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Stock Ratings / Industrials / FLYE / options
DUKR (35) BAER (47) UAVS (25) MOB (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.74 +0.58% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.74

Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 20/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $2.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLYE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Fly-E Group Inc. (NASDAQ: FLYE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $1.74 (+0.58% 1D, market cap $2.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FLYE ranks #475 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLYE compare to DUKR and BAER in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), FLYE carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.4%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, DUKR (DUKE Robotics Corp.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 11.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.2M) and BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC β€”, cap $24.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while FLYE leads on capital efficiency (-24.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYE?
β–Ό

Per FLYE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001975940), Fly-E Group Inc. generated $19.1M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), -$9.3M in net income, and -$13.9M in free cash flow against $34.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.74 (-0.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (20/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510020
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (3)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.2% Base Target
$23 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FLYE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (20/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FLYE SCORES 20/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (40% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 3% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 24.4% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
28
Grade E$3.55-40% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
25
Grade E$2.13-15% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$1.81-3.9% Next Q
Current
20
Grade E$1.74-11.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (28) β†’ E (20)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLYE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While FLYE currently carries a cautious 20/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.87) and Max Pain ($1.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.89.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFLYE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 20%NO 80%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FLYE)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FLYE.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLYE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FLYE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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FLYE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.56%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.83H $1.83L $1.73C $1.74VOL 22.9K
RES: $6.86SUP: $1.13SMA50: $1.87SMA200: $2.23
$20.27$15.10$9.94$4.78$-0.38RES $6.86SUP $1.13$1.742026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ FLYE Butterfly Map β†’ + Track FLYE β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYE)

Industrials Rank #475 of 486 βš”οΈ DUKR vs FLYE Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FLYE vs. DUKR, BAER, UAVS, MOB)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) ranks #475 by composite RQD confidence (20/100, grade E) and #472 by equity capitalization ($2.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAER leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while FLYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -24.2% ROIC and 24.4% gross margin. BAER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with FLYE at 20/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLYE ACTIVE
Fly-E Group Inc.
E 20/100 β€” 24.4% -24.2% +0.58% $2.8M Benchmark Subject
DUKR
DUKE Robotics Corp.
D- 35/100 11.7x β€” -35.0% -6.51% $13.2M /dukr-vs-flye β†’
BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 5.8x 42.1% β€” -10.26% $24.8M /baer-vs-flye β†’
UAVS
AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.
E 25/100 β€” 51.8% -32.4% -14.48% $29.1M /uavs-vs-flye β†’
MOB
Mobilicom Limited
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -5.81% $42.1M /mob-vs-flye β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0001975940 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) reported GAAP revenue of $19.1M (-25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.4M , and -40.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.3M, operating cash flow of -$13.8M, and free cash flow of -$13.9M (-19.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYE closed FY2025 with $34.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.27, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $19.1M -$9.3M -$13.8M -$13.9M $34.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $25.4M -$5.3M -$10.1M -$11.7M $37.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $32.2M $1.9M $4.3M $4.3M β€” β€”

3. FLYE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Fly-E Group Inc. (NASDAQ: FLYE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $1.74 (+0.58% 1D, market cap $2.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FLYE ranks #475 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYE compare to DUKR and BAER in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), FLYE carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.4%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, DUKR (DUKE Robotics Corp.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 11.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.2M) and BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC β€”, cap $24.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while FLYE leads on capital efficiency (-24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYE?

Per FLYE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001975940), Fly-E Group Inc. generated $19.1M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), -$9.3M in net income, and -$13.9M in free cash flow against $34.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYE last traded at $1.74 (+0.58% on volume of 25,133 shares), positioning the stock -6.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.87) and -21.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.23). Across its 52-week range of $1.22 to $21.80, FLYE sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.52 to $1.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: FLYE RQD Cockpit FLYE 12M Forecast FLYE Earnings & Move FLYE Dividends & DRIP FLYE Insiders & 13F FLYE Whale Options FLYE Profit Sankey FLYE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 20/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FLYE β€” Fly-E Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 20/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.74 (+0.58% 1D, market capitalization $2.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.2%, gross margin of 24.4%, operating margin of -33.8%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.27, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Industrials sector and Aerospace industry. β€” for product lines, customer base, or revenue model detail. The source data reports revenue for FY 2025, FY 2024, and FY 2023 but does not describe the underlying business activities.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) reported $19.1M in annual revenue (up from $25.4M in FY2024, -25.0% YoY) and -$9.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($32.2M revenue, $1.9M net income) through FY2025, FLYE scaled operating cash flow to -$13.8M and free cash flow to -$13.9M, backed by $34.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 20/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.22 – $21.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -33.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. Investors should note that the absence of mapped dependencies means the source data cannot identify second-order bottlenecks; any ripple analysis would require information outside this dossier.

  • Key Question #1: Can FLYE sustain or expand its -33.8% operating margin and -24.2% ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $19.1M and free cash flow of -$13.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FLYE's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FLYE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FLYE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FLYE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.74?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FLYE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FLYE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.28 (+31.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Whale 13F Flow scores 6/20, the rating's highest pillar, indicating some institutional accumulation and options positioning.

Long FLYE at $1.73 targeting $2.28. Whale 13F Flow scores 6/20, the rating's highest pillar, indicating some institutional accumulation and options positioning.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.22 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” FLYE's 2/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.47 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $1.73

Altman Z 0.27 and Piotroski F 1/9 place FLYE in forensic distress, with ROIC at -24.2% and FCF yield at 0%.

Fading this rally in FLYE at $1.73. Altman Z 0.27 and Piotroski F 1/9 place FLYE in forensic distress, with ROIC at -24.2% and FCF yield at 0%.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.73 (52-wk range $1.22–$21.80), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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