Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$285.93 +1.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $285.97

Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $32.37B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EXPE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EXPE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $285.93 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $32.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EXPE ranks #213 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EXPE compare to XPO and BKNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), EXPE carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 57.1%. By comparison, XPO (XPO Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 67.8x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $21.43B) and BKNG (Booking Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 77.1%, cap $113.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while BKNG leads on capital efficiency (77.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXPE?
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Per EXPE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001324424), Expedia Group Inc. generated $14.73B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $1.30B in net income, and $3.11B in free cash flow against $24.45B in total assets and $4.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $285.96 (+0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 21.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D
Cash (18)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$359 Bull$296 Base$231 Bear
📬 FREE EXPE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXPE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EXPE SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 21.1% FCF Margin ($3.11B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.5) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$273.44+10% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$300.76-7.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$278.08+2.8% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$285.93+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EXPE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, EXPE faces multiple-compression risk if 24.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($284.27) or 200D SMA ($258.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($296.22) toward Bear Floor ($231.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXPE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EXPE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
50.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.39>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE64% OF RANGE
L: $185$285.93H: $342
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: ARQD 18 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on EXPE

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (90)

57.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 9.61% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.39 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like EXPE
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EXPE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
EXPE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $275.5H $285.9L $275.5C $285.9VOL 1.20M
RES: $394.8SUP: $253.9SMA50: $284.3SMA200: $259.0
$351.5$312.2$272.8$233.5$194.1RES $394.8SUP $253.9$285.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EXPE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXPE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXPE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXPE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXPE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #213 of 1011 ⚔️ XPO vs EXPE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EXPE vs. XPO, BKNG, GATX, HAFN)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) ranks #213 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #66 by equity capitalization ($32.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while BKNG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 77.1% ROIC and — gross margin. BKNG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with EXPE at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EXPE ACTIVE
Expedia Group Inc.
C+ 66/100 24.9x — 57.1% +1.13% $32.37B Benchmark Subject
XPO
XPO Inc.
D 48/100 67.8x — 10.8% +3.59% $21.43B /xpo-vs-expe →
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc.
B 74/100 20.9x — 77.1% -1.53% $113.03B /bkng-vs-expe →
GATX
GATX Corporation
D+ 57/100 19.1x — 4.0% +0.37% $6.37B /gatx-vs-expe →
HAFN
Hafnia Limited
C 65/100 — — — -1.72% $5.92B /hafn-vs-expe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001324424

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) reported GAAP revenue of $14.73B (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.69B , and +14.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.30B, operating cash flow of $3.88B, and free cash flow of $3.11B (+33.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXPE closed FY2025 with $24.45B in total assets against $4.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.39, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $14.73B $1.30B $3.88B $3.11B $24.45B $4.47B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $13.69B $1.22B $3.08B $2.33B $22.39B $5.22B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.84B $688.0M $2.69B $2.11B $17.80B $4.17B

3. EXPE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EXPE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Expedia Group Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $285.93 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $32.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EXPE ranks #213 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EXPE compare to XPO and BKNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), EXPE carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 57.1%. By comparison, XPO (XPO Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 67.8x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $21.43B) and BKNG (Booking Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 77.1%, cap $113.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while BKNG leads on capital efficiency (77.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXPE?

Per EXPE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001324424), Expedia Group Inc. generated $14.73B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $1.30B in net income, and $3.11B in free cash flow against $24.45B in total assets and $4.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EXPE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EXPE last traded at $285.93 (+1.13% on volume of 1,776,406 shares), positioning the stock +0.58% above its 50-day simple moving average ($284.27) and +10.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($258.99). Across its 52-week range of $185.34 to $342.00, EXPE sits at the 64.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($262.48 to $309.38).

EXPE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell EXPE stock right now?

Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (57% return on capital), mixed timing at 25x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is EXPE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

EXPE's 12-month base price target is $296.22 (range $231.05 to $359.1), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EXPE — Expedia Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EXPE scores 66 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine (18 / 20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 57.1% and FCF yield is 9.61%. This is the strongest pillar and indicates the business converts capital into cash efficiently, which is a principal upside driver. The valuation tradeoff is that the market already prices a P/E (TTM) of 24.9 against these cash returns.
  • Whale 13F flow (12 / 20): The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, but no 13F detail is provided in the source data beyond this score. Moderate institutional support is implied, not quantified.
  • Insider conviction (17 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is high, but the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data, so the signal's direction and size cannot be independently verified here.
  • Macro regime fit (9 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 0.88 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta below 1 suggests somewhat lower market-linked volatility than the broader market, while the sub-par pillar score signals limited alignment with the current macro regime.
  • Forensic balance sheet (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.39, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 3.48. The Piotroski score is solid, but the high leverage ratio is the main drag and a key risk for a prospective investor to weigh.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock with strong cash economics and high insider signal, offset by leverage and weaker macro alignment. The "Watch for Breakout" language signals the rating is neutral today with potential for change, not a directional recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
282.73$32.37B24.923.212.411.360.62%0.88$185.34 - $34257.1%

Business

Expedia Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Transportation Services industry, per the company profile. The profile describes the company as operating in Transportation Services with a market capitalization of $32.4B. Revenue model, customer segments, and monetization details are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the items include a "3 Reasons to Sell EXPE" headline and an accompanying "Shares Dropping 5.3%" item, both flagged as RED/RISK WATCH in the feed's signals. A Wells Fargo price target cut tied to bookings concerns is flagged RED/RISK WATCH. Other items cover an undervalued-stock framing, a Trefis piece, and a U.S. Chamber of Commerce piece on Uber and Expedia expanding travel experience, all flagged YELLOW/MARKET WIRE. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the bookings trend behind the Wells Fargo price target cut, and what specific concerns were cited?
  • What are the terms, maturities, and interest costs of the $4469.0M debt given Debt/Equity of 3.48?
  • What drove the reported EPS to show N/A across all three periods despite positive net income?
  • What is the individual composition of the Form 4 insider and Congressional PTR flows behind the insider pillar score?
  • What was the FY 2023 cash balance, which is not reported in the source data?

EXPE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EXPE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EXPE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $285.93?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EXPE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EXPE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $305.35 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EXPE (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $282.73?

Welcome to the EXPE (Expedia Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Transportation Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (57.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $229.01 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $282.73

Pump the brakes on EXPE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EXPE, but look at what you are paying: 24.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Expedia Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $330.79 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $282.73

EXPE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EXPE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Transportation Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $282.73 (52-wk range $185.34 - $342.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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