RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 15h ago
Vertical Aerospace (EVTL) Stock Fair Value Moves Lower After Analyst Target CutsYahoo Finance report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why EVTL Stock slipped -1.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.42 -1.73% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.42
Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $73.4M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is EVTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $0.42 (-1.73% 1D, market cap $73.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EVTL ranks #272 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does EVTL compare to HOVR and MOB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EVTL carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HOVR (New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC —, cap $85.2M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVTL?
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For Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #272 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.42 (-0.50%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EVTL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EVTL SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($2.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$0.49-16.3% Next Q
55
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$0.41-4.9% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$0.39+7.7% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D$0.42-5.9% Hist 90D α
47
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EVTL Turnaround Squeeze
While EVTL currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.56) and Max Pain ($0.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.70.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EVTL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EVTL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why EVTL Stock slipped -1.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) slipped -1.73% to $0.42, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.34 – $7.33). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.34 – $7.33) with RSI-14 at 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.1M annual free cash flow.
Live EVTL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREAviation Week • 18h ago
Vertical CEO Defends Progress As Financial Pressures MountAviation Week report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREChartMill • 21h ago
EVTL News | VERTICAL AEROSPACE LTD (NYSE:EVTL)ChartMill report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMoomoo • 1d ago
U.S. Stock Market Update | Vertical Aerospace (EVTL.US) rises approximately 10% in pre-market trading as Valo finalizes seat and navigation suppliersMoomoo report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTMarketBeat • 1d ago
Vertical Aerospace (NYSE:EVTL) Stock Rating Upgraded by BarclaysMarketBeat report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
A retired Marine colonel joins Vertical Aerospace’s board as two directors resignStock Titan report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Vertical Aerospace rises after signing supplier pacts with ANH, Northrop (EVTL:NYSE)Seeking Alpha report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHThe Globe and Mail • 1d ago
Vertical Aerospace Adds Former Airbus Executive Marc Fontaine to Board Amid Strategic ReviewThe Globe and Mail report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 19h ago
Vertical Aerospace Appoints Defence Technology Pioneer and Former FLIR CEO Andrew Teich to Its Board of DirectorsLONDON & NEW YORK, November 02, 2026--Vertical Aerospace ("Vertical" or the "Company") (NYSE: EVTL), a global aerospace and technology company pioneering electric aviation, today announced the appointment of Andrew Teich
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
What Ferrovial (FER) Said on Its Q3 Earnings CallFerrovial (NASDAQ:FER) reported strong growth in its highways and construction businesses during the first nine months of 2026, while providing additional details on recently awarded managed-lanes projects in Tennessee a
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EVTL)
- ✓Walkthrough of EVTL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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EVTL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -82.20%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $0.42H $0.43L $0.42C $0.42VOL 2.30M
RES: $0.40SUP: $-0.44SMA50: $0.56SMA200: $2.21
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
EVTL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EVTL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EVTL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EVTL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EVTL)
Industrials Rank #272 of 485
⚔️ HOVR vs EVTL Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EVTL vs. HOVR, MOB, SIF, DPRO)
Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) ranks #272 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #389 by equity capitalization ($73.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. EVTL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVTL
ACTIVE
Vertical Aerospace Ltd. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -1.73% | $73.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share | E | 34/100 | 9.9x | — | — | -5.91% | $85.2M | /hovr-vs-evtl → |
| MOB Mobilicom Limited | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -0.91% | $42.5M | /mob-vs-evtl → |
| SIF SIFCO Industries Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 12.5% | 0.4% | -5.14% | $132.5M | /sif-vs-evtl → |
| DPRO Draganfly Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -4.88% | $143.4M | /dpro-vs-evtl → |
2. EVTL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTVertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) operates in Aerospace (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $73.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. EVTL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EVTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $0.42 (-1.73% 1D, market cap $73.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EVTL ranks #272 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EVTL compare to HOVR and MOB in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EVTL carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HOVR (New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC —, cap $85.2M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVTL?
For Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #272 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EVTL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EVTL last traded at $0.42 (-1.73% on volume of 2,725,445 shares), positioning the stock -25.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.56) and -81.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.21). Across its 52-week range of $0.34 to $7.33, EVTL sits at the 1.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.47).
EVTL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is EVTL stock moving today?
Why EVTL Stock slipped -1.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
EVTL — Vertical Aerospace Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:18:51Z
Open Questions
- What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, cash, and debt figures for recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
- What is the company's current cash runway and funding plan, given the "financial pressures" headline and a 0% FCF yield?
- What are the consensus rating and price targets after the reported target cuts and the Barclays upgrade?
- Which seat and navigation suppliers are involved in the Valo finalization, and how material are they to production timelines?
- Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is their recent buying or selling activity?
EVTL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 15h ago
Vertical Aerospace (EVTL) Stock Fair Value Moves Lower After Analyst Target Cuts Yahoo Finance report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Aviation Week • 18h ago
Vertical CEO Defends Progress As Financial Pressures Mount Aviation Week report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 21h ago
EVTL News | VERTICAL AEROSPACE LTD (NYSE:EVTL) ChartMill report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago
U.S. Stock Market Update | Vertical Aerospace (EVTL.US) rises approximately 10% in pre-market trading as Valo finalizes seat and navigation suppliers Moomoo report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago
Vertical Aerospace (NYSE:EVTL) Stock Rating Upgraded by Barclays MarketBeat report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
A retired Marine colonel joins Vertical Aerospace’s board as two directors resign Stock Titan report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Vertical Aerospace rises after signing supplier pacts with ANH, Northrop (EVTL:NYSE) Seeking Alpha report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH The Globe and Mail • 1d ago
Vertical Aerospace Adds Former Airbus Executive Marc Fontaine to Board Amid Strategic Review The Globe and Mail report covering Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
EVTL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.42?
🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EVTL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST
🎯 Target: $0.46 (+7.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EVTL (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $0.43?
Welcome to the EVTL (Vertical Aerospace Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $0.35 (-18.6%)
Spot @ $0.43 Pump the brakes on EVTL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EVTL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Vertical Aerospace Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $0.50 (+16.3%)
Spot @ $0.43 EVTL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EVTL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.43 (52-wk range $0.34 - $7.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.