Why FPH Stock slipped -0.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.18 -0.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.17

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $621.7M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (NYSE: FPH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $4.18 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $621.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FPH ranks #712 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FPH compare to HPP and AGNT in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FPH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, HPP (Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.9%, cap $601.8M) and AGNT (AGNT Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.3%, cap $665.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYH leads on earnings multiple (43.2x) while FPH leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPH?
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Per FPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001574197), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) generated $108.2M in revenue (-54.2% YoY), $183.5M in net income, and $105.0M in free cash flow against $3.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.17 (-0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 97.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE FPH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FPH SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$4.40-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$4.25-2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$4.16+0.5% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$4.18-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FPH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FPH currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.69) and Max Pain ($4.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FPH Stock slipped -0.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) slipped -0.48% to $4.18, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($4.02 – $6.47). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($4.02 – $6.47) with RSI-14 at 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.4% around $4.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $105.0M annual free cash flow.
Live FPH Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 11d ago
Five Point Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Five Point (NYSE:FPH) reported a third-quarter consolidated net loss of $4.4 million as it closed no land sales at its active communities and faced softer housing demand tied to higher mortgage rates and weaker consumer

RISK WATCHYahoo • 11d ago
Five Point: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

(AP) — Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) on Thursday reported a loss of $2.The Irvine, California-based company said it had a loss of 4 cents per share.

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 11d ago
Five Point Holdings Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Five Point Holdings (NYSE:FPH) reported third-quarter financial results on Thursday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FPH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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FPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.99%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $4.09H $4.20L $4.09C $4.18VOL 299.7K
RES: $4.67SUP: $3.97SMA50: $4.69SMA200: $5.04
$5.72$5.26$4.80$4.34$3.88RES $4.67SUP $3.97$4.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -54.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FPH)

Financials Rank #712 of 1096 ⚔️ HPP vs FPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FPH vs. HPP, AGNT, CRESY, SKYH)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) ranks #712 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #659 by equity capitalization ($621.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYH leads on earnings valuation at 43.2x trailing P/E, while FPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. FPH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FPH ACTIVE
Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A)
D 48/100 — — 7.7% -0.48% $621.7M Benchmark Subject
HPP
Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.
D 45/100 — — -19.9% -4.96% $601.8M /hpp-vs-fph →
AGNT
AGNT Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -14.3% -2.51% $665.1M /agnt-vs-fph →
CRESY
Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.
D 44/100 — — — -1.55% $776.0M /cresy-vs-fph →
SKYH
Sky Harbour Group Corporation (Class A)
E 33/100 43.2x — -12.9% -0.70% $813.0M /skyh-vs-fph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001574197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) reported GAAP revenue of $108.2M (-54.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $236.0M , and -48.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.5M, operating cash flow of $105.2M, and free cash flow of $105.0M (-8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FPH closed FY2025 with $3.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $108.2M $183.5M $105.2M $105.0M $3.25B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $236.0M $177.6M $116.0M $115.2M $3.08B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $209.9M $113.7M $154.1M $154.1M — —

3. FPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (NYSE: FPH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $4.18 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $621.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FPH ranks #712 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FPH compare to HPP and AGNT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FPH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, HPP (Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.9%, cap $601.8M) and AGNT (AGNT Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.3%, cap $665.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYH leads on earnings multiple (43.2x) while FPH leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPH?

Per FPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001574197), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) generated $108.2M in revenue (-54.2% YoY), $183.5M in net income, and $105.0M in free cash flow against $3.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FPH last traded at $4.18 (-0.48% on volume of 146,585 shares), positioning the stock -10.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.69) and -17.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.04). Across its 52-week range of $4.02 to $6.47, FPH sits at the 6.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($3.87 to $4.49).

FPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is FPH stock moving today?

Why FPH Stock slipped -0.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FPH — Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FPH scores 48 out of 100, a D grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9 / 20 (ROIC 7.7%; FCF yield 16.89%), Whale 13F Flow at 3 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10 / 20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is institutional flow, which scores 3 of 20, indicating little supportive positioning from large holders in the source data. The cash-engine pillar also scores low despite a high FCF yield, suggesting the yield is not translating into a strong composite signal. For a prospective investor, the composite reads as a cautionary signal: the cash-flow yield is a potential upside driver if sustained, but weak institutional flow and a sub-median fundamental score argue against treating the yield as a clear value entry point today.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$108.2M$0.0M$183.5MN/A$105.0M$425.5MN/A
FY 2024$236.0M$0.0M$177.6MN/A$115.2M$430.9MN/A
FY 2023$209.9M$0.0M$113.7MN/A$154.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income exceeds reported revenue in FY 2025 and FY 2024, while operating income is listed as $0.0M in every period, so the profitability picture cannot be reconciled from the source data alone. Per the market data, the gross margin and operating margin are both 0%, while the net margin is 68%, and ROIC is 7.7%. The Roarable RQD rating references an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Reported cash declined from $430.9M to $425.5M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and debt is not available in source data for any period.

Open Questions

  • What does Five Point Holdings sell, to whom, and through which revenue streams, given that the source data gives only a sector and industry label?
  • Why is reported net income higher than revenue in FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what drives that gap given operating income is reported as $0.0M?
  • What is the company's debt position in each period, since debt is listed as N/A throughout the financials?
  • What are the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, which are absent from the source data and would be needed to judge valuation?
  • What catalysts, filings, or analyst coverage exist that could explain the weak institutional flow score?

FPH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FPH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 11d ago
Five Point Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Five Point (NYSE:FPH) reported a third-quarter consolidated net loss of $4.4 million as it closed no land sales at its active communities and faced softer housing demand tied to higher mortgage rates and weaker consumer

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FPH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.18?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FPH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FPH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.54 (+8.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FPH (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $4.20?

Welcome to the FPH (Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Real Estate. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.28 (-21.9%)
Spot @ $4.20

Pump the brakes on FPH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FPH, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.04 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $4.20

FPH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FPH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.20 (52-wk range $4.02 - $6.47), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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