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Why FLYW Stock slipped -1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$19.49 -1.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.42

Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.40B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FLYW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Flywire Corporation Voting (NASDAQ: FLYW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $19.49 (-1.02% 1D, market cap $2.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYW ranks #245 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLYW compare to PAYO and TIC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), FLYW carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.42B) and TIC (TIC Solutions Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.4%, cap $2.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNET leads on earnings multiple (18.9x) while TNET leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYW?
▼

Per FLYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580560), Flywire Corporation Voting generated $623.0M in revenue (+26.6% YoY), $13.5M in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.42 (-0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 15.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (17)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$24 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE FLYW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FLYW SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.91 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.3) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$18.26+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$18.64+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$18.84+3.5% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$19.49+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FLYW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, FLYW faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.30) or 200D SMA ($15.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.02) toward Bear Floor ($15.62).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FLYW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FLYW Stock slipped -1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) slipped -1.02% to $19.49, trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($10.55 – $19.79). Solid steady margins (2% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($10.55 – $19.79) with RSI-14 at 61.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $19.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $98.8M annual free cash flow.
Live FLYW Headlines & Catalysts
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A market sell-off spread beyond tech as oil prices surged and AI concerns grew. MarketBeat analysts recap the week's top stories on earnings, from Halliburton to Meta Platforms and General Motors.

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2 cash-heavy stocks to research further and 1 we turn down

Companies with more cash than debt can be financially resilient, but that doesn’t mean they’re all strong investments. Some lack leverage because they struggle to grow or generate consistent profits, making them unattrac

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FLYW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FLYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +37.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $19.29H $19.69L $19.29C $19.49VOL 1.81M
RES: $19.79SUP: $17.46SMA50: $18.30SMA200: $15.58
$20.29$18.21$16.13$14.05$11.96RES $19.79SUP $17.46$19.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +26.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #245 of 1009 ⚔️ PAYO vs FLYW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLYW vs. PAYO, TIC, TNET, CBZ)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) ranks #245 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #392 by equity capitalization ($2.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNET leads on earnings valuation at 18.9x trailing P/E, while TNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CBZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with FLYW at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLYW ACTIVE
Flywire Corporation Voting
C 64/100 — — 1.8% -1.02% $2.40B Benchmark Subject
PAYO
Payoneer Global Inc.
C+ 67/100 33.0x — 34.1% +0.14% $2.42B /payo-vs-flyw →
TIC
TIC Solutions Inc.
D 47/100 — 29.4% -0.4% +2.19% $2.19B /tic-vs-flyw →
TNET
TriNet Group Inc.
C+ 66/100 18.9x — 85.0% +5.09% $2.94B /tnet-vs-flyw →
CBZ
CBIZ Inc.
B- 71/100 25.8x 12.9% 5.9% +0.06% $2.98B /cbz-vs-flyw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001580560 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) reported GAAP revenue of $623.0M (+26.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $492.1M , and +54.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.5M, operating cash flow of $100.2M, and free cash flow of $98.8M (+1.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYW closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.91, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $623.0M $13.5M $100.2M $98.8M $1.25B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $492.1M $2.9M $98.7M $97.7M $1.12B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $403.1M -$8.6M $76.3M $76.3M — —

3. FLYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Flywire Corporation Voting (NASDAQ: FLYW) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $19.49 (-1.02% 1D, market cap $2.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYW ranks #245 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYW compare to PAYO and TIC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), FLYW carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 33.0x, ROIC 34.1%, cap $2.42B) and TIC (TIC Solutions Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.4%, cap $2.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNET leads on earnings multiple (18.9x) while TNET leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYW?

Per FLYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580560), Flywire Corporation Voting generated $623.0M in revenue (+26.6% YoY), $13.5M in net income, and $98.8M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYW last traded at $19.49 (-1.02% on volume of 2,399,862 shares), positioning the stock +6.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.30) and +25.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.58). Across its 52-week range of $10.55 to $19.79, FLYW sits at the 96.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($18.15 to $20.83).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FLYW — Flywire Corporation Voting: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $19.49 (-1.02% 1D, market capitalization $2.40B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 1.8%, and free cash flow yield of 4.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.91, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry. — regarding specific products, customer base, or revenue model; the profile does not describe what the company sells, to whom, or how it earns revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) reported $623.0M in annual revenue (up from $492.1M in FY2024, +26.6% YoY) and $13.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($403.1M revenue, -$8.6M net income) through FY2025, FLYW scaled operating cash flow to $100.2M and free cash flow to $98.8M, backed by $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.55 – $19.79 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against 1.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Business Services (Consumer Discretionary), FLYW carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can FLYW sustain or expand its 1.8% operating margin and 1.8% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $623.0M and free cash flow of $98.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FLYW's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FLYW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Flywire Corporation Voting (FLYW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FLYW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FLYW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FLYW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FLYW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.61 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.91, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a 13% price-target upside provide a supportive ba

Don't sleep on FLYW's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.91, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a 13% price-target upside provide a supportive base for the shares.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (64/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 64/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $19.69 and keeping dry powder in case we test $18.31.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.56 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $19.69

ROIC of 1.8% and a Q2 2026 wider-than-expected loss with dilution risk weigh on the investment case.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short FLYW above $19.69. ROIC of 1.8% and a Q2 2026 wider-than-expected loss with dilution risk weigh on the investment case.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (4.21%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $19.79.

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