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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FDXF / dividends
LUV (50) RYAAY (54) LTM (49) UAL (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$131.85 +4.61% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $132.69

FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $18.85B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FDXF Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FDXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (NYSE: FDXF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $131.85 (+4.61% 1D, market cap $18.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDXF ranks #517 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FDXF compare to LUV and RYAAY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDXF carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.0x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $20.77B) and RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $28.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while UAL leads on capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDXF?
β–Ό

Per FDXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0002082247), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. generated $8.79B in revenue (-1.1% YoY), $655.0M in net income, and -$228.8M in free cash flow against $10.55B in total assets and $2.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $132.69 (+0.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$210 Bull$128 Base$100 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FDXF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FDXF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FDXF SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.19 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±9.6% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$108.69-0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$107.95+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$108.33+21.7% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$131.85-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FDXF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While FDXF currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($117.79) and Max Pain ($138.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $210.00.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FDXFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFDXF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.89% Total Yield
0.29% Cash ($0.38/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
23.6% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $152/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FDXF)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FDXF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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FDXF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.68%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $109.7H $131.9L $109.7C $131.9VOL 3.60M
RES: $100.7SUP: $92.41SMA50: $117.8SMA200: $137.1
$206.8$178.8$150.8$122.8$94.79RES $100.7SUP $92.41$131.92026-05-272026-07-082026-08-172026-09-252026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FDXF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ FDXF Butterfly Map β†’ + Track FDXF β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
18.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDXF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FDXF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FDXF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #517 of 1009 βš”οΈ LUV vs FDXF Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FDXF vs. LUV, RYAAY, LTM, UAL)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) ranks #517 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #101 by equity capitalization ($18.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while UAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. UAL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with FDXF at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FDXF ACTIVE
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.
D 51/100 25.0x β€” 8.3% +4.61% $18.85B Benchmark Subject
LUV
Southwest Airlines Company
D 50/100 48.5x β€” 3.2% +3.61% $20.77B /luv-vs-fdxf β†’
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +2.92% $28.27B /ryaay-vs-fdxf β†’
LTM
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American
D 49/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +5.45% $12.17B /ltm-vs-fdxf β†’
UAL
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 10.2x β€” 14.0% +4.80% $33.87B /ual-vs-fdxf β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-05-31 β€’ CIK 0002082247 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) reported GAAP revenue of $8.79B (-1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.89B , and -6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $655.0M, operating cash flow of $167.0M, and free cash flow of -$228.8M (-120.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDXF closed FY2025 with $10.55B in total assets against $2.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.19, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $8.79B $655.0M $167.0M -$228.8M $10.55B $2.47B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-31 $8.89B $1.35B $1.53B $1.13B $10.67B $2.50B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-31 $9.42B $1.57B $1.54B $1.12B $11.31B $2.65B

3. FDXF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FDXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (NYSE: FDXF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $131.85 (+4.61% 1D, market cap $18.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDXF ranks #517 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FDXF compare to LUV and RYAAY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDXF carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.0x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $20.77B) and RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $28.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while UAL leads on capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDXF?

Per FDXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0002082247), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. generated $8.79B in revenue (-1.1% YoY), $655.0M in net income, and -$228.8M in free cash flow against $10.55B in total assets and $2.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FDXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FDXF last traded at $131.85 (+4.61% on volume of 2,473,109 shares), positioning the stock +11.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($117.79) and -3.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($137.10). Across its 52-week range of $103.48 to $200.00, FDXF sits at the 29.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.6% ($119.19 to $144.51).

Direct Sub-Reports: FDXF RQD Cockpit FDXF 12M Forecast FDXF Earnings & Move FDXF Dividends & DRIP FDXF Insiders & 13F FDXF Whale Options FDXF Profit Sankey FDXF News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FDXF β€” FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-05-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $131.85 (+4.61% 1D, market capitalization $18.85B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.3%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 6.1%, and free cash flow yield of -1.39%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.92x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.19, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Air Freight/Delivery Services industry. β€” for products, customer base, or specific revenue model descriptions beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-31), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) reported $8.79B in annual revenue (up from $8.89B in FY2024, -1.1% YoY) and $655.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.42B revenue, $1.57B net income) through FY2025, FDXF scaled operating cash flow to $167.0M and free cash flow to -$228.8M, backed by $10.55B in total assets against $2.47B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 51/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.39% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $103.48 – $200.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 25.0x trailing P/E and 19.5x EV/EBITDA against 6.1% operating margins and a 0.92x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the beta of 0.92, or second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can FDXF sustain or expand its 6.1% operating margin and 8.3% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.79B and free cash flow of -$228.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.47B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FDXF's 23.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.92x)?

FDXF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FDXF Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FDXF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $131.85?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FDXF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FDXF:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $153.77 (+22.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 4.19, Piotroski F 5/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39, indicating comparatively sound solvency.

Picked up a starter position in FDXF in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $126.04. Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 4.19, Piotroski F 5/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39, indicating comparatively sound solvency.. Trading inside a $103.48–$200.00 52-week range with -1.39% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Air Freight/Delivery Services multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $126.04 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $104.61 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $126.04

Negative FCF yield of -1.39% and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$228.8M leave a 25 trailing P/E unsupported by reported cash generation.

Negative FCF yield of -1.39% and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$228.8M leave a 25 trailing P/E unsupported by reported cash generation.. Look at the math on FDXF: paying 25.0x trailing P/E for 8.3% ROIC and 6.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Air Freight/Delivery Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $110.92 before getting long.

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