Yahoo Finance report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why FPS Stock dropped -8.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (NYSE: FPS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $25.81 (-8.96% 1D, market cap $8.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FPS ranks #175 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FPS compare to WWD and ACCV in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FPS carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, WWD (Woodward Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 42.1x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $18.59B) and ACCV (Accelevation Holdings Corp. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WWD leads on earnings multiple (42.1x) while WWD leads on capital efficiency (16.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPS?
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Per FPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002080126), Forgent Power Solutions Inc. generated $753.2M in revenue, $15.2M in net income, and -$39.1M in free cash flow against $1.70B in total assets and $579.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 5.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 36.9% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FPS Turnaround Squeeze
While FPS currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.26) and Max Pain ($27.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $69.30.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why FPS Stock dropped -8.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) dropped -8.96% to $25.81, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($23.16 – $66). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($23.16 – $66) with RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $25.81 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 36.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FXEmpire report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com -- Bernstein has identified top stocks in the AI infrastructure sector as political risks from upcoming midterm elections weigh on data center development. The firm’s analysis shows that approximately 244 g
Cramer called Archer a pure spec, praised JFrog and Forgent, and said Tractor Supply may be basing; shares moved mixed Friday.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FPS)
- ✓Walkthrough of FPS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
FPS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FPS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FPS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FPS)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (FPS vs. WWD, ACCV, PLUG, EROC)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) ranks #175 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #62 by equity capitalization ($8.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WWD leads on earnings valuation at 42.1x trailing P/E, while WWD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.5% ROIC and 26.8% gross margin. WWD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with FPS at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FPS
ACTIVE
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 36.9% | 5.4% | -8.96% | $8.63B | Benchmark Subject |
| WWD Woodward Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 42.1x | 26.8% | 16.5% | -3.26% | $18.59B | /wwd-vs-fps → |
| ACCV Accelevation Holdings Corp. (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -4.67% | $3.59B | /accv-vs-fps → |
| PLUG Plug Power Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -3.87% | $1.98B | /plug-vs-fps → |
| EROC ERock Inc. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | — | — | -6.91% | $1.97B | /eroc-vs-fps → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0002080126In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) reported GAAP revenue of $753.2M , GAAP net income of $15.2M, operating cash flow of $45.0M, and free cash flow of -$39.1M . On the balance sheet, FPS closed FY2025 with $1.70B in total assets against $579.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.62, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $753.2M | $15.2M | $45.0M | -$39.1M | $1.70B | $579.0M |
3. FPS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (NYSE: FPS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $25.81 (-8.96% 1D, market cap $8.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FPS ranks #175 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FPS compare to WWD and ACCV in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FPS carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, WWD (Woodward Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 42.1x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $18.59B) and ACCV (Accelevation Holdings Corp. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WWD leads on earnings multiple (42.1x) while WWD leads on capital efficiency (16.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPS?
Per FPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002080126), Forgent Power Solutions Inc. generated $753.2M in revenue, $15.2M in net income, and -$39.1M in free cash flow against $1.70B in total assets and $579.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FPS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FPS last traded at $25.81 (-8.96% on volume of 6,697,218 shares), positioning the stock -22.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.26) and -32.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.49). Across its 52-week range of $23.16 to $66.00, FPS sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($22.58 to $29.04).
FPS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FPS stock moving today?
Why FPS Stock dropped -8.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
FPS — Forgent Power Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, FPS scores 40 out of 100, graded D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental cash engine: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 5.4% and FCF yield of -0.45%. Reported operating economics are thin relative to capital employed, and free cash flow is currently negative, so the business is not yet generating cash to fund growth or shareholder returns.
- Whale / 13F flow: 5 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning are weak per this pillar. No holder data is supplied in the source to confirm the reasons.
- Insider conviction: 6 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow are scored below midpoint, indicating limited insider signaling of confidence.
- Macro regime fit: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.07 and sector sensitivity place FPS in an unfavorable position for the current regime score.
- Forensic balance sheet: 16 / 20. This is the strongest pillar. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z 5.62, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.98 indicate the balance sheet is comparatively sound and not the primary source of risk.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a clear tradeoff. The upside case depends on the cash engine improving from negative free cash flow and on institutional and insider interest rebuilding, neither of which the current data demonstrates. Valuation is elevated on the one metric supplied: EV/EBITDA of 63.3 leaves little margin for error if operating performance disappoints. The forensic balance sheet provides a measure of downside protection that the flow and regime pillars do not. The rating is an analytical framework, not a recommendation.
Business
Forgent Power Solutions Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Energy sector, within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue was $753.2M, with gross margin of 36.9% and operating margin of 9.6% per the market data section. Not available in source data for further detail on how the company makes money.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-06-30) | $753.2M | $72.2M | $15.2M | N/A | $-39.1M | $106.2M | $579.0M |
Per the market data section, net margin is 2%, ROIC is 5.4%, and FCF yield is -0.45%, indicating that reported profit is small relative to revenue and that free cash flow was negative for the period. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.62 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both supportive of the balance sheet. Debt/Equity is 0.98 per the same rating, and reported debt of $579.0M exceeds reported cash of $106.2M. Not available in source data for multi-period trend analysis.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, the headline with the strongest risk signal is "Forgent stock falls 11% on CFO transition announcement" (Yahoo Finance, RISK WATCH, RED). Other items are a TradingView price-and-chart page (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), a Trefis item on the company's growth prospects (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), a Seeking Alpha piece framing "explosive growth" alongside downside risk (CATALYST, GREEN), and Investing.com and Yahoo Finance Singapore quote pages (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Most items are general market wire content; the CFO transition and the Seeking Alpha growth-versus-downside framing are the most investor-relevant. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, no butterfly links exist, and there are no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What is the company's product mix, end markets, and customer concentration, given that the source describes the business only at sector and industry level?
- What drove the negative FY 2025 free cash flow of $-39.1M, and what is management's outlook for converting operating income into cash?
- What are the P/E (TTM), forward P/E, and EPS figures, which are absent from the source and needed to assess valuation against earnings?
- What is the scope and timing of the CFO transition, and does it affect financial reporting or capital allocation?
- What holder, insider, and analyst activity exists, since the source contains none, and does it confirm or contradict the weak flow pillars?
FPS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FXEmpire report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (FPS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FPS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.81?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FPS (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $28.35?
Welcome to the FPS (Forgent Power Solutions Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on FPS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FPS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 36.9% gross margins. Unless Forgent Power Solutions Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
FPS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FPS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $28.35 (52-wk range $23.16 - $66.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.