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Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$111.37 +1.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.37

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.58B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FRT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Federal Realty Investment Trust (NYSE: FRT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $111.37 (+1.07% 1D, market cap $9.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FRT ranks #355 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FRT compare to RHP and CUBE in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FRT carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $9.31B) and CUBE (CubeSmart) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 45.2x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $9.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRX leads on earnings multiple (23.2x) while RHP leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRT?
▼

Per FRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000034903), Federal Realty Investment Trust generated $1.28B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $411.1M in net income, and $564.8M in free cash flow against $9.13B in total assets and $2.53B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.37 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 44.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (8)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$135 Bull$113 Base$88 Bear
📬 FREE FRT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FRT SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.3) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$105.68+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$108.88+2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$111.44-0.1% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$111.37+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, FRT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($110.47) or 200D SMA ($113.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($112.87) toward Bear Floor ($88.04).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FRT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $111.37: 89.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $88.04
$7,905
$-2,095 (-20.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $112.87
$10,135
+$135 (+1.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $134.62
$12,088
+$2,088 (+20.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$11774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$12769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$10058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FRT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
FRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-04O $110.2H $111.4L $110.2C $111.4VOL 1.25M
RES: $111.8SUP: $103.1SMA50: $110.5SMA200: $113.2
$130.1$122.3$114.5$106.8$99.00RES $111.8SUP $103.1$111.42026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FRT Butterfly Map → + Track FRT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRT)

Financials Rank #355 of 1097 ⚔️ RHP vs FRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FRT vs. RHP, CUBE, BRX, BXP)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) ranks #355 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #193 by equity capitalization ($9.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRX leads on earnings valuation at 23.2x trailing P/E, while RHP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. RHP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FRT at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FRT ACTIVE
Federal Realty Investment Trust
C- 61/100 23.6x — 8.6% +1.07% $9.58B Benchmark Subject
RHP
Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc.
B 75/100 38.2x — 16.3% +1.29% $9.31B /rhp-vs-frt →
CUBE
CubeSmart
C+ 68/100 45.2x — 4.8% +3.58% $9.89B /cube-vs-frt →
BRX
Brixmor Property Group Inc.
C 64/100 23.2x — 7.1% +1.44% $9.07B /brx-vs-frt →
BXP
BXP Inc.
C 62/100 36.4x — 2.3% +1.07% $10.13B /bxp-vs-frt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000034903 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.28B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $411.1M, operating cash flow of $622.4M, and free cash flow of $564.8M (+8.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, FRT closed FY2025 with $9.13B in total assets against $2.53B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.28B $411.1M $622.4M $564.8M $9.13B $2.53B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.20B $295.2M $574.6M $520.5M $8.52B $2.30B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.13B $237.0M $555.8M $504.9M $5.33B $1.25B

3. FRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Federal Realty Investment Trust (NYSE: FRT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $111.37 (+1.07% 1D, market cap $9.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FRT ranks #355 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FRT compare to RHP and CUBE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FRT carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $9.31B) and CUBE (CubeSmart) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 45.2x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $9.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRX leads on earnings multiple (23.2x) while RHP leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRT?

Per FRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000034903), Federal Realty Investment Trust generated $1.28B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $411.1M in net income, and $564.8M in free cash flow against $9.13B in total assets and $2.53B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRT last traded at $111.37 (+1.07% on volume of 1,250,618 shares), positioning the stock +0.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($110.47) and -1.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($113.21). Across its 52-week range of $95.00 to $128.21, FRT sits at the 49.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($107.25 to $115.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: FRT RQD Cockpit FRT 12M Forecast FRT Earnings & Move FRT Dividends & DRIP FRT Insiders & 13F FRT Whale Options FRT Profit Sankey FRT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FRT — Federal Realty Investment Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $111.37 (+1.07% 1D, market capitalization $9.58B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 47.1%, and free cash flow yield of 5.83%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry,..7B. — for further business-model detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) reported $1.28B in annual revenue (up from $1.20B in FY2024, +6.4% YoY) and $411.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.13B revenue, $237.0M net income) through FY2025, FRT scaled operating cash flow to $622.4M and free cash flow to $564.8M, backed by $9.13B in total assets against $2.53B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $95.00 – $128.21 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 23.6x trailing P/E and 18.3x EV/EBITDA against 47.1% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), FRT carries a macro regime beta of 0.96 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can FRT sustain or expand its 47.1% operating margin and 8.6% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.28B and free cash flow of $564.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.53B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FRT's 21.9x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

FRT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FRT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FRT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $111.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FRT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FRT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $138.84 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 15/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, alongside a 5.83% FCF yield.

Long FRT at $110.19 targeting $138.84. Forensic balance sheet scores 15/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, alongside a 5.83% FCF yield.. Institutional whale score is 10/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $90.03 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $110.19 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $91.46 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $110.19

Macro Regime Fit scores only 9/20 on a 0.96 Beta and sector sensitivity, while debt rose from $1.25B to $2.53B over FY 2023–FY 2025

Fading this rally in FRT at $110.19. Macro Regime Fit scores only 9/20 on a 0.96 Beta and sector sensitivity, while debt rose from $1.25B to $2.53B over FY 2023–FY 2025.. With a beta of 0.96 and the stock sitting at $110.19 (52-wk range $90.03–$128.21), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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