How profitable is Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), FAC converted $178.0M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Industrials / FAC / financials

MASS (46) SLDP (25) NRGV (24) NNBR (29) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$4.15 -7.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.09

Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $478.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FAC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $4.15 (-7.16% 1D, market cap $478.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FAC ranks #390 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FAC compare to MASS and SLDP in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FAC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MASS (908 Devices Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $465.0M) and SLDP (Solid Power Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.2%, cap $447.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNBR leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while NNBR leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FAC?

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Per FAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002049662), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $178.0M in revenue (+12.5% YoY), -$73.8M in net income, and -$31.2M in free cash flow against $62.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.09 (-1.48%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FAC SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$5.00-5.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$4.74-7.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$4.38-5.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$4.15-9.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FAC currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.21) and Max Pain ($4.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How FAC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY24

Rev $158.3M

FY25

Rev $178.0M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$178.0M	52%	-35.7%	-$73.8M	-$31.2M	-45%
FY 2024	$158.3M	52%	-35.7%	-$54.3M	-$38.2M	-45%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FAC)

✓Walkthrough of FAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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FAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.06%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $4.48H $4.48L $4.15C $4.15VOL 236.8K

RES: $7.12SUP: $3.91SMA50: $5.21SMA200: $8.64

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FAC Butterfly Map → + Track FAC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FAC)

Industrials Rank #390 of 486 ⚔️ MASS vs FAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FAC vs. MASS, SLDP, NRGV, NNBR)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) ranks #390 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #298 by equity capitalization ($478.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNBR leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while NNBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MASS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with FAC at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FAC ACTIVE Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A)	E	32/100	—	—	-35.0%	-7.16%	$478.4M	Benchmark Subject
MASS 908 Devices Inc.	D	46/100	27.3x	50.6%	-35.0%	-9.24%	$465.0M	/mass-vs-fac →
SLDP Solid Power Inc. (Class A)	E	25/100	—	—	-20.2%	+0.51%	$447.2M	/sldp-vs-fac →
NRGV Energy Vault Holdings Inc.	E	24/100	—	23.6%	-35.0%	-4.53%	$561.9M	/nrgv-vs-fac →
NNBR NN Inc.	E	29/100	10.9x	—	-8.5%	-5.34%	$368.4M	/nnbr-vs-fac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002049662 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) reported GAAP revenue of $178.0M (+12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $158.3M ) , GAAP net income of -$73.8M, operating cash flow of -$30.2M, and free cash flow of -$31.2M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FAC closed FY2025 with $62.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$178.0M	-$73.8M	-$30.2M	-$31.2M	$62.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$158.3M	-$54.3M	-$37.2M	-$38.2M	$116.0M	—

3. FAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FAC compare to MASS and SLDP in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FAC?

Where is FAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FAC last traded at $4.15 (-7.16% on volume of 173,925 shares), positioning the stock -20.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.21) and -51.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.64). Across its 52-week range of $3.98 to $25.33, FAC sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.63 to $4.67).

Direct Sub-Reports: FAC RQD Cockpit FAC 12M Forecast FAC Earnings & Move FAC Dividends & DRIP FAC Insiders & 13F FAC Whale Options FAC Profit Sankey FAC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FAC — Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.15 (-7.16% 1D, market capitalization $478.4M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -6.51%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) is listed on NASDAQ under the ticker FAC.. The FY 2025 and FY 2024 filings report revenue of — in each period, which indicates no reported revenue in the source financials.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) reported $178.0M in annual revenue (up from $158.3M in FY2024, +12.5% YoY) and -$73.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($158.3M revenue, -$54.3M net income) through FY2025, FAC scaled operating cash flow to -$30.2M and free cash flow to -$31.2M, backed by $62.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -6.51% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.98 – $25.33 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals recorded. The graph therefore identifies no specific supplier or customer dependencies, no sector correlations beyond the Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components classification, and no 2nd-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the source data cannot establish how a disruption elsewhere in the sector would reach FAC.

Key Question #1: Can FAC sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $178.0M and free cash flow of -$31.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is FAC's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FAC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FAC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 1d ago

Why Did SMR, RR, FAC Stocks Plummet To 52-Week Lows?

Stocktwits report covering Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Factorial Energy (Nasdaq:FAC) - Stock Analysis

Simply Wall St report covering Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Top Factorial Energy (FAC) Competitors 2026

MarketBeat report covering Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Factorial Energy hit with $4.5M arbitration award to vendor

TradingView report covering Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH InsideEVs • 1d ago

'Most Companies Are Struggling': Executive Shares An Uncomfortable Truth About Solid-State EV Batteries

InsideEVs report covering Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Factorial Energy (NASDAQ:FAC) Shares Shorted: Short Interest Up 120.6% in September

MarketBeat report covering Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago

Most Active Stocks Today: U.S. Market

TradingKey report covering Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 7d ago

Factorial Sets Date for Third Quarter 2026 Results

BOSTON, Oct. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Factorial Energy Inc. (“Factorial”) (Nasdaq: FAC), a global leader in solid-state battery technology, today announced it will release financial results for the third quarter 2026

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FAC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FAC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.59 (+25.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $4.48, well below its $25.33 52-week high, and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 7/20 on a beta of 1.0 that is not

Don't sleep on FAC's setup in Industrials. The stock trades at $4.48, well below its $25.33 52-week high, and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 7/20 on a beta of 1.0 that is not extreme.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (32/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.47 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.35 (-25.1%)

Spot @ $4.47

Both reported periods show zero revenue, ROIC of -35%, negative free cash flow, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, with the Whale and Insi

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short FAC above $4.47. Both reported periods show zero revenue, ROIC of -35%, negative free cash flow, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, with the Whale and Insider pillars each scoring 3/20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (-6.51%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $25.33.