Stock Ratings / Financials / FPH / earnings

HPP (45) AGNT (40) CRESY (44) SKYH (33) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.4% Move

$4.18 -0.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.17

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $621.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FPH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (NYSE: FPH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $4.18 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $621.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FPH ranks #712 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FPH compare to HPP and AGNT in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FPH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, HPP (Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.9%, cap $601.8M) and AGNT (AGNT Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.3%, cap $665.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYH leads on earnings multiple (43.2x) while FPH leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPH?

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Per FPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001574197), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) generated $108.2M in revenue (-54.2% YoY), $183.5M in net income, and $105.0M in free cash flow against $3.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.17 (-0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 97.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FPH SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$4.40-3.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.25-2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.16+0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.18-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FPH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FPH currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.69) and Max Pain ($4.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.4% Swing Band

±$0.31 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FPH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -54.2%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$108.2M	$183.5M	$105.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$236.0M	$177.6M	$115.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$209.9M	$113.7M	$154.1M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FPH)

✓Walkthrough of FPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.99%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $4.09H $4.20L $4.09C $4.18VOL 299.7K

RES: $4.67SUP: $3.97SMA50: $4.69SMA200: $5.04

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FPH Butterfly Map → + Track FPH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -54.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FPH)

Financials Rank #712 of 1096 ⚔️ HPP vs FPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FPH vs. HPP, AGNT, CRESY, SKYH)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) ranks #712 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #659 by equity capitalization ($621.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYH leads on earnings valuation at 43.2x trailing P/E, while FPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. FPH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FPH ACTIVE Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A)	D	48/100	—	—	7.7%	-0.48%	$621.7M	Benchmark Subject
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-19.9%	-4.96%	$601.8M	/hpp-vs-fph →
AGNT AGNT Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	-14.3%	-2.51%	$665.1M	/agnt-vs-fph →
CRESY Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-1.55%	$776.0M	/cresy-vs-fph →
SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corporation (Class A)	E	33/100	43.2x	—	-12.9%	-0.70%	$813.0M	/skyh-vs-fph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001574197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) reported GAAP revenue of $108.2M (-54.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $236.0M , and -48.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.5M, operating cash flow of $105.2M, and free cash flow of $105.0M (-8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FPH closed FY2025 with $3.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$108.2M	$183.5M	$105.2M	$105.0M	$3.25B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$236.0M	$177.6M	$116.0M	$115.2M	$3.08B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$209.9M	$113.7M	$154.1M	$154.1M	—	—

3. FPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FPH compare to HPP and AGNT in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPH?

Where is FPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FPH last traded at $4.18 (-0.48% on volume of 146,585 shares), positioning the stock -10.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.69) and -17.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.04). Across its 52-week range of $4.02 to $6.47, FPH sits at the 6.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($3.87 to $4.49).

FPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FPH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FPH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.4% event move for FPH, spanning a range between $3.87 and $4.49.

Direct Sub-Reports: FPH RQD Cockpit FPH 12M Forecast FPH Earnings & Move FPH Dividends & DRIP FPH Insiders & 13F FPH Whale Options FPH Profit Sankey FPH News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FPH — Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FPH scores 48 out of 100, a D grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9 / 20 (ROIC 7.7%; FCF yield 16.89%), Whale 13F Flow at 3 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10 / 20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is institutional flow, which scores 3 of 20, indicating little supportive positioning from large holders in the source data. The cash-engine pillar also scores low despite a high FCF yield, suggesting the yield is not translating into a strong composite signal. For a prospective investor, the composite reads as a cautionary signal: the cash-flow yield is a potential upside driver if sustained, but weak institutional flow and a sub-median fundamental score argue against treating the yield as a clear value entry point today.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$108.2M	$0.0M	$183.5M	N/A	$105.0M	$425.5M	N/A
FY 2024	$236.0M	$0.0M	$177.6M	N/A	$115.2M	$430.9M	N/A
FY 2023	$209.9M	$0.0M	$113.7M	N/A	$154.1M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income exceeds reported revenue in FY 2025 and FY 2024, while operating income is listed as $0.0M in every period, so the profitability picture cannot be reconciled from the source data alone. Per the market data, the gross margin and operating margin are both 0%, while the net margin is 68%, and ROIC is 7.7%. The Roarable RQD rating references an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Reported cash declined from $430.9M to $425.5M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and debt is not available in source data for any period.

Open Questions

What does Five Point Holdings sell, to whom, and through which revenue streams, given that the source data gives only a sector and industry label?
Why is reported net income higher than revenue in FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what drives that gap given operating income is reported as $0.0M?
What is the company's debt position in each period, since debt is listed as N/A throughout the financials?
What are the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, which are absent from the source data and would be needed to judge valuation?
What catalysts, filings, or analyst coverage exist that could explain the weak institutional flow score?

FPH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FPH Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 3d ago

Howard Hughes' MPC Business Grows: Can Land Sales Stay Strong?

HHH's MPC earnings surge 32% in Q2 2026, fueled by robust residential land sales and rising homebuyer demand. Can the momentum continue?

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 8d ago

Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 10d ago

Five Point Holdings (FPH) Stock Price Drops As Q3 Results Deepen Loss Concerns

Five Point Holdings just reported Q3 2026, and the headline is not flattering. The real estate developer swung to a small loss on US$14.6m of revenue, and the stock quickly dropped 6.7% to US$4.20. That looks like an emo

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 10d ago

Five Point Holdings, LLC Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby summary of Five Point Holdings, LLC's Q3 2026 earnings call

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 10d ago

Deckers Outdoor Posts Mixed Q2 Results, Joins BayCom, Five Point Holdings And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Friday’s Pre-Market Session

U.S. stock futures fell, led by Deckers down 9% after mixed results and reduced FY27 guidance. BayCom, ROLR, Trulieve and others also slid premarket.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 11d ago

Five Point Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Five Point (NYSE:FPH) reported a third-quarter consolidated net loss of $4.4 million as it closed no land sales at its active communities and faced softer housing demand tied to higher mortgage rates and weaker consumer

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 11d ago

Five Point Holdings, LLC Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 11d ago

Five Point: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

(AP) — Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) on Thursday reported a loss of $2.The Irvine, California-based company said it had a loss of 4 cents per share.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FPH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.18?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FPH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.54 (+8.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FPH (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $4.20?

Welcome to the FPH (Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Real Estate. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.28 (-21.9%)

Spot @ $4.20

Pump the brakes on FPH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FPH, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.04 (+20.0%)

Spot @ $4.20

FPH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FPH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.20 (52-wk range $4.02 - $6.47), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.