Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FDXF / options

LUV (50) RYAAY (54) LTM (49) UAL (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$126.04 +14.91% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $129.18

FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $18.85B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FDXF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FDXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (NYSE: FDXF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $126.04 (+14.91% 1D, market cap $18.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDXF ranks #519 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FDXF compare to LUV and RYAAY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDXF carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $20.77B) and RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $28.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while UAL leads on capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDXF?

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Per FDXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0002082247), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. generated $8.79B in revenue (-1.1% YoY), $655.0M in net income, and -$228.8M in free cash flow against $10.55B in total assets and $2.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $129.18 (+2.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FDXF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FDXF SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.19 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$108.69-0.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$107.95+0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$108.33+16.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$126.04-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FDXF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FDXF currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($117.79) and Max Pain ($132.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $210.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FDXF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FDXF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±9.6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FDXF)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FDXF.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FDXF)

✓Walkthrough of FDXF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FDXF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.53%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $109.7H $126.0L $109.7C $126.0VOL 3.60M

RES: $126.7SUP: $92.41SMA50: $117.8SMA200: $137.1

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FDXF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FDXF Butterfly Map → + Track FDXF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

18.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDXF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FDXF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FDXF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #519 of 1011 ⚔️ LUV vs FDXF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FDXF vs. LUV, RYAAY, LTM, UAL)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) ranks #519 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #103 by equity capitalization ($18.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while UAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.0% ROIC and — gross margin. UAL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with FDXF at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FDXF ACTIVE FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.	D	51/100	25.0x	—	8.3%	+14.91%	$18.85B	Benchmark Subject
LUV Southwest Airlines Company	D	50/100	48.5x	—	3.2%	-2.86%	$20.77B	/luv-vs-fdxf →
RYAAY Ryanair Holdings plc	D+	54/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.62%	$28.27B	/ryaay-vs-fdxf →
LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American	D	49/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-3.59%	$12.17B	/ltm-vs-fdxf →
UAL United Airlines Holdings Inc.	D+	56/100	10.2x	—	14.0%	-0.92%	$33.87B	/ual-vs-fdxf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0002082247

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) reported GAAP revenue of $8.79B (-1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.89B , and -6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $655.0M, operating cash flow of $167.0M, and free cash flow of -$228.8M (-120.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDXF closed FY2025 with $10.55B in total assets against $2.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.19, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-05-31	$8.79B	$655.0M	$167.0M	-$228.8M	$10.55B	$2.47B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-05-31	$8.89B	$1.35B	$1.53B	$1.13B	$10.67B	$2.50B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-05-31	$9.42B	$1.57B	$1.54B	$1.12B	$11.31B	$2.65B

3. FDXF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FDXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FDXF compare to LUV and RYAAY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDXF?

Where is FDXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FDXF last traded at $126.04 (+14.91% on volume of 3,597,983 shares), positioning the stock +7.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($117.79) and -8.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($137.10). Across its 52-week range of $103.48 to $200.00, FDXF sits at the 23.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($113.94 to $138.14).

FDXF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FDXF's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FDXF.

Direct Sub-Reports: FDXF RQD Cockpit FDXF 12M Forecast FDXF Earnings & Move FDXF Dividends & DRIP FDXF Insiders & 13F FDXF Whale Options FDXF Profit Sankey FDXF News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FDXF — FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:22Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FDXF scores 45 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC 8.3%; FCF yield -1.39%), Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 0.92; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 4.19; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and the flow-based signals, each scoring 8 or lower on 20. The negative free cash flow yield means the company's reported cash generation does not currently cover its valuation, which is the central tradeoff: per the market data, trailing P/E is 25 and EV/EBITDA is 19.5, which the rating's cash-engine pillar does not support. The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet at 14/20, which points to a comparatively sound balance sheet and reduces solvency concerns, though it does not offset weak cash generation or flow signals. Upside would depend on cash flow recovery; the data does not establish a catalyst timeline for that recovery.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$109.69	$16.4B	25	23.3	19.5	4.38	0.29%	0.92	$103.48 - $200	8.3%

Business

FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Air Freight/Delivery Services industry, per the company profile. Not available in source data for products, customer base, or specific revenue model descriptions beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$8795.0M	$540.0M	$655.0M	N/A	$-228.8M	N/A	$2469.6M
FY 2024	$8892.0M	$1404.0M	$1346.0M	N/A	$1130.9M	N/A	$2496.9M
FY 2023	$9424.0M	$1753.0M	$1574.0M	N/A	$1116.9M	N/A	$2646.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $9424.0M (FY 2023) to $8795.0M (FY 2025), and operating income fell from $1753.0M to $540.0M over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 6.1%, net margin is 7.4%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 8.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z-Score is 4.19 and Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.39. FY 2025 free cash flow was negative at $-228.8M. Cash balances are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, three MarketBeat items reference FDXF: one headline reports a JPMorgan Chase & Co. pessimistic forecast for the stock price, a second reports the stock setting a new 1-year low, and a third reports a JPMorgan Chase & Co. positive forecast. All three are flagged YELLOW under the market wire impact label. Per the market data, the 52-week range runs from $103.48 to $200, and the price of $109.69 sits near the low end of that range. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the beta of 0.92, or second-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

What drove the free cash flow swing from $1130.9M in FY 2024 to $-228.8M in FY 2025, and is it expected to reverse?
What is the cash balance, since the cash field is N/A across all reported periods?
Why do the two JPMorgan Chase & Co. forecasts in the news wire point in opposite directions?
What are the company's products, customers, and revenue drivers beyond its sector classification?
What is the EPS trend, since EPS is N/A for all reported periods while TTM EPS is 4.38?

FDXF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FDXF Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 16h ago

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Issues Pessimistic Forecast for FedEx Freight (NYSE:FDXF) Stock Price

MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 19h ago

FedEx Freight (NYSE:FDXF) Sets New 1-Year Low - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 22h ago

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Issues Positive Forecast for FedEx Freight (NYSE:FDXF) Stock Price

MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 15h ago

Top Trucking LTLs See Q3 Revenue Surge on Fuel, Tighter Capacity, Higher Rates

Sales soared at XPO, Saia, Old Dominion and FedEx Freight, with XPO crediting spillover from truckload carriers and Saia posting record tonnage growth.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 23h ago

Stock Market Today: Intel’s Worst Day in Four Decades Drags Chips and the Nasdaq to a Rough October Finish

Intel lost nearly 29% and dragged chip stocks lower as the Nasdaq had its worst day since June. Oil rose about 15% in October, Treasury yields fell, and Regeneron, FedEx Freight and the oil majors went the other way.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 3d ago

FedEx Freight Holding Company (FDXF) Jumps On Earnings Reset As Valuation Questions Linger

FedEx Freight Holding Company (FDXF) just posted third quarter results that combined higher sales with sharply lower earnings, giving investors fresh numbers to reassess the recently spun off freight operator. The fresh

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 3d ago

Intel, Amazon, Nvidia, ExxonMobil, Sandisk, FedEx Freight, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market

Intel stock plummets after the chip maker issues underwhelming earnings guidance.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 3d ago

S&P 500 Top Movers: Gainers and Losers in Today's US Session

S&P 500 top percentage movers in today's US session, led by FDXF gainer and INTC decliner, with gainers and losers ranked by latest prices.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FDXF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $126.04?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FDXF 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $96.53 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FDXF (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $109.69?

Welcome to the FDXF (FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $87.75 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $109.69

Pump the brakes on FDXF — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FDXF, but look at what you are paying: 25.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $129.43 (+18.0%)

Spot @ $109.69

FDXF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FDXF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $109.69 (52-wk range $103.48 - $200.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.