The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$23.19 -3.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.99

The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $733.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ELMT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ELMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, The Elmet Group Co. (NASDAQ: ELMT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $23.19 (-3.70% 1D, market cap $733.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ELMT compare to NX and AAC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), ELMT carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NX (Quanex Building Products Corporation) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.9%, cap $951.4M) and AAC (Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $491.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELMT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UAMY leads on capital efficiency (-6.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELMT?
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Per ELMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002101698), The Elmet Group Co. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $175.6M in total assets and $28.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.99 (-0.86%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (16)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$28 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE ELMT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ELMT SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$20.52-8.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$18.75+16.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$21.84+6.2% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$23.19+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ELMT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ELMT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.83) or 200D SMA ($17.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.40) toward Bear Floor ($18.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELMT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ELMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ELMT & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ELMT and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ELMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +50.88%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $23.62H $24.08L $23.19C $23.19VOL 420.8K
RES: $26.26SUP: $18.82SMA50: $19.83SMA200: $17.83
$26.37$22.61$18.85$15.08$11.32RES $26.26SUP $18.82$23.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ELMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELMT)

Industrials Rank #131 of 485 ⚔️ NX vs ELMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ELMT vs. NX, AAC, UAMY, NWCL)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) ranks #131 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #276 by equity capitalization ($733.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELMT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UAMY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.0% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. ELMT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ELMT ACTIVE
The Elmet Group Co.
C- 60/100 — — — -3.70% $733.5M Benchmark Subject
NX
Quanex Building Products Corporation
D 50/100 — 27.2% -22.9% -0.43% $951.4M /nx-vs-elmt →
AAC
Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — 0.00% $491.7M /aac-vs-elmt →
UAMY
United States Antimony Corporation
E 30/100 — 25.2% -6.0% -5.70% $473.0M /uamy-vs-elmt →
NWCL
newcleo plc
D 46/100 — — — -7.81% $1.30B /nwcl-vs-elmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002101698

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ELMT closed FY2025 with $175.6M in total assets against $28.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $175.6M $28.5M

3. ELMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ELMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, The Elmet Group Co. (NASDAQ: ELMT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $23.19 (-3.70% 1D, market cap $733.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does ELMT compare to NX and AAC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), ELMT carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NX (Quanex Building Products Corporation) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.9%, cap $951.4M) and AAC (Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $491.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELMT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UAMY leads on capital efficiency (-6.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELMT?

Per ELMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002101698), The Elmet Group Co. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $175.6M in total assets and $28.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ELMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ELMT last traded at $23.19 (-3.70% on volume of 326,538 shares), positioning the stock +16.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.83) and +30.06% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.83). Across its 52-week range of $12.49 to $25.46, ELMT sits at the 82.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($20.29 to $26.09).

ELMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ELMT pay a dividend and is it safe?

The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ELMT — The Elmet Group Co.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ELMT scores 60 out of 100 (letter grade C-, verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral"). The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 10 of 20, reflecting ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0% in the source data, so the company's own operations are not currently shown generating returns or free cash flow. The whale/13F flow pillar, the strongest contributor at 16 of 20, points to institutional accumulation and options positioning. The insider conviction pillar scores 9 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 12 of 20, with beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, supported by Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.47.

For a prospective investor, the rating implies a mixed picture: institutional positioning and balance-sheet metrics are the supports, while the absence of demonstrated returns and cash generation in the source data is the main constraint. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. The upside case rests on the flow and liquidity signals rather than on reported earnings power; the downside case rests on the unproven cash engine. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/AN/A$1.8M$28.5M

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income for FY 2025 are each $0.0M, and EPS and FCF are not reported. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. Per the forensic balance sheet pillar of the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.47. Reported cash of $1.8M against debt of $28.5M is the balance sheet posture in the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items reference ELMT. Headlines include a Canaccord price target raise tied to defense growth (flagged as a CATALYST), an Investor's Business Daily report describing the stock as up 45% since its April IPO with a 50% target hike, and a Seeking Alpha piece characterizing the company as a Pentagon supplier. The remaining items are general market-wire and quote pages (flagged YELLOW). Risk watch items: the news summaries are generic, and the source data does not provide the underlying figures behind the target raise or the IPO-related return claim.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the proprietary signal is a LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND with a Macro Tailwind Score of 96/100, severity 94, direction BULLISH. The associated brief cites a True Net Liquidity Index of $5,745.73B (-0.64% 4-week RoC; High-Yield OAS +2 bps) and a rolling 5-year Net Liquidity beta of 6.00x (r = -0.30) for ELMT. This signal is macro-driven and reflects regression sensitivity, not company fundamentals.

Open Questions

  • What products, customers, and revenue model drive the $0.0M reported revenue for FY 2025, and what explains the zero reported figures?
  • Why do ROIC, FCF yield, and margins all read 0% in the source data, and does this reflect actual performance or missing filings?
  • What are the P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS figures, which the source data does not provide?
  • What specific holders (13F filers, insiders, Congressional traders) underlie the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What are the underlying figures behind the Canaccord target raise and the reported IPO-related return?

ELMT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ELMT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ELMT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $23.19?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ELMT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ELMT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $26.01 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ELMT (C- • RQD 60/100) a Buy at $24.08?

Welcome to the ELMT (The Elmet Group Co.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Metal Fabrications. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.23 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $24.08

Pump the brakes on ELMT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ELMT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless The Elmet Group Co. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.66 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $24.08

ELMT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ELMT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Fabrications and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $24.08 (52-wk range $12.49 - $25.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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