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FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.45 -3.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.44

FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $27.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FTCI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FTCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, FTC Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FTCI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.45 (-3.33% 1D, market cap $27.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, FTCI ranks #643 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FTCI compare to SNSC and NA in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), FTCI carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -0.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SNSC (SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $28.2M) and NA (Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $35.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTCI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NA leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTCI?
▼

Per FTCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001828161), FTC Solar Inc. generated $99.7M in revenue (+110.5% YoY), -$79.6M in net income, and -$34.6M in free cash flow against $111.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.44 (-0.79%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.8% Base Target
$13 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE FTCI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FTCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FTCI SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$1.68-13.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$1.46-8.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$1.33+9% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$1.45-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FTCI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FTCI currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.00) and Max Pain ($1.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.39.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FTCI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FTCI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 27%NO 73%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FTCI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.45: 6896.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.98
$6,759
$-3,241 (-32.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.25
$8,621
$-1,379 (-13.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $13.39
$92,345
+$82,345 (+823.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FTCI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FTCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FTCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -57.97%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $1.38H $1.50L $1.38C $1.45VOL 233.2K
RES: $3.94SUP: $1.15SMA50: $2.00SMA200: $4.43
$8.01$6.18$4.36$2.53$0.70RES $3.94SUP $1.15$1.452026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FTCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FTCI Butterfly Map → + Track FTCI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +110.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FTCI)

Technology Rank #643 of 715 ⚔️ SNSC vs FTCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FTCI vs. SNSC, NA, SQNS, IPWR)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) ranks #643 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #596 by equity capitalization ($27.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FTCI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and — gross margin. SNSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with FTCI at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FTCI ACTIVE
FTC Solar Inc.
E 27/100 — -0.9% -35.0% -3.33% $27.4M Benchmark Subject
SNSC
SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 — — — +8.09% $28.2M /snsc-vs-ftci →
NA
Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)
E 34/100 — — 6.2% +0.66% $35.1M /na-vs-ftci →
SQNS
Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )
D 45/100 — — — +10.89% $37.1M /sqns-vs-ftci →
IPWR
Ideal Power Inc.
E 24/100 — -30.0% -35.0% +1.65% $39.9M /ipwr-vs-ftci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001828161 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) reported GAAP revenue of $99.7M (+110.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $47.4M , and -21.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$79.6M, operating cash flow of -$33.4M, and free cash flow of -$34.6M (+4.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FTCI closed FY2025 with $111.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $99.7M -$79.6M -$33.4M -$34.6M $111.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $47.4M -$48.6M -$34.7M -$36.3M $89.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $127.0M -$50.3M -$52.7M -$52.7M — —

3. FTCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FTCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FTC Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FTCI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $1.45 (-3.33% 1D, market cap $27.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, FTCI ranks #643 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FTCI compare to SNSC and NA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), FTCI carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -0.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SNSC (SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $28.2M) and NA (Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $35.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTCI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NA leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTCI?

Per FTCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001828161), FTC Solar Inc. generated $99.7M in revenue (+110.5% YoY), -$79.6M in net income, and -$34.6M in free cash flow against $111.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FTCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FTCI last traded at $1.45 (-3.33% on volume of 342,006 shares), positioning the stock -27.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.00) and -67.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.43). Across its 52-week range of $1.27 to $12.75, FTCI sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.27 to $1.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: FTCI RQD Cockpit FTCI 12M Forecast FTCI Earnings & Move FTCI Dividends & DRIP FTCI Insiders & 13F FTCI Whale Options FTCI Profit Sankey FTCI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FTCI — FTC Solar Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 27/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.45 (-3.33% 1D, market capitalization $27.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -0.9%, operating margin of -35.5%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

FTC Solar Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The profile lists its market capitalization as $0.0B, while the market data section lists $24.9M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) reported $99.7M in annual revenue (up from $47.4M in FY2024, +110.5% YoY) and -$79.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($127.0M revenue, -$50.3M net income) through FY2025, FTCI scaled operating cash flow to -$33.4M and free cash flow to -$34.6M, backed by $111.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 27/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.27 – $12.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -35.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are — The only sector context available is the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry classification, with a beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can FTCI sustain or expand its -35.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $99.7M and free cash flow of -$34.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FTCI's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FTCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FTCI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FTCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FTCI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FTCI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.68 (+21.7%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported revenue recovered to $99.7M in FY 2025 from $47.4M in FY 2024 while cash rose to $21.1M.

Picked up a starter position in FTCI in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.38. Reported revenue recovered to $99.7M in FY 2025 from $47.4M in FY 2024 while cash rose to $21.1M.. Trading inside a $1.27–$12.75 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Semiconductors multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.38 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.03 (-25.4%)
Spot @ $1.38

ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of 0%, and an RQD score of 27 with an E grade indicate weak cash generation and forensic risk.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on FTCI: ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of 0%, and an RQD score of 27 with an E grade indicate weak cash generation and forensic risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Semiconductors triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE