F flow (9/20): The highest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: institutional interest is the main upside-supporting element in the rating, though the source does not itemize the specific holders.
Insider conviction (3/20): Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates insider and congressional flow is not supportive.
Macro regime fit (3/20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity. The score suggests limited tailwind from the current macro regime as scored.
Forensic balance sheet (5/20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.4. Investor implication: these readings flag elevated financial distress and weak balance-sheet quality, which is the core reason for the Avoid verdict.

Valuation tradeoff: the stock trades at $3.20 with a market cap of $555.2M, but earnings-based multiples are not available in source data, so value cannot be assessed against earnings. The upside case rests on institutional interest and any operational turnaround visible in upcoming results; the downside case rests on negative margins, negative FCF, and distress-zone forensic scores.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-28)	$1522.6M	$-469.3M	$-523.8M	N/A	$-64.0M	$42.4M	$911.9M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-29)	$1665.4M	$-8.7M	$3.8M	N/A	$-75.0M	$29.0M	$844.5M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)	$1686.1M	$13.1M	$-36.6M	N/A	$45.5M	N/A	N/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -30.8%, net margin is -34.4%, and ROIC is -24.4%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, both indicating a weak forensic profile. Debt/Equity is 1.4 per the RQD rating. Revenue declined from $1686.1M (FY 2023) to $1522.6M (FY 2025), and reported debt rose from $844.5M to $911.9M over FY 2024 to FY 2025 while cash was $42.4M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six items appear in the news feed, all related to DNUT:

RISK WATCH (RED): Two "Bear of the Day" pieces from Yahoo Finance and TradingView flag the stock as a bearish call.
CATALYST (GREEN): A Seeking Alpha piece covers an expansion plan for the New York City region, which the source describes as a test of U.S. store growth.
MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Stock Titan item reports that 33 Krispy Kreme shops are planned across New York City, Long Island and New Jersey. A MarketBeat item covers brokerage commentary, and a Yahoo Finance item announces Third Quarter 2026 results with a conference call on November 5, 2026.

Butterfly supply-chain graph: sector is Consumer Staples, industry is Food Chains, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the composition of the institutional and options positioning behind the 9/20 whale-flow pillar?
What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-523.8M against FY 2024 net income of $3.8M, and how much is one-time versus recurring?
How is the debt of $911.9M structured, including maturities and interest burden relative to the $42.4M cash position?
What are the earnings and EPS figures on a TTM basis, given that P/E and EPS are unavailable?
What supply-chain dependencies, if any, link the company to upstream suppliers or downstream customers?

DNUT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DNUT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 16h ago

Bear of the Day: Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Yahoo Finance report covering Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 22h ago

Krispy Kreme to test U.S. store growth again with an expansion plan for the New York City region (DNUT:NASDAQ)

Seeking Alpha report covering Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

33 Krispy Kreme shops are planned across New York City, Long Island and New Jersey.

Stock Titan report covering Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) - What Are Brokerages Saying About This Stock?

MarketBeat report covering Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Krispy Kreme to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results and Host Conference Call on November 5, 2026

Yahoo Finance report covering Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE OTC Markets • 1d ago

DNUT - Krispy Kreme Inc. | News

OTC Markets report covering Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 1d ago

Krispy Kreme Investigation Initiated: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates the Officers and Directors of Krispy Kreme, Inc. - DNUT

Business Wire report covering Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 20h ago

KRISPY KREME® Makes Election Day Sweeter with a FREE Original Glazed® Doughnut on Nov. 3

CHARLOTTE, N.C., November 02, 2026--Krispy Kreme® is celebrating Election Day by offering voters a FREE Original Glazed® doughnut at participating U.S. shops on Tuesday, Nov. 3.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DNUT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.28?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DNUT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.82 (-11.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DNUT (E • RQD 25/100) a Buy at $3.20?

Welcome to the DNUT (Krispy Kreme Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 25/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Food Chains. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.56 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $3.20

Pump the brakes on DNUT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DNUT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Krispy Kreme Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.10 (+28.1%)

Spot @ $3.20

DNUT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DNUT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Food Chains and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.20 (52-wk range $2.81 - $4.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.