MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GCMG Stock surged +2.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$12.96 +2.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.99
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.56B
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Is GCMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GCMG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $12.96 (+2.53% 1D, market cap $2.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GCMG ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GCMG compare to GDV and LCLN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), GCMG carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 56.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 82.5%. By comparison, GDV (Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust of) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.57B) and LCLN (Lincoln International Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APAM leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while GCMG leads on capital efficiency (82.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCMG?
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Per GCMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819796), GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) generated $557.6M in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $45.4M in net income, and $175.0M in free cash flow against $813.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.99 (+0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 31.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GCMG SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.4% FCF Margin ($175.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$12.84-2% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$12.58-3.8% Next Q
64
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$12.10+7.1% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C+$12.96+2% Hist 90D α
69
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GCMG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, GCMG faces multiple-compression risk if 56.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.92) or 200D SMA ($11.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.60) toward Bear Floor ($10.61).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GCMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GCMG Stock surged +2.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) surged +2.53% to $12.96, trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($9.3 – $14.87). Solid steady margins (83% return on capital), mixed timing at 56x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($9.3 – $14.87) with RSI-14 at 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.7% around $12.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $175.0M annual free cash flow.
Live GCMG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance UK • 1d ago
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance UK report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREThe Globe and Mail • 1d ago
Analysts Offer Insights on Financial Companies: GCM Grosvenor (GCMG) and Robinhood (HOOD)The Globe and Mail report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
VCTR Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:VCTRTradingView report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHStock Traders Daily • 1d ago
How (GCMG) Movements Inform Risk Allocation ModelsStock Traders Daily report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
GCM Grosvenor stock: Proteus MHP investment rises to USD 145 millionad-hoc-news.de report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTSimply Wall St • 1d ago
3 Asset Manager Stocks to Watch as Macro Volatility Tests Fee GrowthSimply Wall St report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREhttps://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago
GCM Grosvenor (GCMG) Slips 1.43% to $12.38 as Shares Test Lower End of Recent Range - Put Wallhttps://www.siam.in/ report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Where Chicago real estate money is going in Tuesday’s electionGCM Grosvenor's Michael Sacks, GEM Realty Capital's Barry Malkin, Sterling Bay's Keating Crown (GCM Grosvenor, GEM Realty Capital, Sterling Bay)Chicago’s real estate industry won its biggest fight back in March, when Pat
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
T. Rowe Price (TROW) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Surpass EstimatesT. Rowe (TROW) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +10.85% and +2.57%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GCMG Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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GCMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.18%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $12.61H $12.96L $12.61C $12.96VOL 412.9K
RES: $13.31SUP: $12.07SMA50: $12.92SMA200: $11.88
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GCMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
39.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCMG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCMG)
Financials Rank #134 of 1097
⚔️ GDV vs GCMG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GCMG vs. GDV, LCLN, APAM, NAN)
Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #394 by equity capitalization ($2.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APAM leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while GCMG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 82.5% ROIC and — gross margin. GCMG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCMG
ACTIVE
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) | C+ | 69/100 | 56.4x | — | 82.5% | +2.53% | $2.56B | Benchmark Subject |
| GDV Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust of | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | +0.88% | $2.57B | /gdv-vs-gcmg → |
| LCLN Lincoln International Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | +3.93% | $2.59B | /lcln-vs-gcmg → |
| APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | 10.2x | — | 71.9% | +5.06% | $2.97B | /apam-vs-gcmg → |
| NAN Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +0.30% | $3.03B | /nan-vs-gcmg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819796 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) reported GAAP revenue of $557.6M (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $514.0M , and +25.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $45.4M, operating cash flow of $183.5M, and free cash flow of $175.0M (+32.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCMG closed FY2025 with $813.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $557.6M | $45.4M | $183.5M | $175.0M | $813.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $514.0M | $18.7M | $148.8M | $132.0M | $612.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $445.0M | $12.8M | $92.1M | $92.1M | — | — |
3. GCMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GCMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GCMG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $12.96 (+2.53% 1D, market cap $2.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GCMG ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GCMG compare to GDV and LCLN in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), GCMG carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 56.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 82.5%. By comparison, GDV (Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust of) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.57B) and LCLN (Lincoln International Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APAM leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while GCMG leads on capital efficiency (82.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCMG?
Per GCMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819796), GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) generated $557.6M in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $45.4M in net income, and $175.0M in free cash flow against $813.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GCMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GCMG last traded at $12.96 (+2.53% on volume of 306,319 shares), positioning the stock +0.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.92) and +9.09% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.88). Across its 52-week range of $9.30 to $14.87, GCMG sits at the 65.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($12.22 to $13.70).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
GCMG — GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $12.96 (+2.53% 1D, market capitalization $2.56B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 82.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 23.9%, and free cash flow yield of 6.85%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Financials sector, Investment Managers industry, . The company's specific products, client base, and revenue model are — The Financials sector and Investment Managers industry classification are the only business descriptors provided.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) reported $557.6M in annual revenue (up from $514.0M in FY2024, +8.5% YoY) and $45.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($445.0M revenue, $12.8M net income) through FY2025, GCMG scaled operating cash flow to $183.5M and free cash flow to $175.0M, backed by $813.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.30 – $14.87 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 56x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 56.4x trailing P/E and 16.5x EV/EBITDA against 23.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Investment Managers (Financials), GCMG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can GCMG sustain or expand its 23.9% operating margin and 82.5% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $557.6M and free cash flow of $175.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GCMG's 52.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
GCMG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) stock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance UK report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago
Analysts Offer Insights on Financial Companies: GCM Grosvenor (GCMG) and Robinhood (HOOD) The Globe and Mail report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
VCTR Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:VCTR TradingView report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago
How (GCMG) Movements Inform Risk Allocation Models Stock Traders Daily report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
GCM Grosvenor stock: Proteus MHP investment rises to USD 145 million ad-hoc-news.de report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago
3 Asset Manager Stocks to Watch as Macro Volatility Tests Fee Growth Simply Wall St report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago
GCM Grosvenor (GCMG) Slips 1.43% to $12.38 as Shares Test Lower End of Recent Range - Put Wall https://www.siam.in/ report covering GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
GCMG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.96?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GCMG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $16.31 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Cash engine scores 19/20 with ROIC at 82.5% and FCF yield at 6.85%, with FY 2025 operating income reaching $133.5M.
The street is overcomplicating GCM Grosvenor Inc. (Class A) (GCMG). Cash engine scores 19/20 with ROIC at 82.5% and FCF yield at 6.85%, with FY 2025 operating income reaching $133.5M.. With an RQD score of 69/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $13.65.
ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL
@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 56.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Investment Managers. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $10.87 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $12.64 Trailing P/E of 56.4 and forward P/E of 52.5 leave the stock priced far above reported earnings, with institutional flow scored only 9/
Trailing P/E of 56.4 and forward P/E of 52.5 leave the stock priced far above reported earnings, with institutional flow scored only 9/20.. Look at the math on GCMG: paying 56.4x trailing P/E for 82.5% ROIC and 23.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Investment Managers demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $11.12 before getting long.