Yahoo Finance report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GBDC Stock slipped -0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Golub Capital BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: GBDC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $12.72 (-0.47% 1D, market cap $3.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GBDC ranks #927 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GBDC compare to SLM and PFSI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GBDC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.6%. By comparison, SLM (SLM Corporation) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $3.34B) and PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBDC?
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Per GBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001476765), Golub Capital BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $376.6M in net income, and -$113.6M in free cash flow against $8.89B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.2% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GBDC Turnaround Squeeze
While GBDC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.53) and Max Pain ($13.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.13.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why GBDC Stock slipped -0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) slipped -0.47% to $12.72, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($11.77 – $14.41). Stretched risk/reward at 9x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($11.77 – $14.41) with RSI-14 at 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.2% around $12.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
A six-figure monthly paycheck from dividends sounds straightforward until you see how three very different buckets fight each other, and which one quietly carries most of the risk.
A Roth IRA turns every dollar of yield into spendable income with no federal tax, but the portfolio size you actually need at 60 depends on which yield tier you trust with your retirement, and the tradeoffs between them
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GBDC)
- ✓Walkthrough of GBDC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GBDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBDC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBDC)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GBDC vs. SLM, PFSI, GPGI, PURR)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) ranks #927 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #344 by equity capitalization ($3.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLM leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while PURR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PURR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with GBDC at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBDC
ACTIVE
Golub Capital BDC Inc. | D- | 40/100 | 8.8x | — | 9.6% | -0.47% | $3.32B | Benchmark Subject |
| SLM SLM Corporation | D- | 38/100 | 4.5x | — | 7.4% | -2.47% | $3.34B | /slm-vs-gbdc → |
| PFSI PennyMac Financial Services Inc. | D- | 41/100 | 6.7x | — | 11.6% | -2.31% | $3.35B | /pfsi-vs-gbdc → |
| GPGI GPGI Inc. (Class A) | E | 22/100 | — | — | -6.5% | -3.62% | $3.36B | /gpgi-vs-gbdc → |
| PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc | B- | 71/100 | 32.8x | — | 33.0% | -10.41% | $3.42B | /purr-vs-gbdc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001476765In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $376.6M, operating cash flow of -$113.6M, and free cash flow of -$113.6M (-133.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBDC closed FY2025 with $8.89B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $0 | $376.6M | -$113.6M | -$113.6M | $8.89B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $0 | $273.8M | $343.9M | $343.9M | $9.01B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $0 | $258.6M | $195.4M | $195.4M | — | — |
3. GBDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Golub Capital BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: GBDC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $12.72 (-0.47% 1D, market cap $3.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GBDC ranks #927 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GBDC compare to SLM and PFSI in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GBDC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.6%. By comparison, SLM (SLM Corporation) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $3.34B) and PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBDC?
Per GBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001476765), Golub Capital BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $376.6M in net income, and -$113.6M in free cash flow against $8.89B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GBDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GBDC last traded at $12.72 (-0.47% on volume of 1,069,832 shares), positioning the stock +1.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.53) and -0.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.81). Across its 52-week range of $11.77 to $14.41, GBDC sits at the 36.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($12.19 to $13.25).
GBDC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GBDC stock moving today?
Why GBDC Stock slipped -0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 9x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
GBDC — Golub Capital BDC Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GBDC scores 40 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.6% and an FCF yield of -3.42%. The negative FCF yield is the core issue: reported free cash flow is not covering the equity valuation, so cash generation does not currently support the stock's price on this measure.
- Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is middling, signaling neither strong conviction nor clear distribution.
- Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the highest-scoring pillar but still below half-credit.
- Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar, indicating limited defensive characteristics in the current regime as scored.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski reading is weak and the Z-score sits in a range that warrants caution.
Educationally, the investor implication is a tradeoff: the stock trades at a low multiple and carries a high yield, which can attract value-oriented attention, but the rating framework weighs the negative FCF yield, weak Piotroski profile, and macro-sensitivity more heavily than the apparent cheapness. A prospective investor would need to examine whether the dividend yield is supported by cash generation before treating the low multiple as upside.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-09-30) | $0.0M | $0.0M | $376.6M | N/A | $-113.6M | N/A | N/A |
| FY 2024 (filed 2024-09-30) | $0.0M | $0.0M | $273.8M | N/A | $343.9M | $103.5M | N/A |
| FY 2023 (filed 2023-09-30) | $0.0M | $0.0M | $258.6M | N/A | $195.4M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $258.6M (FY 2023) to $273.8M (FY 2024) and $376.6M (FY 2025), while FCF moved from $195.4M to $343.9M and then to $-113.6M in FY 2025. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and the source does not provide revenue or operating income figures, so margin analysis is limited. Per the market data, ROIC is 9.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5; the source does not provide the underlying cash or debt balances for FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, all six items relate to GBDC. Catalysts and signals include:
- A scheduled release of fiscal year 2026 fourth-quarter results (Yahoo Finance; Quiver Quantitative reports the date as November 17), flagged YELLOW.
- Estimates coverage (TradingView), flagged YELLOW.
- A Seeking Alpha analysis titled that the stock is "Exactly Priced With The Credit Cycle," flagged YELLOW.
- A report that shares slipped to $12.12 as they tested a lower range, flagged RED under RISK WATCH.
- A Stock Traders Daily item on behavioral patterns and institutional flows, flagged YELLOW.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are mapped; the supply chain field is NONE. The headline-level RED flag on the lower-range test is the only risk-watch item in the feed.
Open Questions
- What are FY 2025 revenue, operating income, cash, and debt balances? The source reports $0.0M revenue and operating income and N/A for cash and debt, so the balance sheet cannot be fully assessed.
- Is the 11.1% dividend yield covered by cash generation, given FY 2025 FCF of $-113.6M and an FCF yield of -3.42%?
- What drives the gap between FY 2024 FCF of $343.9M and FY 2025 FCF of $-113.6M?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and price target? Analyst data is unavailable in the source.
- What do insider, 13F, and Congressional flows show in direction and magnitude? Holder data is unavailable in the source.
GBDC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Golub Capital BDC Inc. (GBDC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GBDC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.72?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GBDC (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $12.78?
Welcome to the GBDC (Golub Capital BDC Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on GBDC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GBDC, but look at what you are paying: 8.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Golub Capital BDC Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
GBDC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GBDC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.78 (52-wk range $11.77 - $14.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.