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Stock Ratings / Energy / FPS / earnings
WWD (61) ACCV (57) PLUG (27) EROC (37) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$25.81 -8.96% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.34

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $8.63B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FPS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (NYSE: FPS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $25.81 (-8.96% 1D, market cap $8.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FPS ranks #175 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FPS compare to WWD and ACCV in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FPS carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, WWD (Woodward Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 42.1x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $18.59B) and ACCV (Accelevation Holdings Corp. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WWD leads on earnings multiple (42.1x) while WWD leads on capital efficiency (16.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPS?
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Per FPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002080126), Forgent Power Solutions Inc. generated $753.2M in revenue, $15.2M in net income, and -$39.1M in free cash flow against $1.70B in total assets and $579.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.35 (-1.80%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (3)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$69 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE FPS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FPS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FPS SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (40% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 36.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$36.17-16.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$30.23-10.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$26.99-4.4% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$25.81-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FPS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FPS currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.26) and Max Pain ($27.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $69.30.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FPS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FPS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$3.23 Expected Swing
$22.58 (-12.5%)Spot $25.81$29.04 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FPS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.2%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-06-30$753.2M$15.2M-$39.1M36.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FPS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FPS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
FPS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.15%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $29.27H $29.27L $25.81C $25.81VOL 6.10M
RES: $42.42SUP: $22.38SMA50: $33.26SMA200: $38.49
$69.00$56.58$44.15$31.73$19.30RES $42.42SUP $22.38$25.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FPS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FPS Butterfly Map → + Track FPS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FPS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FPS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FPS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FPS)

Energy Rank #175 of 211 ⚔️ WWD vs FPS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (FPS vs. WWD, ACCV, PLUG, EROC)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) ranks #175 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #62 by equity capitalization ($8.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WWD leads on earnings valuation at 42.1x trailing P/E, while WWD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.5% ROIC and 26.8% gross margin. WWD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with FPS at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FPS ACTIVE
Forgent Power Solutions Inc.
D- 40/100 — 36.9% 5.4% -8.96% $8.63B Benchmark Subject
WWD
Woodward Inc.
C- 61/100 42.1x 26.8% 16.5% -3.26% $18.59B /wwd-vs-fps →
ACCV
Accelevation Holdings Corp. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 — — — -4.67% $3.59B /accv-vs-fps →
PLUG
Plug Power Inc.
E 27/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -3.87% $1.98B /plug-vs-fps →
EROC
ERock Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — — -6.91% $1.97B /eroc-vs-fps →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0002080126

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) reported GAAP revenue of $753.2M , GAAP net income of $15.2M, operating cash flow of $45.0M, and free cash flow of -$39.1M . On the balance sheet, FPS closed FY2025 with $1.70B in total assets against $579.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.62, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $753.2M $15.2M $45.0M -$39.1M $1.70B $579.0M

3. FPS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (NYSE: FPS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $25.81 (-8.96% 1D, market cap $8.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FPS ranks #175 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FPS compare to WWD and ACCV in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FPS carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, WWD (Woodward Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 42.1x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $18.59B) and ACCV (Accelevation Holdings Corp. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WWD leads on earnings multiple (42.1x) while WWD leads on capital efficiency (16.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPS?

Per FPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002080126), Forgent Power Solutions Inc. generated $753.2M in revenue, $15.2M in net income, and -$39.1M in free cash flow against $1.70B in total assets and $579.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FPS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FPS last traded at $25.81 (-8.96% on volume of 6,697,218 shares), positioning the stock -22.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.26) and -32.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.49). Across its 52-week range of $23.16 to $66.00, FPS sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($22.58 to $29.04).

FPS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FPS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is FPS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for FPS, spanning a range between $22.58 and $29.04.

Direct Sub-Reports: FPS RQD Cockpit FPS 12M Forecast FPS Earnings & Move FPS Dividends & DRIP FPS Insiders & 13F FPS Whale Options FPS Profit Sankey FPS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FPS — Forgent Power Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FPS scores 40 out of 100, graded D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 5.4% and FCF yield of -0.45%. Reported operating economics are thin relative to capital employed, and free cash flow is currently negative, so the business is not yet generating cash to fund growth or shareholder returns.
  • Whale / 13F flow: 5 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning are weak per this pillar. No holder data is supplied in the source to confirm the reasons.
  • Insider conviction: 6 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow are scored below midpoint, indicating limited insider signaling of confidence.
  • Macro regime fit: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.07 and sector sensitivity place FPS in an unfavorable position for the current regime score.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 16 / 20. This is the strongest pillar. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z 5.62, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.98 indicate the balance sheet is comparatively sound and not the primary source of risk.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a clear tradeoff. The upside case depends on the cash engine improving from negative free cash flow and on institutional and insider interest rebuilding, neither of which the current data demonstrates. Valuation is elevated on the one metric supplied: EV/EBITDA of 63.3 leaves little margin for error if operating performance disappoints. The forensic balance sheet provides a measure of downside protection that the flow and regime pillars do not. The rating is an analytical framework, not a recommendation.

Business

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Energy sector, within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue was $753.2M, with gross margin of 36.9% and operating margin of 9.6% per the market data section. Not available in source data for further detail on how the company makes money.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-06-30)$753.2M$72.2M$15.2MN/A$-39.1M$106.2M$579.0M

Per the market data section, net margin is 2%, ROIC is 5.4%, and FCF yield is -0.45%, indicating that reported profit is small relative to revenue and that free cash flow was negative for the period. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.62 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both supportive of the balance sheet. Debt/Equity is 0.98 per the same rating, and reported debt of $579.0M exceeds reported cash of $106.2M. Not available in source data for multi-period trend analysis.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the headline with the strongest risk signal is "Forgent stock falls 11% on CFO transition announcement" (Yahoo Finance, RISK WATCH, RED). Other items are a TradingView price-and-chart page (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), a Trefis item on the company's growth prospects (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), a Seeking Alpha piece framing "explosive growth" alongside downside risk (CATALYST, GREEN), and Investing.com and Yahoo Finance Singapore quote pages (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Most items are general market wire content; the CFO transition and the Seeking Alpha growth-versus-downside framing are the most investor-relevant. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, no butterfly links exist, and there are no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's product mix, end markets, and customer concentration, given that the source describes the business only at sector and industry level?
  • What drove the negative FY 2025 free cash flow of $-39.1M, and what is management's outlook for converting operating income into cash?
  • What are the P/E (TTM), forward P/E, and EPS figures, which are absent from the source and needed to assess valuation against earnings?
  • What is the scope and timing of the CFO transition, and does it affect financial reporting or capital allocation?
  • What holder, insider, and analyst activity exists, since the source contains none, and does it confirm or contradict the weak flow pillars?

FPS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FPS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FPS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.81?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FPS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FPS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.95 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FPS (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $28.35?

Welcome to the FPS (Forgent Power Solutions Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.68 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $28.35

Pump the brakes on FPS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FPS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 36.9% gross margins. Unless Forgent Power Solutions Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $34.87 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $28.35

FPS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FPS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.35 (52-wk range $23.16 - $66.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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