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Why DX Stock slipped -1.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$10.40 -1.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.35

Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.75B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Dynex Capital Inc. (NYSE: DX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $10.40 (-1.70% 1D, market cap $2.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, DX ranks #752 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DX compare to AKR and FCPT in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), DX carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.0%. By comparison, AKR (Acadia Realty Trust) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 155.0x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.66B) and FCPT (Four Corners Property Trust Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 21.8x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $2.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FCPT leads on earnings multiple (21.8x) while DRH leads on capital efficiency (7.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DX?
▼

Per DX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000826675), Dynex Capital Inc. generated $7.28B in revenue (+111.9% YoY), $319.1K in net income, and $120.8M in free cash flow against $17.34B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 DX TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY • HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) • TARGET (RES) • WHY

Where to Enter $DX, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

🏆 RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP • $DX R/R 2.2 : 1 • RQD 46/100 (D)
$DX
Spot $10.40
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$10.34–$10.45
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$9.86 (-5.2%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$11.08 / $11.60
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $9.86): Hard stop sits 5.2% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $DX closes a daily candle below $9.86, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $11.08 / $11.60): Scale out 50% at T1 (+6.5%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+11.5%).
Want this $DX sheet + Today's Top 3 Trades emailed free? Paper Trade $DX →
⚡ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked • Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $DX Sheet
#1 • $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
Micron Technology, Inc.
IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.35 (-0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (5)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$16 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE DX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DX SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (37.3) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$10.84+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$11.05-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$10.83-4% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$10.40-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DX currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.57) and Max Pain ($10.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why DX Stock slipped -1.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) slipped -1.70% to $10.40, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($10.31 – $14.93). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($10.31 – $14.93) with RSI-14 at 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $10.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $120.8M annual free cash flow.
Live DX Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $10.65H $10.65L $10.40C $10.40VOL 6.70M
$13.82$12.87$11.92$10.97$10.01RES $13.80SUP $9.76$10.402026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +111.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DX)

Financials Rank #752 of 1097 ⚔️ AKR vs DX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (DX vs. AKR, FCPT, DRH, CXW)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) ranks #752 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #381 by equity capitalization ($2.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FCPT leads on earnings valuation at 21.8x trailing P/E, while DRH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.0% ROIC and — gross margin. DRH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with DX at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DX ACTIVE
Dynex Capital Inc.
D 46/100 — — 0.0% -1.70% $2.75B Benchmark Subject
AKR
Acadia Realty Trust
D 48/100 155.0x — 1.8% -1.24% $2.66B /akr-vs-dx →
FCPT
Four Corners Property Trust Inc.
C 62/100 21.8x — 6.9% -0.22% $2.55B /fcpt-vs-dx →
DRH
Diamondrock Hospitality Company
C+ 67/100 29.2x — 7.0% 0.00% $2.97B /drh-vs-dx →
CXW
CoreCivic Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — +2.11% $3.00B /cxw-vs-dx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000826675 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) reported GAAP revenue of $7.28B (+111.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.44B , and +1363.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $319.1K, operating cash flow of $120.8M, and free cash flow of $120.8M (+739.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DX closed FY2025 with $17.34B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.28B $319.1K $120.8M $120.8M $17.34B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.44B $113.9M $14.4M $14.4M $8.18B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $497.7M -$6.1M $62.2M $62.2M — —

3. DX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dynex Capital Inc. (NYSE: DX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $10.40 (-1.70% 1D, market cap $2.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, DX ranks #752 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DX compare to AKR and FCPT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), DX carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.0%. By comparison, AKR (Acadia Realty Trust) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 155.0x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.66B) and FCPT (Four Corners Property Trust Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 21.8x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $2.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FCPT leads on earnings multiple (21.8x) while DRH leads on capital efficiency (7.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DX?

Per DX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000826675), Dynex Capital Inc. generated $7.28B in revenue (+111.9% YoY), $319.1K in net income, and $120.8M in free cash flow against $17.34B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DX last traded at $10.40 (-1.70% on volume of 7,493,020 shares), positioning the stock -10.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.57) and -19.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.85). Across its 52-week range of $10.31 to $14.93, DX sits at the 1.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($9.86 to $10.94).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DX — Dynex Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.40 (-1.70% 1D, market capitalization $2.75B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 4.27%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $2.77B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0% (free cash flow yield of 4.27%). Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) reported $7.28B in annual revenue (up from $3.44B in FY2024, +111.9% YoY) and $319.1K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($497.7M revenue, -$6.1M net income) through FY2025, DX scaled operating cash flow to $120.8M and free cash flow to $120.8M, backed by $17.34B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.27% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.31 – $14.93 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are — Sector correlation data is — Second-order bottlenecks are — The only sector context available is the Financials / Real Estate Investment Trusts classification from the profile section.

  • Key Question #1: Can DX sustain or expand its — operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.28B and free cash flow of $120.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DX's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.31 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

DX (D • RQD 46/100) operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts is mispriced at $10.65

Don't sleep on DX's setup in Financials. DX (D • RQD 46/100) operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts is mispriced at $10.65. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (46/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $10.65 and keeping dry powder in case we test $9.90.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.99 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $10.65

A 46 / D RQD score with ROIC at 0%, Whale Flow at 5 / 20, and Macro Fit at 5 / 20 signals weak institutional and regime confirmation.

I respect the product at Dynex Capital Inc., but the stock at $10.65 is a different story. A 46 / D RQD score with ROIC at 0%, Whale Flow at 5 / 20, and Macro Fit at 5 / 20 signals weak institutional and regime confirmation.. FCF yield is 4.27% and RQD sits at 46/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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