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Exponent Inc. (EXPO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$86.58 +7.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $88.01

Exponent Inc. (EXPO) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 81/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $3.82B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EXPO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EXPO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Exponent Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPO) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $86.58 (+7.87% 1D, market cap $3.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EXPO ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EXPO compare to RHI and HURN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), EXPO carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.6%. By comparison, RHI (Robert Half Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $4.48B) and HURN (Huron Consulting Group Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 29.2x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $3.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, G leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while EXPO leads on capital efficiency (28.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXPO?
▼

Per EXPO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0000851520), Exponent Inc. generated $582.0M in revenue (+4.2% YoY), $106.0M in net income, and $122.3M in free cash flow against $777.5M in total assets and $174.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $88.02 (+1.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 21% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 81/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 8% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-
025507510081
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B+
Cash (18)Whales (17)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.3% Base Target
$113 Bull$96 Base$71 Bear
📬 FREE EXPO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXPO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (81/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EXPO SCORES 81/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 21% FCF Margin ($122.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (72.3) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$71.10+2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
76
Grade B+$73.15+5.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
78
Grade A-$77.11+12.3% Next Q
Current
81
Grade A-$86.58+8.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → A- (81)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EXPO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 81/100 (A-) score, EXPO faces multiple-compression risk if 35.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.71) or 200D SMA ($66.64) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($95.54) toward Bear Floor ($71.00).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXPO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EXPO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 81%NO 19%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your EXPO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $86.58: 115.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $71.00
$8,201
$-1,799 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $95.54
$11,035
+$1,035 (+10.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $112.74
$13,021
+$3,021 (+30.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$9974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadSTRONG BUY$10669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$8358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EXPO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
EXPO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +33.28%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $78.31H $86.58L $78.31C $86.58VOL 773.6K
RES: $85.79SUP: $65.92SMA50: $70.71SMA200: $66.64
$89.01$78.95$68.90$58.84$48.79RES $85.79SUP $65.92$86.582026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EXPO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EXPO Butterfly Map → + Track EXPO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXPO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXPO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXPO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXPO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #14 of 1009 ⚔️ RHI vs EXPO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EXPO vs. RHI, HURN, FCN, G)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Exponent Inc. (EXPO) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (81/100, grade A-) and #320 by equity capitalization ($3.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, G leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while EXPO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.6% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 81/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EXPO ACTIVE
Exponent Inc.
A- 81/100 35.1x — 28.6% +7.87% $3.82B Benchmark Subject
RHI
Robert Half Inc.
B 74/100 32.9x 37.2% 4.1% +2.38% $4.48B /rhi-vs-expo →
HURN
Huron Consulting Group Inc.
B+ 78/100 29.2x — 14.2% +0.29% $3.09B /hurn-vs-expo →
FCN
FTI Consulting Inc.
C+ 67/100 18.5x 32.1% 16.8% +4.88% $4.98B /fcn-vs-expo →
G
Genpact Limited
A- 81/100 11.8x 36.0% 20.7% +2.27% $6.63B /g-vs-expo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0000851520 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Exponent Inc. (EXPO) reported GAAP revenue of $582.0M (+4.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $558.5M , and +8.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $106.0M, operating cash flow of $131.7M, and free cash flow of $122.3M (-11.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXPO closed FY2025 with $777.5M in total assets against $174.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.62, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-02 $582.0M $106.0M $131.7M $122.3M $777.5M $174.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-03 $558.5M $109.0M $144.5M $137.6M $777.3M $160.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-12-29 $536.8M $100.3M $127.4M $103.2M $2.05B $479.2M

3. EXPO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EXPO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Exponent Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPO) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $86.58 (+7.87% 1D, market cap $3.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EXPO ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EXPO compare to RHI and HURN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), EXPO carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.6%. By comparison, RHI (Robert Half Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $4.48B) and HURN (Huron Consulting Group Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 29.2x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $3.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, G leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while EXPO leads on capital efficiency (28.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXPO?

Per EXPO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0000851520), Exponent Inc. generated $582.0M in revenue (+4.2% YoY), $106.0M in net income, and $122.3M in free cash flow against $777.5M in total assets and $174.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EXPO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EXPO last traded at $86.58 (+7.87% on volume of 739,495 shares), positioning the stock +22.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.71) and +29.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($66.64). Across its 52-week range of $51.91 to $83.18, EXPO sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($82.08 to $91.08).

Direct Sub-Reports: EXPO RQD Cockpit EXPO 12M Forecast EXPO Earnings & Move EXPO Dividends & DRIP EXPO Insiders & 13F EXPO Whale Options EXPO Profit Sankey EXPO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 81/100 (A-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EXPO — Exponent Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-02

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Exponent Inc. (EXPO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 81/100, corresponding to a A- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $86.58 (+7.87% 1D, market capitalization $3.82B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 28.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 20.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.29%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 0.94x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.62, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.42x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Exponent Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Professional Services industry,. The market capitalization is $3.7B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-02), Exponent Inc. (EXPO) reported $582.0M in annual revenue (up from $558.5M in FY2024, +4.2% YoY) and $106.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($536.8M revenue, $100.3M net income) through FY2025, EXPO scaled operating cash flow to $131.7M and free cash flow to $122.3M, backed by $777.5M in total assets against $174.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (A- • RQD 81/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $51.91 – $83.18 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 35.1x trailing P/E and 28.7x EV/EBITDA against 20.6% operating margins and a 0.94x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector and industry classification (Consumer Discretionary / Professional Services) is the only contextual link provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can EXPO sustain or expand its 20.6% operating margin and 28.6% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $582.0M and free cash flow of $122.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $174.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EXPO's 32.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.94x)?

EXPO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Exponent Inc. (EXPO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EXPO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EXPO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $86.58?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EXPO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EXPO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $105.14 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong returns on capital (ROIC 28.6%) and a robust balance sheet (Altman Z 8.62, Piotroski F 8/9) support the A- RQD rating.

Don't sleep on EXPO's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Strong returns on capital (ROIC 28.6%) and a robust balance sheet (Altman Z 8.62, Piotroski F 8/9) support the A- RQD rating.. Beta of 0.94 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (81/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EXPO's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $68.22 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $80.26

Demanding valuation, with P/E (TTM) of 35.1 and EV/EBITDA of 28.7 against a 3.29% FCF yield, leaves limited margin for error.

Fading this rally in EXPO at $80.26. Demanding valuation, with P/E (TTM) of 35.1 and EV/EBITDA of 28.7 against a 3.29% FCF yield, leaves limited margin for error.. With a beta of 0.94 and the stock sitting at $80.26 (52-wk range $51.91–$83.18), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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