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Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$3.39 +3.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.40

Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $568.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DNUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Krispy Kreme Inc. (NASDAQ: DNUT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $3.39 (+3.51% 1D, market cap $568.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, DNUT ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DNUT compare to VLGEA and NGVC in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), DNUT carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.4%. By comparison, VLGEA (Village Super Market Inc. (Class A)) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $633.3M) and NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $661.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VLGEA leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNUT?
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Per DNUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001857154), Krispy Kreme Inc. generated $1.52B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), -$523.8M in net income, and -$64.0M in free cash flow against $2.59B in total assets and $911.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.40 (+0.44%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (10)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.5% Base Target
$5 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE DNUT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DNUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DNUT SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (38% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
18
Grade E$3.07-3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$2.97-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$2.91+16.5% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$3.39-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (18) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DNUT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DNUT currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.10) and Max Pain ($3.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DNUT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DNUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How DNUT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.52BGross Profit $791.8M (52%)Cost of Sales $730.9MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $791.8MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.69B
FY24
Rev $1.67B
FY25
Rev $1.52B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.52B52%-30.8%-$523.8M-$64.0M-24.4%
FY 2024$1.67B52%-0.5%$3.8M-$75.0M-0.4%
FY 2023$1.69B52%0.8%-$36.6M$45.5M-24.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DNUT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DNUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DNUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.12%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $3.20H $3.39L $3.20C $3.39VOL 3.76M
RES: $3.00SUP: $2.79SMA50: $3.10SMA200: $3.34
$4.67$4.17$3.66$3.16$2.65RES $3.00SUP $2.79$3.392026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DNUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DNUT Butterfly Map → + Track DNUT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DNUT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DNUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DNUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DNUT)

Consumer Staples Rank #135 of 147 ⚔️ VLGEA vs DNUT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (DNUT vs. VLGEA, NGVC, ARKO, GO)

Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) ranks #135 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #84 by equity capitalization ($568.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VLGEA leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while NGVC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. VLGEA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with DNUT at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DNUT ACTIVE
Krispy Kreme Inc.
E 26/100 — — -24.4% +3.51% $568.2M Benchmark Subject
VLGEA
Village Super Market Inc. (Class A)
B 73/100 11.2x 28.6% 14.0% +0.84% $633.3M /vlgea-vs-dnut →
NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.
C 63/100 14.1x 29.9% 24.9% +2.37% $661.2M /ngvc-vs-dnut →
ARKO
ARKO Corp.
D 48/100 18.6x — 9.6% +1.58% $425.2M /arko-vs-dnut →
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
D+ 57/100 — 30.3% -12.6% +2.32% $1.28B /go-vs-dnut →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001857154 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.52B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.67B , and -9.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$523.8M, operating cash flow of $33.9M, and free cash flow of -$64.0M (+14.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DNUT closed FY2025 with $2.59B in total assets against $911.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $1.52B -$523.8M $33.9M -$64.0M $2.59B $911.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $1.67B $3.8M $45.8M -$75.0M $3.07B $844.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.69B -$36.6M $45.5M $45.5M — —

3. DNUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DNUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Krispy Kreme Inc. (NASDAQ: DNUT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $3.39 (+3.51% 1D, market cap $568.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, DNUT ranks #135 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DNUT compare to VLGEA and NGVC in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), DNUT carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.4%. By comparison, VLGEA (Village Super Market Inc. (Class A)) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $633.3M) and NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $661.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VLGEA leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNUT?

Per DNUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001857154), Krispy Kreme Inc. generated $1.52B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), -$523.8M in net income, and -$64.0M in free cash flow against $2.59B in total assets and $911.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DNUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DNUT last traded at $3.39 (+3.51% on volume of 6,110,514 shares), positioning the stock +9.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.10) and +1.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($3.34). Across its 52-week range of $2.81 to $4.75, DNUT sits at the 29.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($3.10 to $3.68).

Direct Sub-Reports: DNUT RQD Cockpit DNUT 12M Forecast DNUT Earnings & Move DNUT Dividends & DRIP DNUT Insiders & 13F DNUT Whale Options DNUT Profit Sankey DNUT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DNUT — Krispy Kreme Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.39 (+3.51% 1D, market capitalization $568.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -30.8%, and free cash flow yield of -11.53%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.40x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Krispy Kreme Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating within the Food Chains industry.. — for specific product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix. — for how the company monetizes beyond its classification as a food chain.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) reported $1.52B in annual revenue (up from $1.67B in FY2024, -8.6% YoY) and -$523.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.69B revenue, -$36.6M net income) through FY2025, DNUT scaled operating cash flow to $33.9M and free cash flow to -$64.0M, backed by $2.59B in total assets against $911.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -11.53% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.81 – $4.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -30.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The one forward-looking item an investor should track is the Third Quarter 2026 results release and call on November 5, 2026, along with the planned New York City-region store rollout.

  • Key Question #1: Can DNUT sustain or expand its -30.8% operating margin and -24.4% ROIC against Food Chains peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.52B and free cash flow of -$64.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $911.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DNUT's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DNUT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DNUT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DNUT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.39?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DNUT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DNUT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.20 (+28.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 9/20, the strongest pillar in the rating, alongside a planned 33-shop New York

Picked up a starter position in DNUT in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $3.28. Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 9/20, the strongest pillar in the rating, alongside a planned 33-shop New York City-region expansion.. Trading inside a $2.81–$4.75 52-week range with -11.53% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Food Chains multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 26/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.28 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.05.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.62 (-20.1%)
Spot @ $3.28

A FY 2025 net loss of -$523.8M, Altman Z of 0.2, Piotroski F of 2/9, and ROIC of -24.4% place the stock in the RQD Strong Sell category

Careful chasing DNUT at $3.28. A FY 2025 net loss of -$523.8M, Altman Z of 0.2, Piotroski F of 2/9, and ROIC of -24.4% place the stock in the RQD Strong Sell category.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is -30.8%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $2.62 on multiple compression.

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