Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$3.71 -1.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.69

Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $283.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FULC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: FULC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $3.71 (-1.59% 1D, market cap $283.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FULC ranks #716 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FULC compare to LYEL and BIOA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), FULC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYEL (Lyell Immunopharma Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.5M) and BIOA (BioAge Labs Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $269.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FULC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FULC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FULC?
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Per FULC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680581), Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$74.9M in net income, and -$60.4M in free cash flow against $366.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.69 (-0.48%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.6% Base Target
$17 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE FULC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FULC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FULC SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$3.68+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$3.72-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$3.70+0.3% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$3.71-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FULC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FULC currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.76) and Max Pain ($3.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FULC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FULC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FULC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $3.71: 2695.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.56
$6,900
$-3,100 (-31.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.28
$8,841
$-1,159 (-11.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $16.53
$44,555
+$34,555 (+345.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FULC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FULC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FULC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.15%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $3.77H $3.77L $3.71C $3.71VOL 933.2K
RES: $3.79SUP: $3.64SMA50: $3.76SMA200: $5.80
$9.25$7.51$5.77$4.03$2.29RES $3.79SUP $3.64$3.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FULC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FULC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FULC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FULC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FULC)

Health Care Rank #716 of 1016 ⚔️ LYEL vs FULC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (FULC vs. LYEL, BIOA, RCKT, VOGX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) ranks #716 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #523 by equity capitalization ($283.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FULC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FULC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VOGX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with FULC at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FULC ACTIVE
Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -1.59% $283.4M Benchmark Subject
LYEL
Lyell Immunopharma Inc.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -2.34% $270.5M /lyel-vs-fulc →
BIOA
BioAge Labs Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -1.18% $269.4M /bioa-vs-fulc →
RCKT
Rocket Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -3.94% $267.9M /rckt-vs-fulc →
VOGX
Vogenx Inc
D 45/100 — — — +1.66% $300.8M /vogx-vs-fulc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001680581

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$74.9M, operating cash flow of -$60.1M, and free cash flow of -$60.4M (-2319.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, FULC closed FY2025 with $366.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$74.9M -$60.1M -$60.4M $366.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$9.7M -$2.2M -$2.5M $260.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$97.3M -$91.0M -$91.0M — —

3. FULC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FULC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: FULC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $3.71 (-1.59% 1D, market cap $283.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FULC ranks #716 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FULC compare to LYEL and BIOA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), FULC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYEL (Lyell Immunopharma Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.5M) and BIOA (BioAge Labs Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $269.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FULC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FULC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FULC?

Per FULC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680581), Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$74.9M in net income, and -$60.4M in free cash flow against $366.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FULC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FULC last traded at $3.71 (-1.59% on volume of 933,221 shares), positioning the stock -1.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.76) and -36.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.80). Across its 52-week range of $2.83 to $15.74, FULC sits at the 6.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($3.57 to $3.85).

FULC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FULC's 12-month stock price target?

Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $3.28 (-11.6% from $3.71), with a bull-case target of $16.53 and a bear-case floor of $2.56.

Is FULC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FULC E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 32/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FULC — Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FULC scores 34 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is the sum of five pillars, each weighted at 20 points:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -20.97%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is consuming capital rather than generating it relative to the value assigned to it.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 8 / 20. The rating references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The pillar is scored modestly, and no holder-level detail is supplied in the source data to verify the direction or size of these flows.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating weak insider signal strength.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the broader market, offering no defensive characteristic in this framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. This is the highest pillar but still reflects a weak forensic profile on the Piotroski measure.

Taken together, the investor implication is that upside depends on a turnaround in cash generation, which the current metrics do not yet show. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with negative ROIC and negative FCF yield, the stock's price cannot be anchored to current earnings or cash flow, and any position is effectively a bet on future outcomes not visible in the supplied data.

Business

Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $0.3B. Product, customer, and revenue-model details are not available in source data. The FY 2025 and FY 2024 financials report revenue of $0.0M in each period.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-84.8M$-74.9MN/A$-60.4M$197.5MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-21.9M$-9.7MN/A$-2.5M$58.2MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-110.7M$-97.3MN/A$-91.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating and net losses are reported in every period shown, and gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data. The market data reports ROIC of -35%. The Roarable rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Reported cash rose to $197.5M in FY 2025 from $58.2M in FY 2024, while debt is listed as N/A in all periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, five items reference FULC, all sourced from aggregators and each carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. They include a StockInvest.us forecast piece, a Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart, a TradingView estimates item, a Stock Titan report on a Bank of America amended passive stake filing, and a Morningstar piece on fair-deal questions across several tickers including FULC. A TradingView item also lists a Q3'26 EPS estimate of (0.07) USD. The feed contains no company-issued releases or clinical/regulatory events. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue model and product pipeline, given reported revenue of $0.0M across all periods?
  • What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-74.9M against a FY 2024 net loss of $-9.7M, and what is the expected cash burn path?
  • What is the basis for the reported $197.5M cash balance, and how long does it fund current operating losses?
  • Why is the debt figure N/A in every period, and how does the 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio reconcile with that?
  • What are the analyst consensus, price targets, and insider or 13F holdings, given that the analyst and holders sections are empty?

FULC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. (FULC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FULC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FULC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.71?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FULC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FULC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.32 (-11.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FULC (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $3.77?

Welcome to the FULC (Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.83 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $3.77

Pump the brakes on FULC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FULC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.45 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $3.77

FULC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FULC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.77 (52-wk range $2.83 - $15.74), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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