TradingView report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why FLD Stock surged +2.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.55 (+2.88% 1D, market cap $29.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FLD ranks #985 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FLD compare to GRAN and RAND in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), FLD carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRAN (Grande Group Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $29.6M) and RAND (Rand Capital Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $28.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLD?
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Per FLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001889123), Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $64.5M in revenue (+688.2% YoY), -$69.6M in net income, and -$16.1M in free cash flow against $153.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLD Turnaround Squeeze
While FLD currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.53) and Max Pain ($0.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.78.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why FLD Stock surged +2.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) surged +2.88% to $0.55, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($0.35 – $3.6). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($0.35 – $3.6) with RSI-14 at 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.55 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CoinMarketCap report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com India report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seoul Economic Daily report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
West Bancorp (WTBA) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.00% and +1.45%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLD)
- ✓Walkthrough of FLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
FLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +688.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLD today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLD)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FLD vs. GRAN, RAND, AMTD, JFU)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) ranks #985 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #1039 by equity capitalization ($29.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AMTD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AMTD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with FLD at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLD
ACTIVE
Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.88% | $29.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| GRAN Grande Group Limited (Class A) | E | 31/100 | — | — | — | +0.84% | $29.6M | /gran-vs-fld → |
| RAND Rand Capital Corporation | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -15.4% | +0.21% | $28.2M | /rand-vs-fld → |
| AMTD AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | 4.9% | -2.65% | $31.3M | /amtd-vs-fld → |
| JFU 9F Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | 0.3% | +4.74% | $27.0M | /jfu-vs-fld → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001889123 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) reported GAAP revenue of $64.5M (+688.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.2M , and +517.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$69.6M, operating cash flow of -$16.1M, and free cash flow of -$16.1M (-386.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLD closed FY2025 with $153.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $64.5M | -$69.6M | -$16.1M | -$16.1M | $153.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $8.2M | -$65.1M | -$3.3M | -$3.3M | $125.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $10.4M | $4.4M | -$5.1M | -$5.1M | — | — |
3. FLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.55 (+2.88% 1D, market cap $29.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FLD ranks #985 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FLD compare to GRAN and RAND in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), FLD carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRAN (Grande Group Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $29.6M) and RAND (Rand Capital Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $28.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLD?
Per FLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001889123), Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $64.5M in revenue (+688.2% YoY), -$69.6M in net income, and -$16.1M in free cash flow against $153.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FLD last traded at $0.55 (+2.88% on volume of 113,745 shares), positioning the stock +3.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.53) and -41.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.94). Across its 52-week range of $0.35 to $3.60, FLD sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.62).
FLD — Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.55 (+2.88% 1D, market capitalization $29.3M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. (Class A) (FLD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in Finance: Consumer Services. Per the recent news wire, the company has introduced a bitcoin bonus product aimed at hourly workers. — for detailed revenue sources, customer base composition, or pricing model beyond this headline reference.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) reported $64.5M in annual revenue (up from $8.2M in FY2024, +688.2% YoY) and -$69.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($10.4M revenue, $4.4M net income) through FY2025, FLD scaled operating cash flow to -$16.1M and free cash flow to -$16.1M, backed by $153.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 35/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.35 – $3.60 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Sector correlations, bottleneck mapping, and second-order ripple effects cannot be established from the source data provided.
- Key Question #1: Can FLD sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $64.5M and free cash flow of -$16.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is FLD's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
FLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CoinMarketCap report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com India report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seoul Economic Daily report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.55?
Price sits near the low end of its $0.35 - $3.7 52-week range with beta at 1.0, leaving room for a rebound if cash generation improves.
Price sits near the low end of its $0.35 - $3.7 52-week range with beta at 1.0, leaving room for a rebound if cash generation improves.. When you look under the hood at FLD, Fundamental Cash Engine is 3/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (9/20) has been quietly accumulating below $3.60. My 12M target is $0.61.
@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 35/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.53 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.49.
ROIC of -35%, a 0% FCF yield, and an RQD score of 36 point to a weak cash engine and a balance sheet that the rating labels vulnerable.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on FLD: ROIC of -35%, a 0% FCF yield, and an RQD score of 36 point to a weak cash engine and a balance sheet that the rating labels vulnerable.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Finance: Consumer Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.