Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.8% Move

$3.71 -1.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.69

Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $283.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FULC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FULC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: FULC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $3.71 (-1.59% 1D, market cap $283.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FULC ranks #716 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FULC compare to LYEL and BIOA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), FULC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYEL (Lyell Immunopharma Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.5M) and BIOA (BioAge Labs Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $269.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FULC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FULC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FULC?
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Per FULC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680581), Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$74.9M in net income, and -$60.4M in free cash flow against $366.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.69 (-0.48%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.6% Base Target
$17 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE FULC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FULC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FULC SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$3.68+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$3.72-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$3.70+0.3% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$3.71-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FULC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FULC currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.76) and Max Pain ($3.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FULC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FULC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.8% Swing Band

±$0.14 Expected Swing
$3.57 (-3.8%)Spot $3.71$3.85 (+3.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FULC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 32/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (32/100)Model Risk Weight (68/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$74.9M-$60.4M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$9.7M-$2.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$97.3M-$91.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FULC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FULC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FULC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.15%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $3.77H $3.77L $3.71C $3.71VOL 933.2K
RES: $3.79SUP: $3.64SMA50: $3.76SMA200: $5.80
$9.25$7.51$5.77$4.03$2.29RES $3.79SUP $3.64$3.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FULC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FULC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FULC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FULC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FULC)

Health Care Rank #716 of 1016 ⚔️ LYEL vs FULC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (FULC vs. LYEL, BIOA, RCKT, VOGX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) ranks #716 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #523 by equity capitalization ($283.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FULC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FULC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VOGX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with FULC at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FULC ACTIVE
Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -1.59% $283.4M Benchmark Subject
LYEL
Lyell Immunopharma Inc.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -2.34% $270.5M /lyel-vs-fulc →
BIOA
BioAge Labs Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -1.18% $269.4M /bioa-vs-fulc →
RCKT
Rocket Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -3.94% $267.9M /rckt-vs-fulc →
VOGX
Vogenx Inc
D 45/100 — — — +1.66% $300.8M /vogx-vs-fulc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001680581

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$74.9M, operating cash flow of -$60.1M, and free cash flow of -$60.4M (-2319.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, FULC closed FY2025 with $366.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$74.9M -$60.1M -$60.4M $366.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$9.7M -$2.2M -$2.5M $260.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$97.3M -$91.0M -$91.0M — —

3. FULC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FULC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: FULC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $3.71 (-1.59% 1D, market cap $283.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FULC ranks #716 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FULC compare to LYEL and BIOA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), FULC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYEL (Lyell Immunopharma Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.5M) and BIOA (BioAge Labs Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $269.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FULC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FULC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FULC?

Per FULC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680581), Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$74.9M in net income, and -$60.4M in free cash flow against $366.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FULC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FULC last traded at $3.71 (-1.59% on volume of 933,221 shares), positioning the stock -1.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.76) and -36.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.80). Across its 52-week range of $2.83 to $15.74, FULC sits at the 6.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($3.57 to $3.85).

FULC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FULC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FULC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.8% event move for FULC, spanning a range between $3.57 and $3.85.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FULC — Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FULC scores 34 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is the sum of five pillars, each weighted at 20 points:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -20.97%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is consuming capital rather than generating it relative to the value assigned to it.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 8 / 20. The rating references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The pillar is scored modestly, and no holder-level detail is supplied in the source data to verify the direction or size of these flows.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating weak insider signal strength.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the broader market, offering no defensive characteristic in this framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. This is the highest pillar but still reflects a weak forensic profile on the Piotroski measure.

Taken together, the investor implication is that upside depends on a turnaround in cash generation, which the current metrics do not yet show. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with negative ROIC and negative FCF yield, the stock's price cannot be anchored to current earnings or cash flow, and any position is effectively a bet on future outcomes not visible in the supplied data.

Business

Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $0.3B. Product, customer, and revenue-model details are not available in source data. The FY 2025 and FY 2024 financials report revenue of $0.0M in each period.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-84.8M$-74.9MN/A$-60.4M$197.5MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-21.9M$-9.7MN/A$-2.5M$58.2MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-110.7M$-97.3MN/A$-91.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating and net losses are reported in every period shown, and gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data. The market data reports ROIC of -35%. The Roarable rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Reported cash rose to $197.5M in FY 2025 from $58.2M in FY 2024, while debt is listed as N/A in all periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, five items reference FULC, all sourced from aggregators and each carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. They include a StockInvest.us forecast piece, a Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart, a TradingView estimates item, a Stock Titan report on a Bank of America amended passive stake filing, and a Morningstar piece on fair-deal questions across several tickers including FULC. A TradingView item also lists a Q3'26 EPS estimate of (0.07) USD. The feed contains no company-issued releases or clinical/regulatory events. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue model and product pipeline, given reported revenue of $0.0M across all periods?
  • What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-74.9M against a FY 2024 net loss of $-9.7M, and what is the expected cash burn path?
  • What is the basis for the reported $197.5M cash balance, and how long does it fund current operating losses?
  • Why is the debt figure N/A in every period, and how does the 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio reconcile with that?
  • What are the analyst consensus, price targets, and insider or 13F holdings, given that the analyst and holders sections are empty?

FULC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FULC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FULC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.71?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FULC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FULC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.32 (-11.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FULC (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $3.77?

Welcome to the FULC (Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.83 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $3.77

Pump the brakes on FULC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FULC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.45 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $3.77

FULC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FULC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.77 (52-wk range $2.83 - $15.74), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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