What is GATX's 12-month stock price target?

GATX Corporation (GATX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $180.32 (-0.5% from $181.14), with a bull-case target of $215.84 and a bear-case floor of $140.65.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GATX / forecast

HAFN (65) GXO (48) RXO (54) MMYT (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

GATX Corporation (GATX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is GATX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GATX D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 57/100.

$181.14 +0.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $180.92

GATX Corporation (GATX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.39B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GATX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GATX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, GATX Corporation (NYSE: GATX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $181.14 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $6.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GATX ranks #389 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GATX compare to HAFN and GXO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), GATX carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, HAFN (Hafnia Limited) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.82B) and GXO (GXO Logistics Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 159.1x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while GXO leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GATX?

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Per GATX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000040211), GATX Corporation generated $1.74B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $333.3M in net income, and $569.8M in free cash flow against $18.00B in total assets and $6.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $180.92 (-0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 32.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GATX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GATX SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 22.6% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$165.81-0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$164.30+2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$168.87+7.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$181.14-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GATX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GATX faces multiple-compression risk if 19.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($173.78) or 200D SMA ($179.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($180.32) toward Bear Floor ($140.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GATX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GATX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GATX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $181.14: 55.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $140.65

$7,765

$-2,235 (-22.4%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $180.32

$9,955

$-45 (-0.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $215.84

$11,916

+$1,916 (+19.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$188	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$203	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$160	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GATX)

✓Walkthrough of GATX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GATX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.28%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $180.5H $181.1L $180.5C $181.1VOL 272.5K

RES: $183.8SUP: $152.7SMA50: $173.8SMA200: $179.1

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GATX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GATX Butterfly Map → + Track GATX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

12.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GATX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GATX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GATX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GATX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #389 of 1009 ⚔️ HAFN vs GATX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GATX vs. HAFN, GXO, RXO, MMYT)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GATX Corporation (GATX) ranks #389 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #229 by equity capitalization ($6.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while GXO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HAFN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with GATX at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GATX ACTIVE GATX Corporation	D+	57/100	19.1x	—	4.0%	+0.37%	$6.39B	Benchmark Subject
HAFN Hafnia Limited	C	65/100	—	—	—	-1.72%	$5.82B	/hafn-vs-gatx →
GXO GXO Logistics Inc.	D	48/100	159.1x	—	4.2%	+0.68%	$5.77B	/gxo-vs-gatx →
RXO RXO Inc.	D+	54/100	—	—	-2.9%	-0.58%	$4.53B	/rxo-vs-gatx →
MMYT MakeMyTrip Limited	D	45/100	—	—	—	-0.74%	$4.01B	/mmyt-vs-gatx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000040211 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GATX Corporation (GATX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.74B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.59B , and +23.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $333.3M, operating cash flow of $648.1M, and free cash flow of $569.8M (+7.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GATX closed FY2025 with $18.00B in total assets against $6.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.85, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.74B	$333.3M	$648.1M	$569.8M	$18.00B	$6.46B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.59B	$284.2M	$602.1M	$530.8M	$12.30B	$4.44B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.41B	$259.2M	$520.4M	$456.9M	$3.50B	$819.9M

3. GATX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GATX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GATX compare to HAFN and GXO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GATX?

Where is GATX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GATX last traded at $181.14 (+0.37% on volume of 272,505 shares), positioning the stock +4.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($173.78) and +1.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($179.07). Across its 52-week range of $150.42 to $205.56, GATX sits at the 55.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($170.63 to $191.65).

Direct Sub-Reports: GATX RQD Cockpit GATX 12M Forecast GATX Earnings & Move GATX Dividends & DRIP GATX Insiders & 13F GATX Whale Options GATX Profit Sankey GATX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GATX — GATX Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GATX Corporation (GATX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $181.14 (+0.37% 1D, market capitalization $6.39B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 23.4%, and free cash flow yield of 8.94%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.85, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.19x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

GATX Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Transportation Services industry. The market data does show an operating margin of 23.4% and a net margin of 19.2%, and the financials report revenue of $1.74B for FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), GATX Corporation (GATX) reported $1.74B in annual revenue (up from $1.59B in FY2024, +9.8% YoY) and $333.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.41B revenue, $259.2M net income) through FY2025, GATX scaled operating cash flow to $648.1M and free cash flow to $569.8M, backed by $18.00B in total assets against $6.46B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.94% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $150.42 – $205.56 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 19.1x trailing P/E and 24.6x EV/EBITDA against 23.4% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck links for GATX. A prospective investor should therefore not infer specific ripple effects from this source. The only sector context available is the classification of Consumer Discretionary and Transportation Services, and the beta of 1.1 per the market data.

Key Question #1: Can GATX sustain or expand its 23.4% operating margin and 4.0% ROIC against Transportation Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.74B and free cash flow of $569.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.46B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GATX's 17.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

GATX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GATX Corporation (GATX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GATX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 21h ago

GATX: Strong Demand And Utilization But Fairly Valued

Seeking Alpha report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

GATX Corporation Sets Date for 2026 Third-Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call

Yahoo Finance report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago

GATX Corporation (GATX) Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Signals Stro

GuruFocus report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

GATX Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend

Yahoo Finance report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE marketscreener.com • 1d ago

GATX Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 31, 2026

marketscreener.com report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST AlphaStreet • 1d ago

Gatx Jumps 6.0% on EPS Beat

AlphaStreet report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

GATX Corporation $GATX Stock Holdings Lowered by Harbor Island Capital LLC

MarketBeat report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 1d ago

GATX Corporation Reports 2026 Third-Quarter Results

Business Wire report covering GATX Corporation (GATX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GATX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $181.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GATX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $220.99 (+22.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Insider and institutional flow signals (16/20 and 12/20 pillars) plus a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and the GREEN-flagged Q3 earnings-beat

Picked up a starter position in GATX in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $181.14. Insider and institutional flow signals (16/20 and 12/20 pillars) plus a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and the GREEN-flagged Q3 earnings-beat and EPS-beat catalysts suggest momentum behind the stock.. Trading inside a $150.42–$205.56 52-week range with 8.94% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Transportation Services multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — GATX's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $155.78 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $181.14

A 4% ROIC, Altman Z-Score of 0.85, and Debt/Equity of 2.19 leave a weak cash-return profile and leveraged balance sheet against a 24.6

A 4% ROIC, Altman Z-Score of 0.85, and Debt/Equity of 2.19 leave a weak cash-return profile and leveraged balance sheet against a 24.6 EV/EBITDA valuation.. Look at the math on GATX: paying 19.1x trailing P/E for 4.0% ROIC and 23.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Transportation Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $159.40 before getting long.