Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why EAF Stock dropped -4.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is EAF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE: EAF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.33 (-4.79% 1D, market cap $320.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EAF ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does EAF compare to NPWR and BLDP in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), EAF carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.1%, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, NPWR (NET Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $187.5M) and BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $551.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EAF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EAF?
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Per EAF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931148), GrafTech International Ltd. generated $504.1M in revenue (-6.4% YoY), -$219.8M in net income, and -$120.5M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 43% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EAF Turnaround Squeeze
While EAF currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.56) and Max Pain ($11.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.71.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why EAF Stock dropped -4.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) dropped -4.79% to $11.33, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($4.92 – $19.72). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($4.92 – $19.72) with RSI-14 at 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $11.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
ChartMill report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
When a stock experiences a golden cross technical event, good things could be on the horizon. How should investors react?
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EAF)
- ✓Walkthrough of EAF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
EAF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EAF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EAF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EAF)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EAF vs. NPWR, BLDP, FCEL, EROC)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) ranks #171 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #164 by equity capitalization ($320.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EAF leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EAF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.3% ROIC and -3.1% gross margin. BLDP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with EAF at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAF
ACTIVE
GrafTech International Ltd. | D- | 42/100 | — | -3.1% | -7.3% | -4.79% | $320.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| NPWR NET Power Inc. (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.94% | $187.5M | /npwr-vs-eaf → |
| BLDP Ballard Power Systems Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -4.46% | $551.2M | /bldp-vs-eaf → |
| FCEL FuelCell Energy Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | -16.7% | -35.0% | -6.42% | $897.1M | /fcel-vs-eaf → |
| EROC ERock Inc. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | — | — | -5.39% | $1.83B | /eroc-vs-eaf → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000931148 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) reported GAAP revenue of $504.1M (-6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $538.8M , and -18.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$219.8M, operating cash flow of -$81.6M, and free cash flow of -$120.5M (-62.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, EAF closed FY2025 with $1.03B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $504.1M | -$219.8M | -$81.6M | -$120.5M | $1.03B | $1.09B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $538.8M | -$131.2M | -$40.1M | -$74.4M | $1.22B | $1.09B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $620.5M | -$255.3M | $76.6M | $76.6M | — | — |
3. EAF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EAF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE: EAF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.33 (-4.79% 1D, market cap $320.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EAF ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EAF compare to NPWR and BLDP in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), EAF carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.1%, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, NPWR (NET Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $187.5M) and BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $551.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EAF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EAF?
Per EAF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931148), GrafTech International Ltd. generated $504.1M in revenue (-6.4% YoY), -$219.8M in net income, and -$120.5M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EAF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EAF last traded at $11.33 (-4.79% on volume of 554,257 shares), positioning the stock +32.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.56) and +35.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.34). Across its 52-week range of $4.92 to $19.72, EAF sits at the 43.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.91 to $12.75).
EAF — GrafTech International Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $11.33 (-4.79% 1D, market capitalization $320.1M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -7.3%, gross margin of -3.1%, operating margin of -15.3%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Energy sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, with a market capitalization of $0.3B. — regarding specific customers, product lines, or revenue mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) reported $504.1M in annual revenue (up from $538.8M in FY2024, -6.4% YoY) and -$219.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($620.5M revenue, -$255.3M net income) through FY2025, EAF scaled operating cash flow to -$81.6M and free cash flow to -$120.5M, backed by $1.03B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.92 – $19.72 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -15.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream links are mapped and no proprietary signals are recorded, so no supply-chain dependency or sector correlation can be specified from source data. Investors should watch the cash flow and outlook concerns flagged in the news feed as the primary second-order channel, since persistent negative FCF (-$120.5M in FY 2025) combined with reported debt of $1.09B bears on refinancing and balance sheet capacity.
- Key Question #1: Can EAF sustain or expand its -15.3% operating margin and -7.3% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $504.1M and free cash flow of -$120.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.09B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is EAF's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
EAF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
EAF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.33?
Institutional accumulation and options positioning drive the strongest RQD pillar at 14 of 20, and recent headlines cite pricing-turnar
Don't sleep on EAF's setup in Energy. Institutional accumulation and options positioning drive the strongest RQD pillar at 14 of 20, and recent headlines cite pricing-turnaround and better-than-expected EBITDA signals.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (42/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@MultipleCompression Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (-3.1%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Negative ROIC of -7.3%, zero FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 leave the cash engine and balance sheet scoring weakly in the RQ
I respect the product at GrafTech International Ltd., but the stock at $11.90 is a different story. Negative ROIC of -7.3%, zero FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 leave the cash engine and balance sheet scoring weakly in the RQD rating.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 42/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?